cavs series -260

[mvalentin]

huge drop from -800

opinions on pouncing on this one?

for and against


thanks

[tomek30]

the way Lebron limped of the court has something to do with the drop, i think Cavs get thru but Magic will push them to 7

[rjordan1979]

Cavs in six.

[mvalentin]

uhh price just went up to -290

[tigerman19]

Lebron aside. i think magic better @ all 4 positions. if u not down on the big +money get some of the smaller.

[Romanowski]

taking the magic now is not a good idea at all, you lost +300 in value

if thats what you like wait until they lose game 2

[Bisket]

what if they dont lose game 2?

[mvalentin]

does anyone think its a better play to take

Cavs to win in 5 at +175
4 units to win 8 units

Cavs to win in 6 at +275
3 units to win 8.25 units


At worst its 7 units to win 8 units, which is a much better payout (+114) than -290


and if the price is right on either game 5 or game 6, i'll look for an opportunity to hedge with magic ML.


This is all of course assuming that three variables don't occur

1. Magic win in 4
2. Magic win in 5
3. Magic up 3 games to 2 going into game 6

Still anyone feel this is better value than

Cavs -290 to win the series
Cavs ML in game 5 or 6

please correct my math if i'm wrong

[mvalentin]

another alternative to get Cavs to win the series at a cheaper price than the -290 to -330 at various sport books


make these three bets

Cavs to win in 5 at +175
3 units to win 5.25 units


Cavs to win in 6 at +275
2 units to win 5.5 units

Cavs to win in 7 at +300
2 units to win 6 units

at worst you are spending 7 units to win 5.25 units (-133) if the Cavs win in game 5

and decent value with the two most likely scenarios

Cavs in 6
7 units to win 5.5 units (-127)

Cavs in 7
7 units to win 6 units (-116)

or you can adjust the unit totals based on what game you feel the cavs are most likely to win the series

either way doing this is a much better strategy than betting the Cavs straight up to win the series

[mvalentin]

ahh nevermind my math is all wrong, i'm assuming that you get those units back in the other losses

ignore the last two post, I failed grade 11 math

[goterps74]

Cavs in 6

[mvalentin]

OK embarrassed and proud to say that I consulted my teenage niece about how to best invest in this and all it costs me was an arcade fire tshirt and a Miley Cyrus CD. But here goes my final bets

Total Investment: 10.25 units

Cavs to win Series -275
8.25 units to win 3 units


Cavs to win in 6 +275
2 units to win 5.5 units

Basically this puts emphasis on the game I think the Cavs will win the series and at the same time buys insurance should they win in Game 5 or Game 7.

And if Orlando wins, then at least I get satisfaction of seeing Stern pee in his pants

[Earl]

Bro. Orlando is going to win this series.

[Bisket]

LOL

on Pinny Cavs moved up from -235 to -260. a whopping 25 cents after a win.

Never seen that before.

[xxxFTWxxx]

Originally Posted by Bisket23

LOL

on Pinny Cavs moved up from -235 to -260. a whopping 25 cents after a win.

Never seen that before.

because that game was almost like a loss for the cavs. false favorites