12/15/10

[ATS Quants]

Lots of potential activity lined up for Wednesday (will mostly be looking in the 2H).

Playing overnight:
BOS -3.0
Not buying the Knicks hype against a rested Celtics squad. Knicks have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league according to my numbers (untested in my opinion). I think the line should be closer to -6, but Vegas knows they will have plenty of NYK action. Only a 1 unit play, but really stands out to me.

Waiting:
I need Houston to show +5.0 or more (off the board currently) to take them on the ML. They had a nice win against Sacramento, so we'll probably see this open closer to +3.5-4.0; will likely need some OKC action to push it higher. Admittedly, my dog money lines have been horrendous this year; dragging down my bankroll this season by more than 13 units. I am trying my hardest not to jump ship on them completely...however, I know that variance can be crazy sometimes.

Portland ML will be a play tomorrow unless for some reason the line drops to below +5.0 or lower (highly unlikely).

Keeping an eye on Sacramento tomorrow. Expect the line to open +10 at the VERY lowest...if it sits near +10 all day, I might take a stab at the big ML payout. Anything higher (I really expect NOH -13.0) and no play for me.

Also, last tidbit of info...that Miami line looks a bit crazy at -17.0, but I actually have it capped at -21.0 (and that doesn't account for the LeBron revenge factor).

Good luck...will check back with these plays I am watching tomorrow afternoon and also post my power ratings for 12/15 later.

[ATS Quants]

Hmmm, seeing Houston line at +8.0, didn't think I would be that far off, but hey, if they want to give me extra value, I will take it. Will post the ML play when they are released tomorrow morning.

[BOBBYW]

Thanx.....

[ATS Quants]

Glad I got Boston at one possession (-3) rather than 2 (-4 now). Just FYI...according to my numbers, I would play this up to Boston -10 (I told you, it really stands out).

Additional plays:
HOU ML [+330] x1.25u

POR ML [+235]

Still waiting:
SAC line opened +10, right where I wanted it, but will wait to see where it goes from there. Tyreke Evans is out.

Charlotte ML has entered the radar (line moved higher with Gerald Wallace injury). Will probably wait till closer to tip-off for this one also.

[ATS Quants]

Power Ratings for 12/15

ATL 0.60
BOS 8.41
CHA -2.61
CHI 4.28
CLE -8.02
DAL 5.73
DEN 4.32
DET -5.53
GSW -3.66
HOU 0.19
IND 1.96
LAC -4.49
LAL 3.57
MEM -0.97
MIA 8.25
MIL 0.73
MIN -6.56
NJN -4.10
NOH 2.98
NYK -1.43
OKC 1.87
ORL 2.84
PHI -0.39
PHO 0.03
POR 0.99
SAC -9.48
SAS 6.98
TOR -2.41
UTA 4.73
WAS -7.38

[ATS Quants]

Adding:

CHA ML [+375] x1.25u

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SAC ML [+475] x1.25u

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Chi/tor u97.5 2h

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MIN/PHO U109.5 x2.00u

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This meltdown by Sac is killing me!!!