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#1
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week #4 lines that look screwy
The lines on these 4 games made me stop and scratch my head.
1) Jets-5 @ Buff After 2 big wins over NE & Miami do they play flat? Bills finally put up some points last week. Line looks too low. 2) Houston -3 @Oak Do they forget about the thrashing at home vs Dallas and thump Oakland or play like last week and not show up? A.Johnson's ankle a concern. Line looks too low. 3) Indy-7.5 @Jacksonville Colts 2nd in a row on the road. Jags have to be one of the worst teams in the league right now. They usually play Manning tough but this maybe a blowout and over by halftime. Why is this spread so low? 4) Nyg -4 at home vs Bears The way the Giants are playing they should be getting the points. Bears 3-0 fresh off a gift wrapped Mon night victory over GB . They don't give away money this easy in Vegas? This line is totally bogus.
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#2
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First 3 are on the road so thats 6.5-7.0 pts right there if the home field is swapped. Those lines arent low.
Its the Giants line that is high considering the Bears wont even be a FG fav at home vs the Giants.
__________________
2012
NBA 67-94 -56.45* NCAAB 96-71 +41.53* NHL 16-29 -8.42* MLB 0-1 -1.00* |
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#3
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That bears line is very off
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#4
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if chicago would be favored at the Giants money would pour in the NYG and line would change very quickly- Vegas does not like huge line changes because sharps will 'tween em' and that is a risk books don' t need nor want to take- thus the try to find the obvious 50/50 split spread
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#5
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maybe thinking the Bears being flat coming off a short week win?
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#6
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Short week + huge game vs Packers, real tricky line, I would take Giants at -3, and they might cover -5, but yeah... real screwy lines this week and real TOUGH lines this week. Already bet skins and falcons, sorta like Rams, and if the Browns are starting Wallace I like them +3 but it sounds like Delhomme might start (horrible decision)
__________________
Kenneth Corey a.k.a. "The Sports Scientist" I handicap the NFL, and only the NFL. NFL 2010-11 Combined (ATS): 106-96-4 (52%) +16.35 units (1 and 2 unit plays) My 2011 NFL Plays thread at Cappers Mall |
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#7
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Quote:
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USE YOUR MIND, NOT YOUR HEART!! |
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