Winner's Edge Angles, Trends & Picks heading into Week 17

[Lukester]

Winner's Edge Record (so far): 11-7

Wk 1: 0-1
Wk 2: 2-0
Wk 3: 2-1
Wk 4: 2-0
Wk 5: none
Wk 6: 1-2
Wk 7: 0-1
Wk 8: none
Wk 9: 2-0
Wk 10: 0-1
Wk 11: none
Wk 12: none
Wk 13: none
Wk 14: none
Wk 15: 0-1
Wk 16: 2-0
Wk 17:

[Lukester]

Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills:
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Line: NL

- Indianapolis is 3-11 ATS in their last regular-season game of the season, since 1995.
- The Colts are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 visits to the Bills.
- Indianapolis is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss.
- The Colts are 10-4-1 ATS this season.
- Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups with Indianapolis.
- The Bills are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- Buffalo has produced 3 overs, 8 unders and 1 push in their last 12 home games.
- The Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last regular-season game of the season, since 2001.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns:
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Line: Browns -1

- Jacksonville is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
- The Jaguars are 8-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- Jacksonville has produced 4 overs, 11 unders and 1 push in their last 16 road games.
- The Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.
- Cleveland is 6-0 ATS in their last six games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12.
- The Browns are 3-6 ATS in their last regular-season home game of the year, since 2000.
- Cleveland has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine games.
- The Browns are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions:
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Line: Bears -3

- Chicago is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- The Bears are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games after an appearance on Monday night.
- Chicago has produced 4 overs, 11 unders and 1 push in their last 16 road games.
- The Bears are 6-1 ATS on the road following a SU underdog win.
- Detroit is 4-9-2 ATS this season.
- The Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in divisional contests this season.
- Detroit is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog vs. a less than .500 divisional opponent.
- The Lions are 9-4 ATS after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game but are 1-3 ATS this season.

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams:
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Line: 49ers -7

- San Francisco is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 matchups with St. Louis and 4-1 ATS in their last five visits.
- The 49ers are 8-4-3 ATS this year.
- San Francisco has produced 5 overs and 10 unders this season and 6 overs and 14 unders in their last 20 games.
- The 49ers are 2-8-1 ATS following a double-digit SU win.
- St. Louis is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 divisional encounters.
- The Rams are 7-14 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
- St. Louis is 7-2 ATS in their last regular-season game of the season, since 2000.
- The Rams are 4-13 ATS after allowing 30+ points in their previous game.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins:
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Line: NL

- Pittsburgh is 4-10-1 ATS this season.
- The Steelers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine matchups with AFC East opponents.
- Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in their final regular-season road game of the season, since 2000.
- The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
- Miami is 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.
- The Dolphins are 3-7 ATS in their final regular-season game of the season, since 1999.
- Miami has produced 5 overs, 1 under and 1 push in their seven home games this season.
- The Dolphins are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings:
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Line: Vikings -9

- New York is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four visits to the Vikings.
- New York is 1-6 ATS as a non-divisional road underdog following a double-digit ATS loss.
- The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last regular-season road game of the season, since 2001.
- Minnesota is 4-0 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their previous game.
- The Vikings are 8-1 ATS following back-to-back SU losses vs. a .500 or better opponent.
- Minnesota is 1-10 ATS as favorites following a SU loss as a favorite.
- The Vikings are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 30+ points.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
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Line: Falcons -1

- Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last five matchups with Tampa Bay.
- The Falcons are 10-5 ATS this season.
- Atlanta has produced 12 overs and 24 unders in their last 36 road games.
- The Falcons are 2-5 ATS on the road following a matchup vs. an AFC opponent.
- Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in their final regular-season game of the year, since 2000.
- The Buccaneers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS following back-to-back road games.
- The Buccaneers have produced 3 overs and 8 unders in their last 11 divisional encounters.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers:
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Line: NL

- New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in their last seven visits to Carolina.
- The Saints are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
- New Orleans is 6-12-1 ATS in their final four regular-season games of the season, since 2005.
- The Saints have produced 7 overs and 2 unders in their last nine games following a matchup with the Buccaneers.
- Carolina is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
- The Panthers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 divisional encounters.
- Carolina has produced 11 overs, 23 unders and 1 push in their last 35 home games.
- The Panthers are 12-1 ATS vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses (with the second one as a favorite).

New England Patriots at Houston Texans:
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Line: Texans -9

- New England is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 35+ points in their previous game.
- The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last regular-season game of the season, since 1999.
- New England has produced 8 overs and 2 unders in their last 10 games as a non-divisional underdog.
- The Patriots have produced 1 over, 7 unders and 1 push in their last nine games.
- Houston is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. AFC East opponents.
- The Texans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win as an underdog.
- Houston is 5-1-1 ATS following back-to-back road games.
- The Texans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite of 7+ points.

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals:
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Line: Cardinals -3.5

- Green Bay is 10-4-1 ATS this season.
- The Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
- Green Bay has produced 21 overs, 10 unders and 1 push in their last 32 road games.
- The Packers are 6-3 ATS in their last regular-season game of the year, since 2000.
- Arizona is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.
- The Cardinals are 2-6 ATS after a matchup with the Rams.
- Arizona is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 30+ points in their previous game.
- The Cardinals have produced 14 overs and 7 unders in their last 21 home games.

Washington Redskins at San Diego Chargers:
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Line: Chargers -4

- Washington is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Redskins are 1-5 ATS following a SU loss of 14+ points.
- Washington has produced 6 overs and 12 unders in their last 18 non-divisional matchups.
- The Redskins are 13-6-1 ATS after an encounter with the Cowboys.
- San Diego is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The Chargers are 8-2 ATS at home following back-to-back SU wins.
- San Diego is 2-6 ATS following a SU win as an underdog.
- The Chargers are 5-2 ATS after scoring 30+ points in their previous game.

Tennessee Titans at Seattle Seahawks:
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Line: Titans -4

- Tennessee is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight matchups vs. NFC opponents.
- Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.
- The Titans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
- Seattle is 5-10 ATS this season.
- The Seahawks are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home games.
- Seattle is 13-3 ATS following back-to-back SU losses.
- The Seahawks have produced 16 overs and 4 unders in their last 20 games as a home underdog vs. AFC opponents.

Baltimore Ravens at Oakland Raiders:
-----------------------------------
Line: Ravens -10.5

- Baltimore is 8-1 ATS in their last nine matchups with Oakland and 4-1 ATS in their last five visits.
- The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite of 6+ points.
- Baltimore is 8-4 ATS in their final regular-season game of the season, since 1997.
- The Ravens have produced 12 overs, 5 unders and 1 push in their last 18 road games.
- Oakland is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a home underdog.
- The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 encounters vs. AFC North opponents.
- Oakland is 7-20 ATS in their last four regular-season games of the season, since 2003.
- The Raiders are 3-10 ATS following back-to-back road games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys:
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Line: Cowboys -3

- Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups with Dallas and 3-0 ATS in their last three visits.
- The Eagles are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.
- Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS after back-to-back home games.
- The Eagles are 3-6 ATS in their last regular-season game of the season, since 2000.
- Dallas is 5-13-1 ATS in their last four regular-season games of the season, since 2005.
- The Cowboys are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 divisional contests.
- Dallas is 2-6 ATS after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after a double-digit SU win.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos:
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Line: Broncos -13

- Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in their last eight visits to Denver.
- The Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit underdog.
- Kansas City is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- Denver is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
- The Broncos are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
- Denver is 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 divisional games.
- The Broncos have produced 15 overs and 5 unders in their last 20 divisional contests.

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets:
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Line: Jets -10

- Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.
- The Bengals have produced 7 overs and 15 unders in their last 22 non-divisional games.
- Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in their last regular-season road game of the season, since 2000.
- The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 6.5+ points.
- New York is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
- The Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last regular-season home game of the season, since 2000.
- New York is 2-8 ATS at home following a double-digit SU win.
- The Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups with non-divisional AFC opponents.

[Lukester]

ATS Consensus Picks. Sample in excess of 10,000 contestants:
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Indianapolis at Buffalo:
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Indianapolis 68.0%
Buffalo -7.5 32.0%

New Orleans at Carolina:
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New Orleans 55.0%
Carolina -6.5 45.0%

Atlanta at Tampa Bay:
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Atlanta -2.5 77.0%
Tampa Bay 23.0%

San Francisco at St. Louis:
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San Francisco -7.5 76.7%
St. Louis 23.3%

Cincinnati at New York J.:
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Cincinnati 70.9%
New York J. -10.5 29.1%


New York G. at Minnesota:
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New York G. 56.1%
Minnesota -9.5 43.9%

Jacksonville at Cleveland:
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Jacksonville 61.2%
Cleveland -1.5 38.8%

Philadelphia at Dallas:
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Philadelphia 61.8%
Dallas -3.5 38.2%

Chicago at Detroit:
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Chicago -3.5 83.0%
Detroit 17.1%

New England at Houston:
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New England 66.1%
Houston -8.5 33.9%

Pittsburgh at Miami:
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Pittsburgh -2.5 71.0%
Miami 29.1%

Baltimore at Oakland:
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Baltimore -10.5 62.9%
Oakland 37.1%

Kansas City at Denver:
----------------------
Denver -13.5 50.2%
Kansas City 49.8%

Green Bay at Arizona:
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Arizona -3.5 51.0%
Green Bay 49.0%

Washington at San Diego:
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San Diego -3.5 88.7%
Washington 11.3%

Tennessee at Seattle:
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Tennessee -4.5 82.4%
Seattle 17.6%

[Lukester]

This ATS Consensus has got to be the worse one this year. Obviously the majority of contestants don't know how to play Wk 17 and treat it more like a Wk 3 to Wk 13 game. 10 of those game %s are outrageous. Either I win big or lose big this week.