Winner's Edge Angles, Trends & Picks: Wk 1--Wild Card

[Lukester]

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals:
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Line: Bengals -2.5

- New York is 2-4 ATS in their last six playoff road games, since 1998.
- The Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups with the Bengals.
- New York is 1-5 ATS following back-to-back SU wins (the last by double digits) vs. an opponent coming off a SU loss.
- The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
- New York is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of 20+ points.
- The Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Cincinnati is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
- The Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
- Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. AFC East opponents.
- The Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing 35+ points in their previous game.
- Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS as a favorite following a double-digit SU loss.
- The Bengals have produced 4 overs, 14 unders and 1 push in their last 19 home games.


Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys:
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Line: Cowboys -4

- The last five games in Dallas between these two clubs have produced 1 over and 4 unders.
- Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog but is 0-2 ATS this season.
- The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff games, since 2004.
- Philadelphia is 7-0 ATS after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- The Eagles are 9-2 ATS after a SU divisional loss.
- Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS following a double-digit SU loss.
- Dallas is 2-6 ATS in their last eight playoff games.
- The Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Dallas is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games hosting divisional opponents.
- The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Dallas has produced 1 over and 8 unders in their last nine games.
- The Cowboys are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit SU win.


Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots:
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Line: Patriots -3

- Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups with New England and 0-4 ATS in their last four visits.
- The Ravens are 2-4 ATS in their last six playoff games.
- Baltimore is 4-8 ATS following back-to-back road games.
- The Ravens have produced 12 overs, 6 unders and 1 push in their last 18 road games.
- Baltimore has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine playoff games.
- The Ravens are 6-2 ATS after their final regular-season road game of the season, since 1998.
- New England is 3-6 ATS in their last nine playoff games.
- The Patriots are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
- New England is 8-2 ATS as favorites of seven points or less after allowing 28+ points in their previous game.
- The Patriots have produced 6 overs and 17 unders in their last 23 playoff games, since 1998.
- New England is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups with non-divisional AFC opponents.
- The Patriots are 20-5 ATS following a SU loss.


Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals:
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Line: Cardinals -1

- Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups with Arizona.
- The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven playoff games.
- Green Bay is 11-4-1 ATS this season and 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games.
- The Packers are 8-0-1 ATS following a SU underdog win vs. a non-divisional opponent.
- Green Bay is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.
- The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of three points or less.
- Arizona is 14-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games.
- The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
- Arizona is 8-2 ATS as a favorite following a double-digit SU loss.
- The Cardinals are 5-2 ATS after allowing 30+ points in their previous game.
- Arizona has produced 2 overs and 6 unders at home this season.
- The Cardinals are 6-3 ATS following a SU loss of 20+ points.

[Lukester]

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals:
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Line: Bengals -2.5:
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The Jets earned their way into the playoffs with a 37-0 beat down of the Bengals to close out the history of Giants Stadium last Sunday night.

New York ranked 1st in rushing this season and gouged Cincinnati for 257 yards last week. The Bengals played without DT Domata Peko and DE Robert Geathers but that alone can't account for the ease that the Jets O-line dominated the line of scrimmage. RB Thomas Jones leads the way for the Jets but rookie RB Shonn Greene gets lots of carries as well. WR Brad Smith ran for 92 yards on only four carries last week and gives the offense another dimension as he was a college QB. The Bengals entered last week as the No.2 run defense in the NFL but have allowed 100+ rushing yards in three of their last four games. Rookie QB Mark Sanchez has been mistake-prone this season (20 picks, 3 lost fumbles) and is only being asked to make some safe throws and not try to force the action. The Bengals pass rush has sagged since DE Antwan Odom was injured and his eight sacks still led the team although he played less than half the season.

The Bengals mustered 72 total yards last week and 0 passing yards. That's a huge cause for concern as QB Carson Palmer was only 1-11 for 0 yards and played into the 3rd quarter. Palmer had a decent season but Cincinnati's ground game is the offense's calling card. RB Cedric Benson didn't play last week but he'll be ready for this contest. The Jets ranked 1st in pass defense in '09 and having a shutdown CB like Darrelle Revis means the 3-4 can concentrate on stopping Benson. WR Chad Ochocinco hurt his knee in warm-ups last week and was held without a catch for the first time in 120 games. The Jets had only 32 sacks this season but they are able to get good pressure and to force quick throws. The Bengals O-line surrendered only 29 sacks this year but yielded three last week. New York also led the league in scoring defense.

While last Sunday's game isn't a total indicator of what to expect this week, it certainly gave the Bengals cause for concern. They were thoroughly dominated in the trenches and were very listless. The Jets are very confident and they feed off the energy of HC Rex Ryan. Look for New York to control both lines of scrimmage and for their ground game to be the difference.


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NFL GAME PICK: Take the JETS **Best Bet**
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[Lukester]

Can a mod move this to the NFL Forum please

[Big Pimpin]

no

[Lukester]

Originally Posted by Big Pimpin

no

LOL--Are you on the Bengals or is it not worthy for the NFL Forum?

[Lukester]

NFL: Playoff Stats (Super Bowls not included):
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2008-09:
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At Home SU W: 5-5
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 2-2
SU at Home: Divisionals: 2-2
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home ATS: 3-6
As FAV on Road ATS: 0-1
As FAV ATS: 3-7
O/U: 6/4
3-pts-or-less games: 2
OverTime: 1

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2007-8:
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At Home SU W: 8-2
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 4-0
SU at Home: Divisionals: 2-2
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 2-0
As FAV at Home: 4-6
As FAV on Road: n/a
As FAV: 4-6
O/U: 5/5
3-pts-or-less games: 5
OverTime: 1

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2006-07:
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At Home SU W: 4-6
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 1-3
SU at Home: Divisionals: 2-2
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home: 4-5
As FAV on Road: 1-0
As FAV: 5-5
O/U: 4/6
3-pts-or-less games: 1
OverTime: 0

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2005-06:
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At Home SU W: 6-4
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 1-3
SU at Home: Divisionals: 4-0
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home: 5-4
As FAV on Road: 1-0
As FAV: 6-4
O/U: 4/6
3-pts-or-less games: 2
OverTime: 2

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2004-05:
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At Home SU W: 6-4
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 3-1
SU at Home: Divisionals: 2-2
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home: 3-6
As FAV on Road: 1-0
As FAV: 4-6
O/U: 5/5
3-pts-or-less games: 5
OverTime: 3

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2003-04:
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At Home SU W: 8-2
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 3-1
SU at Home: Divisionals: 4-0
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home: 5-5
As FAV on Road: n/a
As FAV: 5-5
O/U: 5/5
3-pts-or-less games:
OverTime: 13

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2002-03:
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At Home SU W: 7-3
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 3-1
SU at Home: Divisionals: 3-1
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home:
As FAV on Road:
As FAV:
O/U: 7/3
3-pts-or-less games: 1
OverTime: 1

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2001-02:
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At Home SU W: 7-3
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 3-1
SU at Home: Divisionals: 3-1
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 1-1
As FAV at Home:
As FAV on Road:
As FAV:
O/U: 4/6
3-pts-or-less games: 2
OverTime: 1

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Total:
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At Home SU W: 51-29 out of L80
SU at Home: Wild Cards: 20-12 out of L32
SU at Home: Divisionals: 22-10 out of L32
SU at Home: Conf. Finals: 9-7 out of L16
As FAV at Home ATS: 24-32 out of L56
As FAV on Road ATS: 3-1 out of L4
As FAV ATS: 27-33 out of L60
O/U: 40/40 out of L80
3-pts -or-less games: 21 out of L80
OverTime: 10 out of L80