Go Back   Sports Handicapping Forum > Sports Picks > NFL Football

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, anything NFL.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-24-2008, 04:02 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
WISEGUY MNF Saints - 1 Vs Packers analysis sides totals why line moved etc..

IN all MNF games past 10 YRS YOU MUST bet THE winniner of THE game 88% of the time DO NOT BET on a DOG to lose the game and get cash we had 3 DOGS this year do that on MNF Games

wk 2 Eagles +6.5 at Cowboys 37 - 41 Cashed

wk 4 Ravens +6.5 at steelers 20-23 Cashed

wk 10 49ers +9.5 @ Cards 24-29 Cashed

there fore i figure thats it FOR COVER DOGS this year on MNF games we have 4 left after this week

OK 1st off lets DO spread as it opened

PF= points scored PA= points given up
5-5
Saints - 3 over 51

Saints PF 266 PA 249

Plus 17 total

PLUS 1.7 PER game

Pack PF 274 PA 209
+65 pts
+6.5 per game

SO packers already are +4.8 pts

add 3 more they jump to + 7.8

subtract the 3 from saints

they are now - 1.3 pts

PACKERS go up to + 6.5 points

which is 1.7 points off from no spread

NOW lets do it at 1 pt

PACK is +5.8

Saints are +.7

Pack is now + 5.1

which is now only .3 points off as pck em

WHO needs to win this game ?

BOTH teams

WHO is looking ahaed TO DIV Rival ?

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHH HAAAAAAAAAAAAA the saints have Buccaneers up NEXT

WHO baet no one last WEEK ?

The Saints Beat up KC as a 5 1/2 road chalk

WON by 10 points squeaking a 4.5 COVER

Packers took apart the better defense Bears 37-3 at HOME


OK over unders

dead on at 50.5

add all 4 totals together divide by 20 games played

266+249+274+209 = 998 div by 20 = 49.9 points

round off to 50 of course

Saints O rankings 1st 28th run #1 Pass

Defense Ranks 24th 19th vs run 26th vs Pass

Packers O Ranked 16th 19th run 11th pass

Pack D ranked 16th 27th RUN 3rd passing

OK Saints Run offense is hurting we know this their defense is weak as always

Packers Offense balanced attack they can run and throw

Defense is strong vs THE Pass

I say Packers WIN this game 24 - 21

the margin of victory determined by opening spread

PACKERS is MY wager 10 units
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-24-2008, 04:15 PM
She does...
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 29,188
Rewards: 3,739
Gl Wiser
__________________
Where'd who go!?!

(Hollywood - Top Gun)


F Tom Hicks
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-24-2008, 04:59 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
TY RAN picks heres another reason to fade the Saints

THEY showcase there worst Game in ALL MNF games and THEY havent WON TWO Games in a ROW yet THIS Year after every Plus ATS they fallen next week to under the number !

IN short the Public saw Value in PACKERS +3 and hammered it to Death VEGAS adjusted fast they really want YOU To BEt THE Saints NOW

I looked at opening LINE and that will be margin of Victory 3 points PACKERS 24 Saints 21

Brees Will get Picked at least Twice Packers will score off Both turnovers
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-24-2008, 05:10 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
adding Final score using DEFENSES points allowwed

PACKERS 25 Saints 21

right under the totals

0r 27 Packers 22 Saints

wow would that be abarn burner or waht 49 points total

total at 50.5 HE HE HE HE

ONE Missed FG kiss the totals over good bye

if YOU want to assure a WIN

i feel the teaser 6 points will work

PACKERS +7 OVER 44.5
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-25-2008, 05:19 PM
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: pennsylvania
Posts: 400
Rewards: 0
WOW did i screw this one UP I should remem ber when teams win by more than 3 tds they usually fall below the number next game out

Packers won 37 - 3 as a 3.5 home chalk Saints won by 10 points as a 5.5 fav

WHAT A MORON i was Packers emptied gas tank and were happy beating div rival Bears DID not get up for Game at Saints and got smoked by the best pass offense in the league 51 - 29

what a bad play on my part aint happening no more this year !
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.