Week 8 Pocket Stuffers

[Fat Pockets]

Early write ups below but finallized my selections to the following....GL gentlemen.

1pm-

NYG -1.....10*

DEN/BALT Over 41.5....10*

CHIC -13.....3*

DAL -9.5.....3*

JETS/MIAMI Under 40.5.....3*

4pm-

JAX/TENN Over 45.......10* (may increase if I do well on 1pm games)

JAX +3.....5*

5 TEAM 6.5 PT TEASER

DEN/BALT Over 35, CHIC -6.5, DAL -3, DEN +10, NYG +5.5

5 Units to win 20 Units



Write Ups


Denver +3 over Ravens.....

Will Balt lose 4 in a row?? YES!! Balt has slipped reently and are beginning to look old....especially the secondary. Denver is being well coached and believe they have what it takes to win every game. You can see it everytime they play....a quiet confidence. Much in the way of the old NE. Den has the numero uno "D" in the AFC and have a pretty fierce offence that is improving with age. Balt has been beat up recently for 400++ yards in back to back games...YIKES!! Doesnt sound like the super D of Balt we are used to.

Take away the easy games Balt has played (KC, Clev) and you will see that they have allowed 405 yards and 28.5 pts per game. The good for Balt is that Flacco and Rice have been putting up points to compete. But Ill take the team that has shown some outstanding numbers vs the above numbers of Balt. Balt has just 14 sacks thus far and has allowed 22 plays of 22++ yards. And as if that isnt enough.....Unbeaten teams off the buy week are 43-25 vs the spread (63%). Also, Denver has not allowed a 2nd half TD in the last 5 games!!!! This might change this Sunday.

With the above said.....I love this game to fly over the total 41.5. The over on the total may be my best play this week. Balt can and will score but Denver will score more often and win outright by 9. The added cushion of 3 pts is a bonus!

........DEN 7-0 ATS vs Conf. opp w/rest. 5-1 ATS vs AFC north
........BALT leads series 5-1 last six meetings, 15-0 home off a non conf game.

If you dont like the DEN pick.....definately play the OVER!!

Dallas -9.5 over Seattle....

Seattle has given up 14 sacks in their 4 losses. Dallas has been steppin up lately and has put in some decent numbers on the pass rush with 8 sacks in their last 2 games. That includes last week vs a decent ATL 'O' line. That spells trouble for Sea. Earlier this season Dallas sucked in this dept, but have stepped it up recently.

Seattle are rated 28th on the run. Which means they will likely throw the ball often. Hasselbeck should see some turf and Dallas hopefully will see plenty of balls aiming at them when their offence is off the field.....for those of you who cant pick up what Im layin down....... Hasselbeck should be picked off a couple times.

Romo played very well as i predicted last week (one of my two decent picks out of many bad 1's lol) I think he continues to shine here and Dallas pass rush should hassel ...Hasselback ??? lol Not funny!! Add in a touch of one of my new fav players Miles Austin and youve got a recipe for a big fat 'W'. Dallas wins by 20

.......SEA 0-8 ATS as dogs with rest, 0-6 ATS vs .500> team off a dbl digit win
.......DAL 9-1 ATS in Nov as favs vs off dbl digit loss, 6-1 ATS home vs NFC west

NO -10 over ATL....

I said it last week, I mentioned it above....ATL is a FRAUD!!! Dallas handled them pretty easily last week and NO is MUCH better then Dallas....Sorry Sean lol. Dallas even tried to give ATL the game at one point and ATL didnt want it. N.O. swallows this type of team and we see the end of what could have been in ATL. Dont get me wrong....they are decent but not worth all the hype.

The game is in N.O. under Monday Night lights ....this could get silly.
Last match up in 2006 Monday Nighter NO won 23-3. NO are avg 38 pts per game. 12-1 ATS as FAVS....10-1 ATS at home....they were down by 21 last week vs Miami and not only bounced back to win but to cover (****ERS!!!). That says alot about a team IMO. Host is 7-0-1 ATS in ATL Div games. Undefeated Monday night home favs off a spread win are 24-8 ATS (75%)....Nuff said.....NO wins by 17

Over the total here is a obvious one.......the total is around 54. My numbers say it should be around 59/60....thats crazy!!! lol this is easy money....A much improved NO ground game opens up the Bree's Bombs even more....good god!! ....prediction 41-24


NYG -1 over Philly

NYG lead series 4-0 ATS last 4 meetings when away, 5-1 ATS off a str8 up fav loss

Old system play- Play against any NFL division team off a str8 up and ATS Monday night div win vs an opponent off back to back losses before game 13 of the season. Angle win loss record 13-2 (87%)

Dont like angle and systems?? well then all you have to do is look at that lame ****in display last week vs WASH. Philly looks soft and couldnt get shit going. Wash held them thoughout the game and most points were off Wash awful **** ups. Have no idea how they will compete in this game even if NYG have slipped a bit recently. Philly has been very predictable and it showed huge last week. That predictability will have Philly in tears by the 4Q.

NYG are the "Blues Travelers". I dont have to get into stats.....they kick major hiney on the RD and covering as well as the win. NYG win by 9......the over the total is a decent play as well.

Heres a beauty.....take a deep breath now......The Giants are 24-0 ATS since 1995 on the road when facing a team that has averaged less then 1.3 turnovers per game when the Giants threw for less than 263 yards the last game LOL I love this shit!!!

Philly throws an avg of 36 passes per game. NYG since 1994 is 8-0 ATS as a dog when their opp to date have avg'd 35+ passes per game. (NYG were dogs at the start of week)

Ill have ratings for all or some sometime Saturday...GL 2 all!!

[fat-freddie]

That is some great info Fat Pockets, thanks man !! You got yourself one good looking card Sun. man. Good luck to ya and I see a big profit day ahead for ya man, cash'em all bro

Fats.............................................. .........................................

[Fat Pockets]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

That is some great info Fat Pockets, thanks man !! You got yourself one good looking card Sun. man. Good luck to ya and I see a big profit day ahead for ya man, cash'em all bro

Fats.............................................. .........................................

Thanks!! Been a pretty crummy season when it really shouldnt be. Over thinking maybe. Back to basics this weekend....= $$$

ADDING ONE MORE PLAY - CHIC/CLEV UNDER 40.5......10*

[fat-freddie]

Just works out that way sometime FP, it has for me so far this year. I'am all over these totals today Lets make some money this afternoon !!

Fats.............................................. ....

[Fat Pockets]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

just works out that way sometime fp, it has for me so far this year. I'am all over these totals today lets make some money this afternoon !!
fats.............................................. ....

amen!!!

[Fat Pockets]

What a hum-dinger of a weekend....

down $380 with the juice. Though i didnt have time to post it I took NO?ATL over 55 for 10* Thank god I won that. Stll stings.

-280....does not make me wanna do the happy dance.