Winner's Edge Angles, Trends & Picks Heading in Week 13:

[Lukester]

Betting Trends for Week 13:
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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs:
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Line: Broncos -4.5

- Denver is 2-5 ATS in their seven matchups with Kansas City and 1-4 ATS in their last five visits.
- The Broncos are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games as a road favorite.
- Denver is 7-1 ATS on the road after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Broncos are 1-9 ATS in December following a double-digit ATS win.
- Kansas City is 9-1 ATS after allowing 35+ points in their previous game vs. a divisional opponent.
- The Chiefs are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
- Kansas City has produced 13 overs, 4 unders and 2 pushes in their last 19 home games.
- The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games.


Oakland Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers:
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Line: Steelers -14

- Oakland is 7-1 ATS following a double-digit ATS loss vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back road games.
- The Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups with AFC North opponents.
- Oakland is 3-11 ATS on the road after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Raiders are 1-10 ATS on the road in December following a SU/ATS loss.
- Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The Steelers are 7-0 ATS at home following a SU divisional loss.
- Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS before a matchup with Cleveland.
- The Steelers are 7-3 ATS following back-to-back road games.


Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars:
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Line: Jaguars -1

- Houston is 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups with Jacksonville and 4-1 ATS in their last five visits.
- The Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog.
- Houston is 10-3 ATS as underdogs of less than 10 points following a SU loss.
- The Texans have produced 17 overs and 6 unders in their last 23 divisional encounters.
- Jacksonville is 0-9 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
- The Jaguars are 1-6 ATS as favorites vs. a divisional opponent that is coming off a SU loss.
- Jacksonville is 10-2 ATS in December vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses.
- The Jaguars have produced 6 overs and 2 unders in their last eight home games.


Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts:
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Line: Colts -6.5

- Tennessee is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 divisional encounters.
- The Titans have produced 4 overs and 8 unders in their last 12 divisional contests.
- Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups with Indianapolis.
- The Titans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
- Indianapolis is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.
- The Colts are 8-1 ATS following a SU/ATS divisional road win.
- Indianapolis is 6-1 ATS following back-to-back SU/ATS wins vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU wins.
- The Colts are 1-10 ATS as favorites in December after scoring 35+ points in their previous game.


Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons:
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Line: Eagles -5.5

- Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last nine matchups with Atlanta and 3-1 ATS in their last four visits.
- The Eagles are 6-0 ATS after a matchup with the Redskins.
- Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS as favorites following a SU win but an ATS loss.
- The Eagles are 7-2 ATS before a matchup with the Giants.
- Atlanta is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
- The Falcons are 4-11 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games.
- Atlanta has produced 9 overs and 4 unders in their last 13 games.
- The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games before a matchup with the Saints.


Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals:
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Line: Bengals -13

- Detroit is 2-8-1 ATS this season.
- The Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven matchups with the Bengals.
- Detroit has produced 22 overs and 9 unders in their last 31 road games.
- The Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit underdog.
- Cincinnati is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
- The Bengals are 11-0-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a matchup with the Browns.
- Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games.
- The Bengals have produced 5 overs, 11 unders and 1 push in their last 17 home games.


New Orleans Saints at Washington Redskins:
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Line: Saints -9.5

- New Orleans is 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games.
- The Saints are 1-5-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games.
- New Orleans has produced 17 overs and 7 unders in their last 24 non-divisional encounters.
- The Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win of 20+ points.
- Washington is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- The Redskins have produced 3 overs and 11 unders in their last 14 home games.
- Washington has produced 4 overs and 12 unders in their last 16 non-divisional encounters.
- The Redskins are 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine non-divisional NFC matchups.


Tampa Bay at Carolina Panthers:
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Line: Panthers -6.5

- Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in their last eight visits to Carolina.
- The Buccaneers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games.
- Tampa Bay has produced 12 overs and 5 unders in their last 17 road games.
- The Buccaneers have produced 6 overs and 1 under in their last seven games following an encounter with the Falcons.
- Carolina is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
- The Panthers are 8-1 ATS if they are under .500 in December vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses.
- Carolina has produced 2 overs and 14 unders in their last 16 games hosting divisional opponents.
- The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.


St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears:
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Line: Bears -9

- St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in their last six visits to Chicago.
- The Rams are 9-1 ATS vs. a less than .500 opponent coming off a double-digit SU loss.
- St. Louis is 3-8 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games.
- The Rams are 3-8 ATS following a matchup with the Seahawks.
- Chicago is 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games.
- The Bears are 5-1 ATS following a matchup with the Vikings.
- Chicago is 11-1 ATS at home in December following back-to-back SU losses.
- The Bears have produced 20 overs and 10 unders in their last 30 home games.


San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns:
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Line: Chargers -12.5

- San Diego is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite.
- The Chargers are 11-1 ATS in December vs. a non-divisional opponent coming off back-to-back SU losses.
- San Diego is 17-2 ATS as favorites in December vs. a less than .500 opponent coming off a SU loss.
- The Chargers are 11-2 ATS on the road in December on the road in December following back-to-back SU wins.
- Cleveland is 11-2 ATS after a matchup with Cincinnati.
- The Browns are 5-1 ATS as home underdogs in December after a divisional encounter.
- Cleveland is 0-6 ATS at home if they are under .500 in December vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit ATS win.
- The Browns are 6-15 ATS after back-to-back road games.


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks:
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Line: Seahawks -1

- San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last eight divisional encounters.
- The 49ers are 7-2-2 ATS this season.
- San Francisco is 2-6-1 ATS following a double-digit SU win.
- The 49ers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.
- Seattle is 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite.
- The Seahawks are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
- Seattle is 3-6 ATS following back-to-back road games.
- The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS after a matchup with the Rams.


Minnesota Vikings at Arizona Cardinals:
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Line: Vikings -4

- Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in their last eight matchups with Arizona and 3-1 ATS in their last four visits.
- The Vikings are 7-3-1 ATS this season.
- Minnesota is 8-2 ATS on the road following back-to-back SU/ATS wins.
- The Vikings are 3-8 ATS after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Arizona is 8-2 ATS at home in December vs. an opponent coming off back-to-back SU wins.
- The Cardinals have produced 13 overs and 5 unders in their last 18 home games.
- Arizona has produced 27 overs and 13 unders in their last 40 non-divisional contests.
- The Cardinals are 3-6 ATS following back-to-back road games.


Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants:
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Line: Cowboys -1

- Dallas is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 matchups with New York and 1-4 ATS in their last five visits.
- The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Dallas is 1-7 ATS on the road in December vs. an opponent coming off a double-digit SU loss.
- The Cowboys are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 divisional contests.
- New York is 5-1 ATS before a matchup with Philadelphia.
- The Giants are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
- New York has produced 2 overs and 10 unders in their last 12 games before a matchup with Philadelphia.
- The Giants have produced 1 over and 7 unders in their last eight games as divisional home underdogs.


New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins:
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Line: Patriots -5

- New England is 8-0 ATS as a divisional road favorite of 4+ points.
- The Patriots are 8-1 ATS as favorites of seven points or less after allowing 28+ points in their previous game.
- New England is 11-3 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
- The Patriots are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 visits to divisional opponents.
- Miami is 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
- The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 divisional encounters.
- Miami has produced 9 overs and 1 under in their last 10 home games following back-to-back road games.
- The Dolphins are 0-9-1 ATS before back-to-back road games.


Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers:
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Line: Packers -3

- Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups with Green Bay and 0-3 ATS in their last three visits.
- The Ravens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog on Monday night.
- Baltimore is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
- The Ravens have produced 12 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in their last 17 road games.
- Green Bay is 8-2-1 ATS at home following a double-digit SU win.
- The Packers are 2-6 ATS following a matchup with the Lions.
- Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in their last nine appearances on Monday night.
- The Packers are 9-1 ATS at home if they are .500 or better in December following back-to-back SU wins.

[Lukester]

TNF Prime Time:
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O/U = 0/6
SU Home Teams: 4-2
Favs: 3-3


SNF Prime Time:
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O/U = 3/8
Home Teams SU: 5-6
Favs: 6-5


MNF Prime Time:
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O/U = 8/5
SU Home Teams: 6-7
Favs: 6-7

[Lukester]

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Line: New England -5

Game Selection
New England was trounced by New Orleans on Monday night 38-17. Miami was overwhelmed in the 4th quarter in Buffalo last Sunday and lost 31-14.

The Patriots rolled up 432 total yards of offense in the first meeting (a 27-17 win) and they should have a lot of success again. QB Tom Brady will be facing a pair of rookie CBs and expect WRs Wes Welker and Randy Moss to have big games. New England averages just under 300 yards passing per game and Miami allows 233 yards per game through the air. The Dolphins have some accomplished pass rushers but they were relatively silent in the first meeting. RB Laurence Maroney has been running well of late and has been a late-season runner over the last few years. If he can get 4+ yards-a-carry, the Dolphins will have to respect the run and won't be able to overplay the pass.

The Dolphins offense misses RB Ronnie Brown (IR) especially in this matchup. The Patriots have had all kinds of trouble defending the Wildcat formation but the passing element is gone when RB Ricky Williams is under center. Look for rookie QB Pat White to operate out the formation several times as he is both a viable threat as a runner and passer. The Patriots know a large part of their success in winning this contest will be in how they defend the Wildcat. QB Chad Henne is coming off of a poor game (3 picks) and is still a game manager at this point. Miami lacks difference makers at wideout but New England has to be aware of WR Ted Ginn's deep speed.

The Patriots can virtually wrap up the division with a win here and we expect them to get it. We think their offense will be able to move the ball on the ground and through the air and convert more red zone trips into TDs instead of FGs, something they didn't do in the first meeting. White is an 'X' factor on offense but we feel the Patriots can keep him in check and not surrender big plays. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 visits to divisional opponents and Miami is 0-9-1 ATS following back-to-back road games. Also, the Patriots know how to bounce back from bad losses (just ask the Jets).

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NFL GAME PICK: Take the Patriots **Best Bet**
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These guy's NFL Record: Best Bets 6-4, Regular Picks 16-10

[Lukester]

ATS Consensus Picks contest of over 10,000 participants:
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New York J. at Buffalo:
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Buffalo 60.2%
New York J. -3.5 39.8%

Philadelphia at Atlanta:
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Philadelphia -5.5 59.8%
Atlanta 40.2%

New Orleans at Washington:
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New Orleans -9.5 83.4%
Washington 16.6%

Oakland at Pittsburgh:
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Pittsburgh -11.5 71.1%
Oakland 28.9%

Denver at Kansas City
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Denver -4.5 74.3%
Kansas City 25.6%

Houston at Jacksonville:
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Houston 67.3%
Jacksonville -0.5 32.7%

Tennessee at Indianapolis:
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Indianapolis -6.5 55.4%
Tennessee 44.6%

Tampa Bay at Carolina:
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Carolina -6.5 54.3%
Tampa Bay 45.7%

St. Louis at Chicago:
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Chicago -9.5 59.1%
St. Louis 40.9%

Detroit at Cincinnati:
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Cincinnati -13.5 72.6%
Detroit 27.4%

San Diego at Cleveland:
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San Diego -12.5 84.6%
Cleveland 15.4%

Minnesota at Arizona:
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Minnesota -1.5 84.0%
Arizona 15.9%

San Francisco at Seattle:
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San Francisco 61.6%
Seattle -0.5 38.4%

Dallas at New York G:
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Dallas -2.5 55.2%
New York G. 44.8%

New England at Miami:
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New England -4.5 83.7%
Miami 16.3%

Baltimore at Green Bay:
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Baltimore 51.9%
Green Bay -3.5 48.1%