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  #1  
Old 10-06-2009, 08:12 PM
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Winner's Edge Angles & Trends heading into Wk 5

AZ is 8-5 ATS in their L13 home games; 0-2 TY

ATL has produced 11 OVERs and 28 UNDERs in their L39 road games; 0/1 TY

BAL is 16-7 ATS in their L23 games; 2-2 TY

BAL is 10-3-1 ATS in their L14 Div encounters; 1-0 TY

BUF is 5-23 ATS when playing a non-divisional opponent after playing MIA

CAR is 8-4-1 ATS in their L13 home games; 0-1 TY

CIN is 5-10 ATS in their L15 Div matchups; 1-1 TY

CIN is 6-11-1 ATS in their L18 road games; 1-1 TY

CLE is 24-3 ATS when they score 24+ points

DAL has produced 29 OVERs, 14 UNDERs and 1 Push in their L44 road games; 1/1 TY

DAL is 9-16 ATS in their L25 games; 2-2 TY

DEN is 18-34-1 ATS in their L53 games; 4-0 TY

DET is 2-26 SU and 9-19 ATS in their L28 games

IND is 6-13-1 ATS in their L20 Div encounters; 0-1 TY

JAX is 8-15 ATS in their L23 games; 3-1 TY

KC is 4-13-1 ATS in their L18 home games; 0-2 TY

MIA is 1-10 ATS in their L11 games hosting the NYJ

MIA is 6-12-1 ATS in their L 19 home games; 2-0 TY

PHI is 18-7 ATS following their Bye week

PIT is 12-6-1 ATS in their L19 encounters with NFC opponents; 0-1 TY

STL is 6-17 ATS in their L23 home games; 0-1 TY

TN is 14-6 ATS in their L20 Div encounters; 0-2 TY

TN is 13-8 ATS in their L21 games; 1-3 TY

WGN is 3-7-1 ATS in their L11 road games; 1-1 TY
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  #2  
Old 10-06-2009, 08:20 PM
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NYG 0pened at -15 vs OAK

Last week I said they would open at -14 or -14.5 (or even more)

NY is coming back home from a 3-game road stretch and covered them all...so they get overpriced in this spot

I like to play against upon their return home (hangover? for lack of a better word)

OAK+15 is as sweet as you can get (my first pick of the week).
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  #3  
Old 10-06-2009, 09:40 PM
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Not sure if I could put $$$ on Jamarcus and the Raiders at this point Luke. Tom Cable could be arrested anytime now for his alleged assault on one of the assistant coaches. This is also the Raiders' 2nd road game on the East Coast at the early time slot. McFadden is also out for 2-4 weeks. This team is just a mess.

I will need to check on Eli's status before deciding on this game. IMO, there are better values on the board.

As an FYI, this week could be a repeat of last week with respect to Ontario ProLine Pro Pick Pools payout, quite a few big favorites this week and if they all come in, we could be looking at a 3-digit prize again.
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  #4  
Old 10-07-2009, 08:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7thHeaven View Post
Not sure if I could put $$$ on Jamarcus and the Raiders at this point Luke. Tom Cable could be arrested anytime now for his alleged assault on one of the assistant coaches. This is also the Raiders' 2nd road game on the East Coast at the early time slot. McFadden is also out for 2-4 weeks. This team is just a mess.

I will need to check on Eli's status before deciding on this game. IMO, there are better values on the board.

As an FYI, this week could be a repeat of last week with respect to Ontario ProLine Pro Pick Pools payout, quite a few big favorites this week and if they all come in, we could be looking at a 3-digit prize again.
I don't know what to say, 7th...actually I won't say anything except that I may be in the groove in my thinking tunnel and will follow my thought process and my stats instead of the "media circus" or the National Enquirer--lol.

I'm doing great in my ATS pool/25,000 contestants:

Wk 4: Rank 23
Wk 3: Rank 159
Wk 2: Rank 322
Wk 1: Rank 366

I will post the consensus picks Friday night or Saturday.

GL as usual on the Pool trek.
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  #5  
Old 10-07-2009, 08:50 AM
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---------------------------------
Before the Bye teams are 3-5 SU
Before the Bye teams are 3-5 ATS

After the Bye teams are --- SU
After the Bye teams are --- ATS
---------------------------------



On Bye Week 4: AZ, ATL, CAR, PHI:
---------------------------------

Wk 3 SU: AZ (L), ATL (L), CAR (L), PHI (W)

Wk 3 ATS: AZ (L), ATL (L), CAR (L), PHI (W)

Wk 5 SU: AZ (-), ATL (-), CAR (-), PHI (-)

Wk 5 ATS: AZ (-), ATL (-), CAR (-), PHI (-)


On Bye Week 5: CHI, GB, NO, SD:
-------------------------------

Wk 4 SU: CHI (W), GB (L), NO (W), SD (L)

Wk 4 ATS: CHI (W), GB (L), NO (W), SD (L)

Wk 6 SU: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-)

Wk 6 ATS: CHI (-), GB (-), NO (-), SD (-)


On Bye Week 6: DAL, IND, MIA, SF:
---------------------------------

Wk 5 SU: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-)

Wk 5 ATS: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-)

Wk 7 SU: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-)

Wk 7 ATS: DAL (-), IND (-), MIA (-), SF (-)


On Bye Week 7: BAL, DEN, DET, JAX, SEA, TN:
-------------------------------------------

Wk 6 SU: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-)

Wk 6 ATS: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-)

Wk 8 SU: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-)

Wk 8 ATS: BAL (-), DEN (-), DET (-), JAX (-), SEA (-), TN (-)


On Bye Week 8: CIN, KC, NE, PIT, TB, WGN:
-----------------------------------------

Wk 7 SU: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-)

Wk 7 ATS: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-)

Wk 9 SU: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-)

Wk 9 ATS: CIN (-), KC (-), NE (-), PIT (-), TB (-), WGN (-)


On Bye Week 9: BUF, CLE, MN, NYJ, OAK, STL:
-------------------------------------------

Wk 8 SU: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-)

Wk 8 ATS: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-)

Wk 10 SU: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-)

Wk 10 ATS: BUF (-), CLE (-), MN (-), NYJ (-), OAK (-), STL (-)


On Bye Week 10: HOU, NYG:
-------------------------

Wk 9 SU: HOU (-), NYG (-)

Wk 9 ATS: HOU (-), NYG (-)

Wk 11 SU: HOU (-), NYG (-)

Wk 11 ATS: HOU (-), NYG (-)
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  #6  
Old 10-07-2009, 08:58 AM
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Tennesee will win this week.
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Originally Posted by goldengreek View Post
by the way.....


Mods...ip check

i have it on good authority that bronson7 is a ghost for chumly
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  #7  
Old 10-07-2009, 01:22 PM
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7th, not quite sure I agree with you on the Ontario Proline Pool, given that there are 7 favourites -200 or less, there is definitely the potential for upsets. Last week there were only four (and anyone is capable of easily boxing four games on their ticket)
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  #8  
Old 10-09-2009, 10:47 AM
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Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams:
-----------------------------------

- Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups with St. Louis and 0-4 ATS in their last four visits.
- The Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit favorite.
- Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games following an appearance on Monday night.
- The Vikings have produced 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 road games.
- St. Louis is 12-24 ATS in their last 36 games.
- The Rams are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
- St. Louis is 1-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their last game.
- The Rams are 1-6 ATS following a divisional road game.

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs:
------------------------------------

- Dallas is 2-6 ATS in their last eight encounters with AFC opponents.
- The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in October following a SU loss vs. an opponent coming off a non-divisional encounter.
- Dallas has produced 1 over and 13 unders vs. opponents coming off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
- The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
- Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
- The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS as non-divisional home underdogs of 3+ points.
- Kansas City is 2-9 ATS at home following back-to-back SU/ATS losses.
- The Chiefs have produced 11 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in their last 16 home games.

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers:
----------------------------------------

- Washington is 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
- The Redskins have produced 3 overs, 6 unders and 1 push in their last 10 road games.
- Washington is 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of more than three points.
- The Redskins have produced 4 overs and 21 unders in their last 25 non-divisional encounters.
- Carolina is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
- The Panthers are 1-9 ATS as home favorites in October vs. 500 or better opponents.
- Carolina has produced 1 over and 8 unders after scoring less than 10 points in their previous game.
- The Panthers have produced 8 overs and 3 unders in their last 11 games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles:
--------------------------------------------

- Tampa Bay is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
- The Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS following a SU non-divisional road loss.
- Tampa Bay has produced 10 overs and 4 unders in their last 14 road games.
- The Buccaneers are 5-13 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- Philadelphia is 15-6 ATS after a week of rest.
- The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Philadelphia has produced 0 overs and 10 unders after their bye week, since 1999.
- The Eagles have produced 5 overs, 0 unders and 1 push in their last six home games.

Oakland Raiders at New York Giants:
-----------------------------------

- Oakland is 7-0 ATS following a double-digit ATS loss vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back road games.
- The Raiders are 2-10 ATS on the road after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Oakland is 6-0 ATS following a double-digit SU loss in October vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit SU win.
- The Raiders are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as a 10+ point underdog.
- New York is 31-11-2 ATS in their last 44 games.
- The Giants are 7-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a double-digit ATS win.
- New York is 2-8 ATS as a home favorite following back-to-back road games.
- The Giants are 11-1 ATS following back-to-back SU wins in October vs. an opponent coming off a non-divisional encounter.

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills:
-------------------------------

- Cleveland is 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
- The Browns are 7-1 ATS vs. AFC East opponents.
- Cleveland is 6-1 ATS as an underdog of six points or less before a matchup with Pittsburgh.
- The Browns are 10-2 ATS following a matchup with the Bengals.
- Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- The Bills are 3-20 ATS following a matchup with the Dolphins.
- Buffalo is 1-7 ATS following a SU loss in October vs. a less than .500 non-divisional opponent.
- The Bills are 2-9 ATS following a double-digit ATS loss in October vs. a less than .500 opponent.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens:
-------------------------------------

- Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 visits to Baltimore.
- The Bengals are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a matchup with the Browns.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- The Bengals are 4-19 ATS as road underdogs vs. .700 or better opponents.
- Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite.
- The Ravens are 1-10 ATS at home following a SU loss in October vs. an opponent coming off a SU win.
- Baltimore has produced 10 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in their last 15 divisional encounters.
- The Ravens are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Detroit Lions:
----------------------------------

- Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS before a matchup with Cleveland.
- The Steelers are 8-2 ATS as a favorite of more than three points vs. NFC opponents.
- Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS as double-digit favorites vs. a less than .500 opponent coming off an ATS loss.
- The Steelers are 0-5 ATS after scoring 35+ points in their previous game vs. a non-divisional opponent.
- Detroit is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
- The Lions are 7-2 ATS as double-digit underdogs vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit SU win.
- Detroit is 0-7 ATS before a matchup with Green Bay.
- The Lions have produced 13 overs and 4 unders in their last 17 non-divisional encounters.

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers:
--------------------------------------

- Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in their last eight visits to San Francisco.
- The Falcons are 1-5 ATS on the road following an AFC matchup.
- Atlanta is 17-5 ATS on the road in October vs. .500 or better opponents.
- The Falcons have produced 7 overs and 23 unders in their last 30 road games.
- San Francisco is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The 49ers are 5-1 ATS following a double-digit ATS win vs. .500 or better opponents.
- San Francisco is 7-1 ATS after scoring 28+ points in their previous game.
- The 49ers have produced 10 overs and 1 under after a matchup with the Rams.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos:
---------------------------------------

- New England is 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games as a road favorite.
- The Patriots are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 matchups with the Broncos and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 visits.
- New England is 11-2 ATS as a .500 or better favorite in October following back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
- The Patriots have produced 9 overs and 2 unders in their last 11 games.
- Denver is 3-15 ATS before a matchup with San Diego.
- The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games.
- Denver has produced 3 overs and 7 unders in their last 10 home games.
- The Broncos are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.

Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals:
------------------------------------

- Houston is 1-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games.
- The Texans are 3-11 ATS in games five and six, since their inception.
- Houston has produced 8 overs, 2 unders and 1 push in their last 11 road games.
- The Texans are 4-10 ATS in their 14 career visits to NFC opponents.
- Arizona is 5-0 ATS after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Cardinals are 13-6 ATS after a week of rest.
- Arizona is 7-1 ATS as a favorite after a double-digit ATS loss.
- The Cardinals have produced 25 overs and 10 unders in their last 35 non-divisional encounters.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Seattle Seahawks:
----------------------------------------

- Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS after a SU divisional home win.
- The Jaguars have produced 3 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in their last 11 road games.
- Jacksonville is 2-8 ATS after a matchup with Tennessee.
- The Jaguars are 3-11 ATS following a SU win of 20+ points.
- Seattle is 5-0 ATS before a matchup with Arizona.
- The Seahawks are 10-2 ATS following back-to-back SU losses.
- Seattle is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games hosting AFC opponents.
- The Seahawks are 1-11 ATS in October vs. an opponent coming off a SU underdog win.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans:
-------------------------------------

- Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups with Tennessee and 0-3 ATS in their last three visits.
- The Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
- Indianapolis is 1-6 ATS as a divisional road favorite of more than three points.
- The Colts have produced 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 divisional encounters.
- Tennessee is 2-6 ATS/1-7 SU in their last eight games.
- The Titans are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 divisional encounters but are 0-2 ATS this season.
- Tennessee has produced 30 overs and 13 unders in their last 43 home games.
- The Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins:
--------------------------------

- New York is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups with Miami and 6-0 ATS in their last six visits.
- The Jets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games on Monday nights.
- New York is 5-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS before a matchup with the Bills.
- Miami is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog on Monday nights.
- The Dolphins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
- Miami is 0-5 ATS following a double-digit SU win vs. an opponent coming off a SU loss.
- The Dolphins are 5-19 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite.
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  #9  
Old 10-09-2009, 11:05 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bronson7 View Post
Tennesee will win this week.
I'm starting to like this more and more--not only ATS but SU as well!
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  #10  
Old 10-09-2009, 06:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lukester View Post
I don't know what to say, 7th...actually I won't say anything except that I may be in the groove in my thinking tunnel and will follow my thought process and my stats instead of the "media circus" or the National Enquirer--lol.

I'm doing great in my ATS pool/25,000 contestants:

Wk 4: Rank 23
Wk 3: Rank 159
Wk 2: Rank 322
Wk 1: Rank 366

I will post the consensus picks Friday night or Saturday.

GL as usual on the Pool trek.
Keep it going Lukester, us Canucks can sometimes see the American games in different ways and that can be beneficial. I was one of several winners in last week's Pools, it doesn't pay much but it's a good start. That's all you can do really, give it your all and let the chips fall where they may.

The OLG has really tightened the windows and there are not as many opportunities as in previous years but we are chugging along.
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  #11  
Old 10-09-2009, 09:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7thHeaven View Post
Keep it going Lukester, us Canucks can sometimes see the American games in different ways and that can be beneficial. I was one of several winners in last week's Pools, it doesn't pay much but it's a good start. That's all you can do really, give it your all and let the chips fall where they may.

The OLG has really tightened the windows and there are not as many opportunities as in previous years but we are chugging along.
Good stuff 7th. I haven't been in the Proline Forum in quite some time now--but just saw the thread and congrats on getting 14/14 in OLG's ProPicks Pool.

It sure feels good on getting a perfect card--I know I've been there twice in the past: 14/14 and 16/16...

Keep hunting!
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  #12  
Old 10-09-2009, 09:15 PM
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The table below shows what percentage of users picked each of the possible selections in each for this Week. This started out with about 25,000 contestants in Week 1 and should be around 15,000 now. Percentages as of 10pm Friday night...most are in...the rest won't change the percentages that much by kickoff. Use with Caution! GL.



Cincinnati at Baltimore:
---------------------
Baltimore -8.5 58.9%
Cincinnati 41.1%


Cleveland at Buffalo:
--------------------
Buffalo -6.5 62.5%
Cleveland 37.5%


Washington at Carolina:
----------------------
Carolina -3.5 75.6%
Washington 24.4%


Pittsburgh at Detroit:
--------------------
Pittsburgh -10.5 78.1%
Detroit 21.9%


Dallas at Kansas City:
--------------------
Dallas -8.5 68.9%
Kansas City 31.1%


Oakland at New York G.:
-----------------------
New York G. -16.5 62.0%
Oakland 38.0%


Tampa Bay at Philadelphia:
-------------------------
Philadelphia -13.5 75.3%
Tampa Bay 24.7%


Minnesota at St. Louis:
----------------------
Minnesota -10.5 83.7%
St. Louis 16.3%


Atlanta at San Francisco:
------------------------
San Francisco -2.5 55.4%
Atlanta 44.6%


Houston at Arizona:
-------------------
Arizona -5.5 63.9%
Houston 36.1%


New England at Denver:
-----------------------
New England -3.5 65.7%
Denver 34.3%


Jacksonville at Seattle:
----------------------
Jacksonville -2.5 66.4%
Seattle 33.6%


Indianapolis at Tennessee:
-------------------------
Indianapolis -3.5 85.0%
Tennessee 15.0%


New York J. at Miami :
---------------------
New York J. -1.5 68.8%
Miami 31.2%
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  #13  
Old 10-10-2009, 09:42 PM
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thanks Luke
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  #14  
Old 10-10-2009, 11:26 PM
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Good Info. Thanks.
Don't Bet on the Raiders though.
Save your $$$
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  #15  
Old 10-12-2009, 10:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Morphius View Post
thanks Luke
No prob, Morphius. Have a good season.

Same with you, GoldenGod--have a good one.

You're right about OAK, GG--my Best Bet of this week but it did not come in--and that was by a stretch too ...but I did very good in my ATS Pool again so most of my picks came thru thus a profit and all are documented and verifiable.

One more this week: NYJ


TNF Prime Time:
---------------

O/U = 0/1
SU Home Teams: 1-0
Favs: 0-1


SNF Prime Time:
---------------

O/U = 2/3
Home Teams SU: 2-3
Favs: 3-2


MNF Prime Time:
---------------

O/U = 4/1
SU Home Teams: 3-2
Favs: 2-3
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