WEKK 8 one strong team trend 100% one strong system play !

[Vegaswiseguy]

THE fade is PATRIOTS as a DD Fva at HOME VS Rams

reason is they Have old conf Rival up next COLTS and the DOUBLE Killer was they EMPTIED the Tanks on MNF winning by more than 3 TD's over the spread pulls the trigger on every NFL team to fall below the number week following !

SYSTEM Play is fade THE PHINS

the system that has held 100% for 9 years now

i developed this from a loss years ago

IS when any team is playing B2 B home games

facing a NON DIV Rival and is favored before DIV rival up next WEEK and THEY LOSE THE Game S/U as a FAVORITE of 1.5 points or more THEY always fall down vs THE DIV rival next week at HOME !

agin the Parameters are THEY MUST BE Favored at home installed as fav opening line and closing line not a 1 pt fav or pck i would say -2 points or more vs a NON Div opponent !

MIAMI lost as -3 pt fav to ravens .... 2nd they must have a DIV rival in 2nd HOME Game BILLS are in DIV afc EAST

exception to this system if RIVAL comes in beat up down to 2nd and 3rd string players with multiple injuries !

THEN i would play ON the HOME team only happend once GIANTS lost as CHalk vs Vkies Eagles were down to 3rd string QB and 16 players on IR

RESULTS of all teams in this situation from past 10 years as recorded the PLAYBOOK by Marc Lawrence THIS is S/U and ATS DOG or Favorite !

FALCONS - 3 vs bears at home with 49ers up next at home LOST to BEARS 3-31 49ers came In next WEEK Falcons+3 dog were winning at half time by two td's i thought oooooooooooooooo i lost this one

NOPE 49ers puuled off win by 7 pts 37-31 2003 falcons - vs skins LOST 31-33 IN Came BUCS new DIV rival

FALCONS +5 home DOG LOST 10-31

2000 BEARS -2 vs NYG LOST 7-14 HOME vs Rival LIONs - 2 LOST 14-21 2 weeks later BEARS -4 vs Saints LOST

10-31 vs VIKES at HOME 6 dog LOST 16-28

1999 PACKERS -5.5 MNF lost to SEATTLE 7-27

-9 vs bears lost 13-14

2001 COLTS -3.5 vs raiders LOST 18-23
vs PATS - 10 LOST 17-38

2007 CHEIFS - 2.5 vs PACK LOST 22-33

-3 vs DENV LOST 11-27

2000 PHINS - 2.5 vs bucs lost 13-16

- 2.5 vs colts LOST 13-20

2004 PHINS - 2 vs steelers lost 3-13

+6.5 vs jets lost 9-15

2003 VIKES - 6 vs nyg LOST 17-29

vs GB -5 LOST 27-30

2003 NYG - 3 vs bills LOST 7-24
- 3 VS wash lost 7-20

2006 RAIDRS - 2.5 vs RAMS lost 0-20

+7 vs KC lost 9 -20

2007 EAGLES - 3 vs Seattle lost 24-28

- 3 VS NYG LOST 13-16

1999 Steelers - 3.5 vs seat. L 10-29

+3 vs jags L 3-17 (the trend broken of JAGS & Steelers neither team won at others house S/U or ATS )

thats ENOUGH the rest f teams also did it many times

TAKE THE BILLS as any over PHINS !

20 *******************

[Dr. Jack]

Originally Posted by Vegaswiseguy

THE fade is PATRIOTS as a DD Fva at HOME VS Rams

Pats are only -7 at home, not double digit favorite but good luck this weekend

[Vegaswiseguy]

thx JACK still thats fishy spread only -7 after winning 41-7
so i make RAMS a DD dog with a 6 point teaser LOL!

ALSO PATS lost two key players on MNF bruschi i think or was it other DE

and somene on offense is out and O line is pretty knicked up also PATS won because of sloppy broncos play of multiple turnovers !

[Vegaswiseguy]

I want to add to this the DIFFERNCE Between Trends and SYSTEMS

a TREND applies ONLY to ONE team under Certain specific CONDITIONS !

EXAMPLE of TREND the BRONCOS after wiining a game as a DOG over any one then favored in next weeks game (NO BYE WEEK are 0- 11 ATS )

IF Broncos WIN as DOG over DEF champs then favored (bye week included ) THEY are 100% LOSERS ATS and S/U

hasnt happend often but they still have that trend !

ANOTHER old trend was DOLPHINS 100% Winners after JETS game ! this was a partil lie it was after they LOST to THEY JETS

one year 2002 they WON at HOME vs JETS as a FAV finally after 4 years of losing to that TEAM

then wk 4 away -3 points at Chiefs sandwhiched with div Rival def Champs PATS up next week i had system play in effect that is 100% as long as the oppent is healthy !

KC walloped Dolphins in shootout 48 - 30 so of course this pulled the triigeron dolphins to bounce back at HOME over PATS they responded -3 winner 26-13

then holding true vs Broncos home or AWAY as a 3.5 DOG WON the game 24-22

EX: Systems apply to every team in NFL this is oldes 65% system in NFL 22 years running FADE any team after a DOG Win when favored in next Game !

[Yankee23]

Please do not take offense to this but I am 100% confused on what happened in 1999 after BB home losses to a divisional rival while playing the 3rd string QB has to do with what happens this Sunday?

Coaches, players, and personnel on teams have changed throughout the years and has no bearing on the present

Just curious and like I said earlier this shouldn't be taken the wrong way

GL the rest of the season

[Vegaswiseguy]

OK Yankee let me run the system it's NOT B 2 B home losses !
ANY team playing a HOME and HOME Series with NON DIV foe in 1 st game followed by a DIV rival in 2 nd game

when favored by 2 or more points and loses to NON DIV foe they have gone on to lose the 2nd Home vs a DIV Rival 100% of the TIME i showed 1999 up through and including on all teams when those parameters are MET !

EX: say THE Eagles are Favored at HOME vs THE Broncos and next week up is THE Giants

EAGLES favored by 6 vs BRONCOS they LOSE the Game outright 13- 20

IN Comes Giants favored by 3 or maybe as a DOG EAGLES will lose to the DIV Rival NYG !

EXCEPTION is when div Rival comes in with multiple injuries and playing with 2nd and 3rd string players !

THEN either take HOME team or stay OFF the Game

however that only happened ONCE !

the year after Eagles lost the Bowl they had 16 starters ON IR and THE QB was 3rd string rookie whom is gone now

THE PARAMYETERS again that must be MET before PULLING the trigger MUST be b 2 b home games with NON div foe in 1st game followed by a DIV rival in 2nd home game they MUST BE favored opening line and closing line

NOT start out as a DOG of 1 then turned favorite - 1 that would not be the system !

IF that team LOSES the GAME to a NON DIV Foe then bet against them in 2 nd GAME vs DIV Rival !

DOLPHINS tried to WIN that game they played hard closing in to be down by 3 points balty scored again in 2nd half and put them TO bed !

it was a 4qtr fight for PHINS and players got knicked up vs hard hitting Ravens D

The Spread is correct BILLS - 1.5 or - 2 thats NOT a sucker line at all !

IF Phins were favored YOU know something was UP !

DAED fish on the GRILLE BILLS can win down there it aint summer time no more !

BTW BILLS streak at MIAMI ATS is 8-0 DOG or favorite

last year at MIAMI - 2.5 won 14 - 10

[pittviper]

vegas.. don't think you understand what yankee was saying

[Fat Pockets]

:con

[cuse_man]

at least these post are easy to read

[Cameron]

So I take it you will be playing bills much larger than rams since you didn't even rate your rams pick?

And personally I greatly appreciate what you are bringing to the mall, tons of solid info even if it isn't presented in the most easy to read manner (lmao) but I have no problem making sense of it which is all that matters, so BOL and let's hope this system stays perfect!!!

[Vegaswiseguy]

ME TOO CAMERON one of them went Kableiew last week ATS but the team still won !

thx to needless FG in 4th qtr from LIONS at TEXANS GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

100% s/u 95% ATS i still wil play aginst any D D dog that was winning the whole game and winds up losing at end by 3 points or less when they play following week !

NO BYE week of course YOU want those teams playing with NO rest !

TEXANS ripped them open in first qtr 21-0 then at 28 - 18 i still had cover BANG a pointless 52 yd FG in desperation late in 4th qtr .

Texans got ball back ran clock out i think sent lions home winning by 7 !

$330 wager gone !

[Vegaswiseguy]

OOthe Rams spred already JUMPED up 2 points from +7 to + 9 and it's only THURS !

didnt pats lose a FEW players last wek RUNNIG Back MORRIS old pro defensemen ummmmmm whats his name !

emptied the tank with 41 points aginst the DEFENSELESS Broncos !

won 41 - 7 as 3 chalk

KABOOM a strong canditae to fall under the number !

especially with BIG Conf rival up next the PONIES !

9 points they won by 34 points ???

opening line stunk like a dead fish - 7 !

[greatdivide]

Take the Bills... got it.

Any other highly rated plays?

How about Eagles v Falcons? I heard on NFL radio today that Andy Reid is 9-0 after a bye.

Oakland v Baltimore? I know the west coming east trend is pretty hot this year... a big part of that trend is that most of the teams that play on the west coast just aren't very good.

I'd like to hear your thoughts.

Thanks.

[NFLMAN]

Love the fact that you share systems. Good man.

I see a vegas pointspread trend on this game that might interest you...

Using closing lines, all favorites this year of less than 2 points have won ATS - the combined record of home and away favorites is 14-0 ATS

But seriously, I think the Bills will overpower the Dolphins. The Dolphins are getting a lot of good press because they beat New England and San Diego, but neither of those teams have been able to put any pressure on opposing QBs this year, and that is Chad Pennington's Kryptonite, you must pressure him to beat him. I think the Bills bring it. Not only that but Dolphins starting DT Jason Ferguson is out. So, the Bills on offense will not be dealing with the Dolphins defense at full power.

[THE_vegas_INSIDER]

ya think dolphins' Cobbs x-factorizes this game?