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  #1  
Old 10-25-2008, 03:59 AM
AKA fadememonday
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Ontario, Canada
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Week 8 Pocket Stuffers and write ups...

3 Units K.C. +14

Check status of RB Johnson (suspension?)
Chiefs have covered six of eight in this series.
Herm Edwards coaching against his former team.
KC has nothing but Jets laying this many is outrageous. I dont care Favre or no Favre (gulp...tough to say lol) they/ he hasnt performed all that good this year.
Jets barely beat Miami and Cincy could of squeaked out a win if they could put ANYTHING together.
Jets play DIV game next week vs Buff and could look past this one.
KC pissed by being blown out last 2 games.
22-9-1 Trend on dog here which has won last 5 SU.


4 Units PHILLY -9

Both off buy weeks but we both know Philly is sick off the buy.
ATL has not been productive on the road and that includes Turner (minus the GB game I suppose).
Westbrook, Brown, Curtis and Andrews returning.
Philly 2nd in league on 'D' allowing just 91 yards per game rushing and has 21 sacks.
If Turner cant run Atl will need their rook QB Ryan to move the ball which i dont see happening since Philly can blitz like a M.F!!
Guys here like the points for Atl but Im not falling for it. ATL has been under the radar for sure and has played some excellent football but this is not a good spot for them here....
As if you needed more....thats look and see Philly has played tough teams and has faired well vs them i think...Dallas, Pitts, Chic and Wash.

....system play- Play on a non-div home fav that scored 28 or more points before the buy week. From 1997-2008 18-5 ATS 78% Play Philly !!! lol


2 Units BALT -7 (line has prob gone up) would bet higher but its Balt and scoring is an issue

Oak 6-12 ATS in ET games.
I smell turn overs for Oak.
Oak mistake city vs Balt who take advantage of these types of scenarios.
Balt has best 'D'
Balt has held teams to 10,10 and 13 points at home this far......vs Oak shitty 'O' which is ranked 23rd. How the hell will Oack score?
Balt is 7-1 ATS vs Oak
Oak is 17-27 ATS on the road

4 Units CAROLINA -4

Same as above with West coast traveling East trend.
Zona not good on the road and Car has played well at home. Car's D here is the difference.
Car is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS at home this year....outgaining foes 349 to 249 with an 27- 8 average score.
Zona is blitz crazy and does the high risk/ high reward plays which can be unpredictable and scary but I think Car can shut that down. Warner is good for pick or 2 and Car keeps clock moving, keeping zona off the field.
Zona 1-10 ATS in Oct off a SU dog win

10 Units RAMS/ NE Under the total 43

NE off short week and blew out a brutal Denver secondary whoopee....
NE 7-2 on the under last 9 home games
Rams 5-1 under after they score 30+ points
OUT OF 12 COMBINED GAMES, THESE OFFENCES HAVE BROKEN 20 POINTS JUST 3 COMBINED TIMES. Both NE and the Rams broke 30 last week. FREE MONEY TO ME. I would sell my soul for a piece of this action lol This has got to be the best play this week IMO.


4 Units CINCY +9

Texans have let everybody down the last couple weeks Im sure. So why start giving them more points when they cant cover smaller spreads. Cincy winless but have the weapons if they choose to use them.
Tex doesnt make turnovers o.8 per game which should give Fitz some much needed completions.
Tex has never put together a 3 game win streak since they came into the league.
Tex 1-5 ATS this year
Dont know the stats...but I do know that double digit dogs have been good this year. Not really a DBL digit dog but .....Tex def should not be giving these points considering their ATS record.
Cincy has played Tenn, NYG, Dallas, Pitts....brutal. Thay have to be hungry right? This has to be a close game.

GL all
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Stars worth $10 each

1st plays of 2009 start Oct 3rd

NFL-$770

NCAAFB- even
NBA- +$40


2009 NFL PLAYOFF PROPS-Pending

2009 NCAAFB BOWL PLAYS- $-405

2009 System Record ATS- 14-19
2009 System Dogs ATS- 2-2



You will never be king, if you cant handle the swing.

I was introduced to variance once. That's exactly the time I stopped betting over my head.
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  #2  
Old 10-25-2008, 04:59 AM
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great card, only differ on jets game with ya but who knows, that is a lot of wood to lay but i cant take k.c. on the road, im prolly wrong but ill take 5 outta 6 with ya
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im so hot dog i need mo relish
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  #3  
Old 10-25-2008, 07:35 PM
AKA fadememonday
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Ontario, Canada
Posts: 227
Rewards: 45
Thx Callme....gl this weekend
__________________
Stars worth $10 each

1st plays of 2009 start Oct 3rd

NFL-$770

NCAAFB- even
NBA- +$40


2009 NFL PLAYOFF PROPS-Pending

2009 NCAAFB BOWL PLAYS- $-405

2009 System Record ATS- 14-19
2009 System Dogs ATS- 2-2



You will never be king, if you cant handle the swing.

I was introduced to variance once. That's exactly the time I stopped betting over my head.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-26-2008, 09:15 AM
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Tampa
Posts: 306
Rewards: 235
Looked at the NE/Stl game the same way...short week and a lot of injuries...Belicheck plays this one close to the vest and win 17-10
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