Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-02-2008, 09:28 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
Cool WEEK 9 all games why and HOW !

OKIE lets start

Vikings - 5 VS Texans

LOVED it until I saw that VIKINGS are 0-9 as fav before Packers !

And YOU know they want revenge for well 1 loss at Packers !

TEXANS finally took care of the spread vs of course The BENGALs and for the 1st TIME in thier history they WON 3 st games !

SO now i have 1 team that won huge 35-6 taking points with a good offense and ok defense
vs a subpar Team with a run game offense and poor passing game except at Bears they were able to score 41 points ???

still didnt cover the spread lost by 7 48 - 41

two st losses !

THE Vikings Chart looks like a letter W

what i mean by chart is ATS results they are graphed on 5 point scale with the 0 line as spread line above is PLUS below is negative !

SO lets look at VIKINGS on a large W

last 5 weeks


---W---- o line

OK the last part however is still below the 0 line

they went from - 11.5 as 13.5 point fav vs LIONS at HOME up to -4 points as a 3 dog at Bears

VIKINGS are 2 and 5 ATS

TEXANS of COURSE are UP at +18.5 after demolishing the halpless Bengals

also money Burners ATS

DOG or Fav always below the 0 line that was their 2nd ATS COVER

lets look at rankings of O and D of both teams

OK both teams coming in off HIGH scoring affairs

41 points scored and 35 points scored

expect a low scoring game here folks

VIKINGS Bring in the 12 th ranked O

8th running 17th passing

8th Ranked Defense nd vs The RUN but but ranked 20th VS the Pass

so clearly YOU can pass the ball aginst Vikings

TEXANS 4th ranked OFFENSE

11th running 5th Passing

16th ranked Defnse 21 st vs the RUN 16th vs the pass

SO clearly the weaker Defense BUT far BETTER offense than Vikings !

NOW i also have a possible system in effect coming #1 this is VIKINGS at HOME Looking ahaed TO DIV Rival PACKERS at HOME next WEEK

IF The VIKINGS lose this game s/u without handicapping NEXT WEEK I take Packers no matter what THE Spread is !

triple the wager if Vikings remain favored !

THE Spread is way OFF the mark

giving 5 points (up a 1/2 )

makes VIKINGS a - 6.85 points

Teaxns are NOW + 3.6 POINTS

reallity differnce was VIKINGS - .45 points

YES BOTH teams have been outscored

all year

VIKINGS are - 13 points TEXANS are - 10
points

Emotinally wise i get TEXANS feeling enjoying Winning streak right NOW and attacking Vikes pass defense !

TEXANS +5 points 10 **********


WHEW that was a LOT of TYPINg But this is HOW i handicap every Game like i'm studying for Finals in COLLEGE !

SO Excuse MY Typos along the way ok ? I'm a great speller horrible H & P typist !


JAGUARS - 7.5 at CINCY

OK Jaguars lost at HOME to Browns as a 7 chalk

Sigh* i had Jags last WEEK !

HOWEVER I have halpless BUNGLES team here today

that two weeks in a ROW as a DOG remained at -18.5 ATS

I get feeling THIS team just playing the game without care now and might WIN 1 game somewhere late in year !

lost of problems in the ROOM OCHO Cinco unhappy and making rest of team unhappy

THE HC lost control of This Team and the QB is horrible

EVEN though Spread says NO WAY

I say lite Play on Jags WHO cannot afford a loss HERE today and THEY are Not looking ahaed TO LIONS next Week at detroit however after DETROIT they are looking ahaed to avenge wk 1 road loss to div Rival TITANS

THEY should win these next two games to climb above 500 they are 3-3 !

JAGS - 7 1/2 5 *****


KC + 9.5 (UP 1 PT ) VS THE WORST ROAD TEAM WHEN TRAVELING west THE buccaneers

NO MATER WHAT time ZONE THEY cross THE BUCS are road weary and this 2nd B 2 B road traveling 1000's of MILES in the AIR

room thinking all WEEK KC is a practice Game

thats what i read in prepartion for this 1 win team

BUCS already on QB mery go round Brian griese DUMPEd for Garcia

and YOU would think BUCS motivated TO get HOME FIELD for SUPERBOWL

YES folks they are selected super bowl site and so far every team selected as HOME site for Superbowl has NOT got there !

THEY have made Playoffs at TIMES BUT wind up losing !

ANY GIVEN SUNDAY is HERE

KC + 9 1/2 POINTS 10********

ML 3 *** + 370 WOW

BUCS are - 470

TEASER love IT

KC +15.5 OVER 30.5 points 15*************

BROWNS - 1 vs Ravens you thinking Sucker BET right ?

WRONG

using my point spread handicapping system it doesnent matter if Ravens a 3 point dog a 6 points dog or a 8 point dog they still remain +2 points

OVER the Browns

even as a PCK Ravens are +2 points !

RAVENS had DOG win then home fav WIN over Raiders however this was a DROP ATS

29-10 as a 7 point fav they relaxed after shutting them out 29-0

wk 7 Ravens bounced UP from -23.5 points to + 17 points last WEEK Dropped to +12 points

BRowns with s/u DOG Win are UP at +13

I know Ravens D is mising KEY starters

SO If Browns do as usual and KEEP that #2 ranked defense on THE Field LONGER than Ravens Offense

by 3rd qtr Ravens will be gasping for AIR and The Rookie QB goes down in flames !

rember NO team is as GOOD or BAD as they wrre last Week !

THE Public has short Memory they SAW a MIRAGE in Ravens last WEEK a WEak west Coast team Playing East early Game !

BROWNS - 1 point 10**********
BE back later with some goodies this is as far as I got late last night !

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-02-2008, 09:44 AM
2011 Capper of the Year
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Ontario
Posts: 18,002
Rewards: 754
I wish I had an hour to read all that.........good luck today
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-02-2008, 11:04 AM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
onward

JETS +4 1/2 at BILLs

when YOU have farve in the pocket YOU are never out of the game !

LOVEd the Let down last week as DD chalk vs Bengals

teams are close in rankings like two peas in a POD O and D

BILLs O ranked 18th 22nd R 12 P
D ranked 11th 13 R 13th P

JETS O 15th 15 R 15 P

D ranked 12th 4th R but but 23rd Pass

I have JETS hanging here and possibly pull off upset vs this over ranked Bills team

JETS +4 1/2 (down 1 point ) 10**********

over 42 10********** i see high 40's or 50's total here !

CARDS - 3 at Rams

scary close both teams did nothing last week but hang around and cover as DOGS

HOWEVER Cards were winning the Game at Panthers lost in 4th quater by 4 points

as a 5.5 DOG so using spread as a pck Rams are -9 points as a 3 dog still -9 points

of course a very weal offense now ranked 28th and defnse ranked 29th

CARDS O ranked 5th D ranked 13th

light play on CARDS 3*** over 49 ehhhhhh dead on the money i get 48.85 points total tease it

CARDS +3 OVER 43 5****

BRB in 10 im doing this live right now !
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-02-2008, 12:00 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
BEARS - 12 1/2 vs lions

you don't go 0-7 by accident YOU go 0-7 because YOU have nothing !

NO defense NO O line NO run game NO QB no HC

zero zip and YOU gave away your best offensive weapon WR to DALLAS

Clearly a MOVE of saying ok WE start NOW lose every game we are supposed to lose and get high draft picks for NEXT Year !

DETROIT never ever never Ever was able to find a real QB all failures every year nothing but junk in the pocket !

OK Bears also quite a few bUSTS ALONG THE way

GROSS MAN lived up to his name he was GROSS

KYLE Orton ummmm an upgrade beter decison maker dosent make mistakes dosent lose games !

seesm like the public likes LIONS dropping spread a full point

I say screw em this Lions dog has no teeth THE DOG has no fight in HIM

only The Bears decide to play soft and NOT Cover spread

simply put GOOD teams find ways to WIN games

BAD teams find WAYS to LOSE Games !

sureeeeeeeeeee i know lions trend as a DD DOG is on 6-0 ats streak however i see nohing HERE to fear !

Bears defense alone will score 14 points !

offense GETS 30 from lions D

when you give up 30 points a game on avergae YOU have business playing in NFL

BEARS - 12 1/2 win by 20 points 10**********


ah ok thats enough for early games

i'm outta here


Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-02-2008, 12:11 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
OK i forgot we do have 65% system vs Giants - 9 vs Cowgirls

G men won as a DOG of 3 at Steelers nowwwwwwwwww they got respect DONT they they hammered the 31 defense in the league on The Road THEY beat a 5- 1 team

EVEN tho Cowboys win was Weak vs BUCS at HOME they DID win as a FAVORITE holding BUCS to 3 FG's and scoring 13 !

Spraed jumped to -9 for reason public herad of WITTEN possibly OUT and other players on Cowgirls defense OUT

Really Brad J isnt what he used to Be as you saw his lack of mobilty old creaky bones had truble moving ball at HOME vs BUCS defense !

IF they have trouble against Giants attack Defense Game is over Brad will get koed early and they prreeed Brooks bolinger in case !

COWBOYS +9 2**
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-02-2008, 07:03 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegaswiseguy
OKIE lets start

Vikings - 5 VS Texans

LOVED it until I saw that VIKINGS are 0-9 as fav before Packers !

And YOU know they want revenge for well 1 loss at Packers !

TEXANS finally took care of the spread vs of course The BENGALs and for the 1st TIME in thier history they WON 3 st games !

SO now i have 1 team that won huge 35-6 taking points with a good offense and ok defense
vs a subpar Team with a run game offense and poor passing game except at Bears they were able to score 41 points ???

still didnt cover the spread lost by 7 48 - 41

two st losses !

THE Vikings Chart looks like a letter W

what i mean by chart is ATS results they are graphed on 5 point scale with the 0 line as spread line above is PLUS below is negative !

SO lets look at VIKINGS on a large W

last 5 weeks


---W---- o line

OK the last part however is still below the 0 line

they went from - 11.5 as 13.5 point fav vs LIONS at HOME up to -4 points as a 3 dog at Bears

VIKINGS are 2 and 5 ATS

TEXANS of COURSE are UP at +18.5 after demolishing the halpless Bengals

also money Burners ATS

DOG or Fav always below the 0 line that was their 2nd ATS COVER

lets look at rankings of O and D of both teams

OK both teams coming in off HIGH scoring affairs

41 points scored and 35 points scored

expect a low scoring game here folks

VIKINGS Bring in the 12 th ranked O

8th running 17th passing

8th Ranked Defense nd vs The RUN but but ranked 20th VS the Pass

so clearly YOU can pass the ball aginst Vikings

TEXANS 4th ranked OFFENSE

11th running 5th Passing

16th ranked Defnse 21 st vs the RUN 16th vs the pass

SO clearly the weaker Defense BUT far BETTER offense than Vikings !

NOW i also have a possible system in effect coming #1 this is VIKINGS at HOME Looking ahaed TO DIV Rival PACKERS at HOME next WEEK

IF The VIKINGS lose this game s/u without handicapping NEXT WEEK I take Packers no matter what THE Spread is !

triple the wager if Vikings remain favored !

THE Spread is way OFF the mark

giving 5 points (up a 1/2 )

makes VIKINGS a - 6.85 points

Teaxns are NOW + 3.6 POINTS

reallity differnce was VIKINGS - .45 points

YES BOTH teams have been outscored

all year

VIKINGS are - 13 points TEXANS are - 10
points

Emotinally wise i get TEXANS feeling enjoying Winning streak right NOW and attacking Vikes pass defense !

TEXANS +5 points 10 **********


WHEW that was a LOT of TYPINg But this is HOW i handicap every Game like i'm studying for Finals in COLLEGE !

SO Excuse MY Typos along the way ok ? I'm a great speller horrible H & P typist !


JAGUARS - 7.5 at CINCY

OK Jaguars lost at HOME to Browns as a 7 chalk

Sigh* i had Jags last WEEK !

HOWEVER I have halpless BUNGLES team here today

that two weeks in a ROW as a DOG remained at -18.5 ATS

I get feeling THIS team just playing the game without care now and might WIN 1 game somewhere late in year !

lost of problems in the ROOM OCHO Cinco unhappy and making rest of team unhappy

THE HC lost control of This Team and the QB is horrible

EVEN though Spread says NO WAY

I say lite Play on Jags WHO cannot afford a loss HERE today and THEY are Not looking ahaed TO LIONS next Week at detroit however after DETROIT they are looking ahaed to avenge wk 1 road loss to div Rival TITANS

THEY should win these next two games to climb above 500 they are 3-3 !


JAGS - 7 1/2 5 *****
</P>

KC + 9.5 (UP 1 PT ) VS THE WORST ROAD TEAM WHEN TRAVELING west THE buccaneers

NO MATER WHAT time ZONE THEY cross THE BUCS are road weary and this 2nd B 2 B road traveling 1000's of MILES in the AIR

room thinking all WEEK KC is a practice Game

thats what i read in prepartion for this 1 win team

BUCS already on QB mery go round Brian griese DUMPEd for Garcia

and YOU would think BUCS motivated TO get HOME FIELD for SUPERBOWL

YES folks they are selected super bowl site and so far every team selected as HOME site for Superbowl has NOT got there !

THEY have made Playoffs at TIMES BUT wind up losing !

ANY GIVEN SUNDAY is HERE

KC + 9 1/2 POINTS 10********

ML 3 *** + 370 WOW

BUCS are - 470

TEASER love IT

KC +15.5 OVER 30.5 points 15*************

BROWNS - 1 vs Ravens you thinking Sucker BET right ?

WRONG

using my point spread handicapping system it doesnent matter if Ravens a 3 point dog a 6 points dog or a 8 point dog they still remain +2 points

OVER the Browns

even as a PCK Ravens are +2 points !

RAVENS had DOG win then home fav WIN over Raiders however this was a DROP ATS

29-10 as a 7 point fav they relaxed after shutting them out 29-0

wk 7 Ravens bounced UP from -23.5 points to + 17 points last WEEK Dropped to +12 points

BRowns with s/u DOG Win are UP at +13

I know Ravens D is mising KEY starters

SO If Browns do as usual and KEEP that #2 ranked defense on THE Field LONGER than Ravens Offense

by 3rd qtr Ravens will be gasping for AIR and The Rookie QB goes down in flames !

rember NO team is as GOOD or BAD as they wrre last Week !

THE Public has short Memory they SAW a MIRAGE in Ravens last WEEK a WEak west Coast team Playing East early Game !


BROWNS - 1 point 10**********
</P>BE back later with some goodies this is as far as I got late last night !


UGLY
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-02-2008, 07:04 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegaswiseguy
OK i forgot we do have 65% system vs Giants - 9 vs Cowgirls

G men won as a DOG of 3 at Steelers nowwwwwwwwww they got respect DONT they they hammered the 31 defense in the league on The Road THEY beat a 5- 1 team

EVEN tho Cowboys win was Weak vs BUCS at HOME they DID win as a FAVORITE holding BUCS to 3 FG's and scoring 13 !

Spraed jumped to -9 for reason public herad of WITTEN possibly OUT and other players on Cowgirls defense OUT

Really Brad J isnt what he used to Be as you saw his lack of mobilty old creaky bones had truble moving ball at HOME vs BUCS defense !

IF they have trouble against Giants attack Defense Game is over Brad will get koed early and they prreeed Brooks bolinger in case !

COWBOYS +9 2**
BARFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF

Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-02-2008, 07:08 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegaswiseguy
onward

JETS +4 1/2 at BILLs WINNER

when YOU have farve in the pocket YOU are never out of the game !

LOVEd the Let down last week as DD chalk vs Bengals

teams are close in rankings like two peas in a POD O and D

BILLs O ranked 18th 22nd R 12 P
D ranked 11th 13 R 13th P

JETS O 15th 15 R 15 P

D ranked 12th 4th R but but 23rd Pass

I have JETS hanging here and possibly pull off upset vs this over ranked Bills team

JETS +4 1/2 (down 1 point ) 10********** BANG BANG

over 42 10********** i see high 40's or 50's total here ! 26 - 17 squeakkkkkk WIN

CARDS - 3 at Rams

scary close both teams did nothing last week but hang around and cover as DOGS

HOWEVER Cards were winning the Game at Panthers lost in 4th quater by 4 points

as a 5.5 DOG so using spread as a pck Rams are -9 points as a 3 dog still -9 points

of course a very weal offense now ranked 28th and defnse ranked 29th

CARDS O ranked 5th D ranked 13th

light play on CARDS 3*** WINNER over 49 ehhhhhh dead on the money i get 48.85 points total tease it

CARDS +3 OVER 43 5**** BANG WINNER

BRB in 10 im doing this live right now !
NICE WINS
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:26 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.