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#1
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What this prop say about the game....
At Pinny, there's a prop for
Does team score last win the SB? Yes -210 No +170 This tells me it will be a close game to the end. If this game is a blow out, the losing team will score on garbage time. Therefore, line should be more even. |
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#2
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just bet cointoss TAILS!
__________________
Record 2011 MEXICAN SOCCER LEAGUE 15-7 +111.7 Units (season done)Record 2012 MEXICAN SOCCER LEAGUE 10-5-2 +31.6Units ![]()
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#3
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I personally believe most props are designed to penalize the OVER and YES answers, simply because when watching a game like this it's not much fun rooting for things not to happen...much more exciting when they do happen and you can let out a big cheer
Are the odds that the game is so close that the last score wins really correct at 1-2 payback? No way, your analysis is correct and it is at least as likely a team is winning by enough to simply try and hold on NO is the better value, but may not be much fun to bet imo props are designed to rope in the casual bettor, beware overthinking what the book means, they are playing to the occasional bettor who doesn't think |
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#4
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Quote:
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#5
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Quote:
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#6
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Quote:
or..... Team A is ahead 12pts+ w/ not much time Team B feels forced to go for a TD instead of scoring a FG to draw closer ( less chance of getting a TD than a FG ) or they get the TD go for onside kick and fail which leaves Team B in great position to either score another TD or FG themselves leaving Team B with little chance to respond. point is.. everyone tries to read into prop lines for whatever reason, and most of the time it just plays mind games with you. Last edited by cuse_man; 02-06-2010 at 11:28 AM. |
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