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#1
09-29-2009, 07:38 AM
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Winner's Edge Angles & Trends heading into Week 4
BAL is 16-6 ATS in their L22 games; 2-1 TY
BUF is 3-6-1 ATS in their *** Div encounters; 1-0 TY CIN is 5-9 ATS in their L14 Div matchups; 1-0 TY CIN is 6-10-1 ATS in their L17 road games; 1-0 TY CLE is 24-3 ATS when they score 24+ pts; none in 3 tries TY DAL is 9-15 ATS in their L24 games; 2-1 TY DEN is 17-34 ATS in their L52 games; 3-0 TY DET is 2-25 SU & 9-18 ATS in their L27 games DET has produced 21 OVERs and 5 UNDERs in their L26 road games; 1/0 TY GB is 7-0-1 ATS in their L8 matchups with MN GB is 14-5 ATS in their L19 Div encounters; 1-0 TY GB has produced 16 OVERs and 5 UNDERs in their L21 road games; 1/0 TY HOU: the SU winner in Texans' games vs AFC West opponents is 9-0 ATS IND is 4-10 ATS in their L14 home games; 0-1 TY JAX is 7-15 ATS in their L22 games; 2-1 TY KC is 4-12 ATS in their L17 home games; 0-1 TY MIA is 2-8 ATS in their *** matchups with BUF MIA is 5-12-1 ATS in their L18 home games; 1-0 TY MN is 6-10-1 ATS in their L17 Div encounters; 1-0 TY MN is 1-7 ATS when hosting Div opponents on MNF NE is 5-11 ATS in their L16 home games; 1-1 TY NO has produced 23 OVERs and 6 UNDERs in their L29 games; 2/1 TY NO is 13-5-1 ATS in their L19 games; 3-0 TY NYG is 21-4 ATSin their L25 road games; 2-0 TY PIT has produced 22 OVERs and 12 UNDERs in their L34 home games; 0/1 TY STL is 7-18 ATS in their L25 Div encounters; 0-1 TY SD is 2-9-1 ATS in their L12 visits to PIT SF is 7-2 ATS in their L9 matchups with STL SEA has produced 13 OVERs and 2 UNDERs in their L15 visits to AFC opponents TN is 14-5 ATS in their L19 Div encounters; 0-1 TY TN: the SU winner in the TN/JAX series is 26-2 ATS TN is 13-7 ATS in their L20 games; 1-2 TY 
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#2
09-29-2009, 07:58 AM
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Winner's Edge Picks for Wk 4:
---------------------------- DAL @ DEN: Take DEN TN @ JAX: Take JAX --------------------------------- Winner's Edge Record (so far): 4-2 Wk 1: 0-1 Wk 2: 2-0 Wk 3: 2-1
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#3
09-29-2009, 08:17 AM
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Yep, already taken the Jags.
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#4
09-29-2009, 09:54 AM
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This will be NYG's 3rd consecutive road game.
Vegas opened NY as a -9.5 Fav in KC. Check the point differential in the standings... Nice. Next week OAK will be in NY and the home team will get too many points...-14to -14.5 or a bit more so I'm taking them now and will play against them on their return home. My first pick will be the NY Giants 
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#5
10-01-2009, 09:06 PM
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How teams fare SU & ATS before and after their Bye Week:
============================================ On Bye Week 4: AZ, ATL, CAR, PHI: --------------------------------- Wk 3 SU: AZ (L), ATL (L), CAR (L), PHI (W) Wk 3 ATS: AZ (L), ATL (L), CAR (L), PHI (W) Wk 5 SU: AZ (-), ATL (-), CAR (-), PHI (-) Wk 5 ATS: AZ (-), ATL (-), CAR (-), PHI (-) On Bye Week 5: CHI, GB, NO, SD: ------------------------------- Wk 4 SU: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-) Wk 4 ATS: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-) Wk 6 SU: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-) Wk 6 ATS: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-) On Bye Week 6: DAL, IND, MIA, SF: --------------------------------- Wk 5 SU: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-) Wk 5 ATS: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-) Wk 7 SU: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-) Wk 7 ATS: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-) On Bye Week 7: BAL, DEN, DET, JAX, SEA, TN: ------------------------------------------- Wk 6 SU: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-) Wk 6 ATS: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-) Wk 8 SU: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-) Wk 8 ATS: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-) On Bye Week 8: CIN, KC, NE, PIT, TB, WGN: ----------------------------------------- Wk 7 SU: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-) Wk 7 ATS: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-) Wk 9 SU: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-) Wk 9 ATS: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-) On Bye Week 9: BUF, CLE, MN, NYJ, OAK, STL: ------------------------------------------- Wk 8 SU: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-) Wk 8 ATS: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-) Wk 10 SU: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-) Wk 10 ATS: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-) On Bye Week 10: HOU, NYG: ------------------------- Wk 9 SU: HOU (-), NYG (-) Wk 9 ATS: HOU (-), NYG (-) Wk 11 SU: HOU (-), NYG (-) Wk 11 ATS: HOU (-), NYG (-)
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#6
10-01-2009, 09:19 PM
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NFL BETTING TRENDS - WEEK 4:
------------------------------- Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans: ----------------------------------- - Oakland is 2-9 ATS on the road after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game. - The Raiders are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog. - Oakland has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine road games. - The Raiders have produced 8 overs and 1 under in their last nine road games vs. .400 or less non-divisional opponents. - Houston is 1-4 ATS after hosting Jacksonville, since 2004. - The Texans are 0-4 ATS after a SU favorite loss vs. a non-divisional AFC opponent. - Houston is 1-6 ATS in October vs. a non-divisional opponent coming off a divisional game. - The Texans have produced 7 overs and 1 under in their last eight games following a matchup with the Jaguars. Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: ---------------------------------------- - Tennessee has produced 3 overs and 9 unders in their last 12 road games. - The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites. - Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. - The Titans are 8-1 ATS in October vs. an opponent coming off a SU divisional win. - Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS after a matchup with Houston. - The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups with Tennessee and 2-5 ATS in their lasts even as the host. - Jacksonville has produced 9 overs and 4 unders in their last 13 home games. - The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their second home game of the season, since 2004. Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots: ---------------------------------------- - Baltimore is 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games. - The Ravens are 10-2 ATS before a matchup with the Bengals. - Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. - The Ravens have produced 10 overs, 2 unders and 1 push in their last 13 road games. - New England is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. - The Patriots are 1-8 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. - New England is 0-6 ATS at home after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game. - The Patriots are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: -------------------------------------- - Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 divisional encounters. - The Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. - Cincinnati is 9-0 ATS vs. an opponent coming off 3+ straight ATS losses. - The Bengals are 0-7 ATS after a matchup with the Steelers. - Cleveland is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games. - The Browns are 7-1 ATS as divisional underdogs following a double-digit SU divisional loss. - Cleveland is 1-6 ATS as home underdogs vs. an opponent coming off a SU underdog win. - The Browns have produced 0 overs and 8 unders in their last eight games following a visit to the Ravens. New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs: ------------------------------------- - New York is 21-4 ATS in their last 25 road games. - The Giants are 9-1 ATS on the road following back-to-back SU/ATS wins. - New York is 1-6 ATS vs. .333 or less AFC opponents. - The Giants are 10-1 ATS in October following back-to-back SU wins vs. an opponent coming off a non-divisional encounter. - Kansas City is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. - The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS as home underdogs vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. - Kansas City is 2-8 ATS at home following back-to-back SU/ATS losses. - The Chiefs have produced 11 overs and 4 unders in their last 15 home games. Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: ------------------------------ - Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. - The Lions have produced 20 overs and 6 unders in their last 26 road games. - Detroit is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 10+ points. - The Lions are 4-10 ATS in their second road game of the season, since 1995. - Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit favorite. - The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a divisional favorite of more than three points. - Chicago has produced 18 overs and 8 unders in their last 26 home games. - The Bears are 4-9-2 ATS following back-to-back ATS wins. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins: ---------------------------------------------- - Tampa Bay is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. - The Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. .333 or less opponents. - Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog of 7+ points. - The Buccaneers are 10-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. - Washington is 2-9-3 ATS in their last 14 games. - The Redskins are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. - Washington is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite vs. .333 or less opponents. - The Redskins have produced 7 overs and 17 unders in their last 24 home games. Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts: -------------------------------------- - Seattle is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. - The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS following back-to-back SU losses. - Seattle is 1-7 ATS vs. non-divisional opponents coming off 3+ straight SU wins. - The Seahawks are 2-13 ATS on the road in October vs. an opponent coming off a SU/ATS win. - Indianapolis is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. - The Colts are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. NFC opponents. - Indianapolis has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine home games. - The Colts have produced 4 overs and 8 unders in their last 12 non-divisional encounters. New York Jets at New Orleans Saints: ------------------------------------ - New York is 14-7 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. - The Jets are 1-10 ATS in October following back-to-back SU/ATS wins. - New York has produced 1 over and 7 unders in their last eight visits to .700 or better opponents. - The Jets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 visits to NFC opponents. - New Orleans is 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games. - The Saints have produced 11 overs, 1 under and 1 push in their last 13 home games. - New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. - The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests vs. AFC opponents. Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: ---------------------------- - Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in their last nine matchups with Miami and 3-1 ATS in their last four visits. - The Bills are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 road games. - Buffalo is 2-8 ATS in October following a double-digit ATS loss vs. less than .500 opponents. - The Bills are 3-6 ATS in their last nine divisional contests. - Miami is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. - The Dolphins are 6-0 ATS following a double-digit ATS loss vs. a divisional opponent coming off a double-digit ATS loss. - Miami has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine home games. - The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS before an appearance on Monday night. St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers: -------------------------------------- - St. Louis is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games as a 9+ point underdog. - The Rams are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 divisional encounters. - St. Louis is 1-6 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their last game. - The Rams have produced 3 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in their last 11 divisional encounters. - San Francisco is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a divisional host. - The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. the Rams. - San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a 7+ point favorite. - The 49ers are 9-4-1 ATS in their second home game of the season, since 1994. Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos: ---------------------------------- - Dallas is 1-6 ATS in their last seven matchups with Denver and 0-4 ATS in their last four visits. - The Cowboys are 1-9 ATS on the road following a double-digit ATS win vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit SU win. - Dallas is 1-5 ATS after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game. - The Cowboys have produced 8 overs and 1 under in the first of back-to-back road games. - Denver is 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 home games. - The Broncos have produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine home games. - Denver is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC opponents. - The Broncos are 6-3-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a matchup with the Raiders. San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers: ----------------------------------------- - San Diego is 13-5-3 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. - The Chargers are 9-4 ATS following back-to-back home games. - San Diego is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 matchups with Pittsburgh and 1-4 ATS in their last five visits. - The Chargers have produced 17 overs and 7 unders in their last 24 road games. - Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS at home following a SU divisional loss. - The Steelers have produced 37 overs and 17 unders in their last 54 home games. - Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS following back-to-back road games. - The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their second home game of the season, since 2002. Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: -------------------------------------- - Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last four matchups with Minnesota and 5-1 ATS in their last six visits. - The Packers are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog. - Green Bay has produced 18 overs and 7 unders in their last 25 road games. - The Packers are 9-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. - Minnesota is 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 divisional encounters. - The Vikings are 1-7 ATS when hosting divisional opponents on Monday night. - Minnesota has produced 3 overs and 11 unders in their last 14 games as favorites following back-to-back SU wins. - The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games.
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#7
10-03-2009, 09:01 AM
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Consensus picks for the Canadian-wide ATS pool as of Saturday morning. This Pool started out with about 25,000 contestants but goes down each week. After Wk 3 I rank #159--not bad. The percentages won't change that much by kickoff:
Detroit at Chicago: ------------------ Detroit 51.6% Chicago -10.5 48.4% Cincinnati at Cleveland: ---------------------- Cincinnati -5.5 80.9% Cleveland 19.1% Oakland at Houston: ------------------- Houston -9.5 59.7% Oakland 40.3% Seattle at Indianapolis: ---------------------- Indianapolis -9.5 82.8% Seattle 17.2% Tennessee at Jacksonville: ------------------------- Tennessee -3.5 60.8% Jacksonville 39.2% New York G. at Kansas City: -------------------------- New York G. -9.5 87.8% Kansas City 12.2% Baltimore at New England: ------------------------ Baltimore 56.0% New England -2.5 44.0% Tampa Bay at Washington: ------------------------- Tampa Bay 56.5% Washington -7.5 43.5% Buffalo at Miami: ---------------- Buffalo -2.5 65.5% Miami 34.5% New York J. at New Orleans: --------------------------- New Orleans -6.5 66.5% New York J. 33.5% Dallas at Denver: ---------------- Dallas -3.5 66.8% Denver 33.2% St. Louis at San Francisco: ------------------------- San Francisco -9.5 72.5% St. Louis 27.4% San Diego at Pittsburgh: ----------------------- San Diego 59.0% Pittsburgh -6.5 41.0% Green Bay at Minnesota: ----------------------- Minnesota -3.5 67.3% Green Bay
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#8
10-03-2009, 09:17 AM
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did you follow up on the %
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#9
10-03-2009, 09:48 AM
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Quote:
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#10
10-03-2009, 07:11 PM
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thanks for the info lukester
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#11
10-04-2009, 07:11 PM
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TNF Prime Time:
--------------- O/U = 0/1 SU Home Teams: 1-0 Favs: 0-1 SNF Prime Time: --------------- O/U = 1/2 SU Home Teams: 1-2 Favs: 1-2 MNF Prime Time: --------------- O/U = 3/1 SU Home Teams: 2-2 Favs: 1-3
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