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Week One Lines and Leans
Still a few weeks away and many things can still happen (ie. line movement, injuries, Drama Queen returns...) but looking for some early thoughts on week one.
NFL Lines For Week 1 - NFL Football Line Week One NFL Line 9/9 - 9/13, 2010 Date & Time Favorite Line Underdog Total 9/9 8:30 ET At New Orleans -6 Minnesota 48.5 9/12 1:00 ET At NY Giants -7 Carolina 41 9/12 1:00 ET Miami -3 At Buffalo 37.5 9/12 1:00 ET Atlanta -2.5 At Pittsburgh 38 9/12 1:00 ET At Chicago -7 Detroit 43 9/12 1:00 ET At New Eng -5.5 Cincinnati 43 9/12 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -3 Cleveland 36.5 9/12 1:00 ET At Jackson -2.5 Denver 39.5 9/12 1:00 ET Indianapolis -3 At Houston 46.5 9/12 1:00 ET At Tenne -6.5 Oakland 41 9/12 4:15 ET Green Bay -1 At Philadelphia 44.5 9/12 4:15 ET San Fran -2.5 At Seattle 38 9/12 4:15 ET Arizona -4 At St. Louis 40 9/12 8:20 ET Dallas -3.5 At Washington 41.5 Monday Night Football Line 9/13 7:00 ET At NY Jets -3 Baltimore 37 9/13 10:15 ET San Dieg -5.5 At Kansas City 45 Just at a glance I see value in the Dolphins, Over CHI/DET, Cincinnati, Houston, Under ARZ/STL, Dallas, and Baltimore.
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All preseason plays are 2 units / 2% of bankroll. |
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dallas, houston, cincinatti, oakland under 41, greenbay
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#3
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Very rarely do I bet a large amount in the first week of the NFL but as long as no injuries happen during the preseason I am going to have a fairly large wager on the over in the GreenBay/Philadelphia game. This is going to be a shootout and really am expecting to see this hit the over in the 3rd quarter.
Already have an over played in the NewOrleans/Minnesota game to start the season, fully expect that Favre will be back for this game and that total is going to rise because of it and at worse if he is not I still believe that the Vikes with either one of Jackson or Rosenfels are going to put points up on the board like the Saints will as well. Pittsburgh +2.5, again overreaction to BigBen being out. Expect Dennis Dixon will be the starting QB for the Steelers and being at home they will still get the victory. I am more worried about the Steelers after this game than this game itself. Chicago/Detroit over 43. Very intrigued about this over but want to see how both offenses start to look at the preseason moves on, especially the Bears offense under the Madhatter Mike Martz. With Martz as the OC we could see alot of points being scored by the Bears offense but with him and his pass happy ways we could also see alot of points scored against a Bears defense that I have alot of questions about. Jacksonville -2.5 looks interesting at home to the Broncos. Tennessee -6.5 at home to the Raiders, might not have the tub of lard at QB anymore but I have never been a fan of Jason Campbell and don't think that makes them that more better(better yes, alot better no) Like the Pack as well to knock off the Eagles but because I will have a big bet on the over I will just skip the side and root for alot of TDS, lol!!! |
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