Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Like Tree3Likes

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-27-2011, 02:51 AM
Geaux Braves!!!
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Mississippi Gulf Coast
Posts: 46,686
Rewards: 11,628
Week 12 NFL Action!!!!!!!!

Biggest week this season! This is my first 3-unit play of the season, plus I'm playing a 1.5-unit play.

#218 Jets -9 -110 (3-units) Buffalo is on the road for the 3rd-straight week. The Jets have had a few extra days off to prepare for this one. NY is 4-0 SU & ATS their last 4 against the Bills, including giving them a good beating in Buffalo early this month.

This is my favorite trend play every season! Buffalo is now 2-23-1 ATS in their next game after playing the Dolphins. From a thread of mine last season: This trend stretches back around 15 years or so, as they sometimes end the season against Miami, so there's no next game to count. Obivously, this covers the Bills in good and bad years, and against all levels of opponents.



#219 Cleveland +7 -110 (1.5 units) The Bengals are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite. The underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Public loving Cincy at about 80% as the line has dropped to 7 from 7.5 points. Cleveland wins this with D.

#221 Houston -6.5 -110 Texans good in the favorite role; Jags bad in the dog role and bad against teams with winning records.

#223 Carolina -3 -125 Indy 2-9 ATS their last 11 at home. For the last 5 weeks, Indy just can't score. At least Carolina is competitive when they lose.

#225 Tampa +3 -115 TB is 11-3 ATS their last 14 on the road. Locker looked okay relieving Hasselbeck in Atlanta last week, but it's a different deal when you know all week that you're starting.

#230 Oakland -3 -110 Don't really like laying points with the Raiders, but WP likes Chicago. Besides, the Bears have to give Caleb Hanie the start.

#232 Seattle -3 -110 Seachickens are 12-5 ATS their last 17 at home, and they're coming off a couple decent wins. The Skins have dropped 6 in a row. Pretty long travel in the jet-lag direction for Washington, and the weather is going to kinda suck, so they probably won't feel like it.

#235 Denver +6 -115 Broncos are 4-1 ATS on the road; SD is 1-4 ATS at home. Rivers sucks. Tebow sucks, too, but at least he wins.

Lean to KC at night. Will probably go with the homer play on the Saints on MNF.

GL Mallers!!!!!!!!

__________________
2011-2012 NHL: 301-237-14, +3555 (2* plays are 17-14)
2011-2012 NBA 144-169-5
2012 MLB: 88-88-2, -1360

2011-2012 NFL: 128-91-7
2011-2012 NCAA Football: 126-96-7
2011 MLB: 486-437-18

2010 NFL: 108-67-3
2010 Cappers Mall Handicapper of the Year
2011 Cappers Mall Hall of Fame Inductee


Winner, Western Playboy $20,000 Challenge (payment pending)

Winner, Inaugural Hooisercatdaddy Invitational NCAA Basketball Handicapping Contest and Rewards Points Shindig
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-27-2011, 04:29 AM
2009/2011 National Champs
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: "Heart of Dixie"
Posts: 2,303
Rewards: 425
GREAT looking card Doza Love waiting on that Buffalo trend to come around, damn its a beauty !!! Houston and Seattle look strong, feel like Sunday should be a money making day, thanks for the info on Cleveland man and give'em hell Jets

GL,

Fats.............................................. ............................
__________________
"LADY LUCK", my "BITCH"
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-27-2011, 05:44 AM
One Day At A Time
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Odessa, Texas
Posts: 29,708
Rewards: 6,653
Good luck Mendoza Line!
__________________
"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose"
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-27-2011, 06:13 AM
Sauced Again
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: North Carolina
Posts: 11,283
Rewards: 3,574
nice photo shop skills.....knockem dead line,
__________________
2011-2012
College Football 106-74 (+23.70)units
NFL 2011 93-77 (+8.90)units
NCAA BKB Tourney 4-2 (+1.8)




2010 Rookie of the Year
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-27-2011, 07:45 AM
2011 WORLD CHAMPIONS
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Delaware
Posts: 13,731
Rewards: 181
Gl
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-27-2011, 08:07 AM
She does...
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 29,188
Rewards: 3,739
gl dozer - looks good
__________________
Where'd who go!?!

(Hollywood - Top Gun)


F Tom Hicks
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-27-2011, 08:42 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: living in Omaha, Ne
Posts: 33,992
Rewards: 9,886
gl doza
__________________
Co Good Guy of the Year Award 2010
2nd Place 2010 MLB 2nd half Contest
3rd Place 2010 Capper of The Year
Poster of the Month Award Winner
2009 Co Champ World Series Contest
January 2012 Play of the Day winner
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-27-2011, 08:49 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,144
Rewards: 2,437
Good luck, Mendoza!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-27-2011, 09:53 AM
New coach: Jose Paytonez
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 855
Rewards: 1,137
Good luck! Gonna tail your Bills fade again this year.
Lang is also on the Bears and is in the midst of a losing streak of epic proportions.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-27-2011, 09:55 AM
Local Rounder
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Ohio
Posts: 2,688
Rewards: 494
GL mendoza
__________________
NFL (118-99-6)
Bowl Games (26-25-1)
College Hoops (169-137-3)+23.4 units
Mod Challenge (8-7)
GOY (3-2)
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 11-27-2011, 09:57 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Pittsburgh, Pa
Posts: 261
Rewards: 511
good luck 'doza!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 11-27-2011, 10:06 AM
Producing locks daily
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Morgantown, WV
Posts: 62
Rewards: 159
Im new to posting on the mall, but have followed your plays in the past. Good luck Mendoza!
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 11-27-2011, 10:07 AM
Geaux Braves!!!
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Mississippi Gulf Coast
Posts: 46,686
Rewards: 11,628
Thanks Freddie, Vic, FF, TCD, Randy, 2b, GFB, Kartell, Rabbit, Jump, and Locks! GL all!

Freddie -- fingers crossed the Bills trend keeps rolling today!

FF -- you mean for my awesome placement of a black bar over where I made this play?

Kartell -- yeah, I just saw the Lang play, and I've noticed his recent bad run.

Locks -- welcome to the Mall!



Figured out one I'm going to lose: Seattle. It's Lang's 100 dime play, and I just saw this in Killer Sports: The Seahawks are 0-20-1 ATS since 2003 after a non-Monday night game where they covered by at least 13.5 points.
__________________
2011-2012 NHL: 301-237-14, +3555 (2* plays are 17-14)
2011-2012 NBA 144-169-5
2012 MLB: 88-88-2, -1360

2011-2012 NFL: 128-91-7
2011-2012 NCAA Football: 126-96-7
2011 MLB: 486-437-18

2010 NFL: 108-67-3
2010 Cappers Mall Handicapper of the Year
2011 Cappers Mall Hall of Fame Inductee


Winner, Western Playboy $20,000 Challenge (payment pending)

Winner, Inaugural Hooisercatdaddy Invitational NCAA Basketball Handicapping Contest and Rewards Points Shindig
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 11-27-2011, 10:07 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 145
Rewards: 136
That Carolina line looks too tasty for me, I might try them this week. Good luck.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 11-27-2011, 10:21 AM
Sa da tay!
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: RVA
Posts: 347
Rewards: 334
Good luck ML. On the Jets as well.
__________________
NCAA:
Strong Play 19-16
Probable 1-10 (yikes)

NFL:
Strong play 34-41
Probable 4-4
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:24 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.