week 3 picks and thoughts, full card

[Sam "Ace" Rothstein]

well, the first 2 weeks have been rough, but that how it usually goes for me, so im not suprised. time to get back on track and start winning again.



-1.5 steelers at tampa bay:
the steelers won because of turnovers, but i dont think they will
manage 7 of them every week. the steelers are 9-21 ats against non
divisional teams while on the road. add the steelers qb situation to all
this, and i think it spells trouble for them.

pick: tampa bay +1.5

-3 bengals at carolina:
the panthers are 11-5 ats in their last 16 games following a double digit
loss. the bengals are 0-6 ats against teams with losing records. this
should be a defensive battle, but carolina should pull out ahead.

pick: carolina +3

+14 bills at new england:
the patriots are 2-5 ats when giving 10 points or more. the bills are
11-5 as division road dogs. that being said, i cant see the bills keeping
this one close. new england should punish them just for the fun of it,
and put up big #'s.

pick: new england -14

-1.5 49ers at kansas city:
kc is 12-3 ats after a win by 3 points or less, and are 20-9 ats at home
following a win. san fran is 1-6 ats as road favorites. kc is 42-21 ats as
home dogs. it might be an ugly game, so i will take the points.

pick: kansas city +1.5

+3 titans at ny giants:
titans are 19-10 ats as dogs, and 17-5 ats against the nfc. the giants
are 2-5 at home, and 3-10 in their last 13 games. i cant say i love this
game, but ill take the titans.

pick: titans +3

+10.5 browns at baltimore:
the browns are 3-6 ats as 10+ point dogs. the ravens are 6-0 ats as
10+ point favorites. baltimore is 8-3 ats following a loss. the browns
arent impressive, but the ravens offense hasnt been either. until
baltimore gets themselves together, i cant play them giving 10 points.

pick: browns +10.5

+4 falcons at new orleans:
saints are 3-15 ats as division home favorites. the falcons are 5-1 ats
against teams with winning records. the home team is 15-23 ats
when they play each other. saints are 21-30 ats at home. atlanta
was hot last week, so im gonna ride the train.

pick: falcons +4

+10.5 lions at vikings:
vikings are 5-1 ats at home, and 8-3 ats following a loss. detroit is 1-5
ats against nfc north. i think brett is done his spring training now and
could put up some big numbers against an unimpressive lions team.

pick: vikings -10.5

+3 cowboys at houston:
dallas is 5-11 ats on the road. dallas is 7-19 ats on the road vs. afc
teams. im up in the air on this game. i think dallas will get their shit
together and play good football, but i would like to see the change
before i put my faith in them.

pick: houston -3

-3 eagles at jacksonville:
jags are 17-8 ats after losing by 14 or more and 19-10 ats at hom vs.
the nfc. the eagles are 0-7 after a win that they didnt cover the
spread in. philadelphia is 0-5 ats in their last 5 games. vick is playing
good football right now, but the eagles defense gave up almost 450
yards to detroit? i think many people will take the eagles because
of the vick situation, and fail to look at the holes in their defense.

pick: jacksonville +3

-3.5 redskins at st. louis:
the skins are 6-17 ats against teams with a losing record. the skins are
3-11 ats as first time favorites. but this was before mcnabb, i think he
makes a diffrence here. the rams beat themselves with stipid mistakes
(roughing the passer to give oakland the win). i think the skins do it.

pick: washington -3.5

-5.5 colts at denver:
denver is 11-1 ats as non divisional home dogs gettins 3+ points.
denver is 7-2 ats following a win. and with mckinley taking a dirt
nap, emotion should play a role in this game. i think the colts are the
better team here, but the story sounds better if the broncos win for
a fallen teammate.

pick: denver +5.5

+4 raiders at arizona:
arizona is 5-1 ats following a loss, and 4-1 ats at home. the raiders
are 0-6 ats following a win and 0-7 ats when getting less that 10
points out of confrence. everything kind of points to az winning,
but i have a bad feeling that they wont show up.

pick: oakland +4

-5.5 chargers at seattle:
seattle is 12-2 ats at home against the afc and 16-9 ats as dogs after
a loss. seattle should come out swinging and may even win straight up.

pick: seattle +5.5

+1.5 jets at miami:
miami is 8-1 ats against the afc east and 6-1 ats following a win.
the dolphins are the better team, and beat the chargers twice last
year, and will love to do it again at home sunday night.

pick: miami -1.5

-3 packers at chicago:
green bay is 4-0 ats against chicago in the last 2 years. chicago has
been playing well, but i think gb has the edge in this game.

pick: green bay -3



thanks lord cc and good luck to you also.

[LordCC]

Cash them my good man!

[CANDY-MAN]

Best of luck to you on your plays man.