Fade The Public's System: (7-0 past 2days)

[FadeThePublic]

Fade The Public's System: 23-8

First Play for the Night will be up momentarily..
BOL to all at the Mall tonight

[T0rM3nTeD]

Good luck on your plays tonight Fade!

[bigsportsguy2006]

sound good man ... where do you get your writeups? or do you type them up yourself??

[FadeThePublic]

The Dallas Mavericks have won five in a row are back on track and ready to enter a rowdy environment, Madison Square Garden. Here, they'll face the up and coming New York Knicks.
The NBA odds makers have the Knickebocker’s as a 1.5 point favorite. When an opposing team is a small dog, this usually means that they're the better team but playing away from home like Dallas is. Saying that, the Knicks are no pushovers. They've had wins over some of the best.
The New York Knicks beat the San Antonio Spurs when the Spurs had only two losses and embarrassed them. The Knicks are a developing team and their time to win a championship might not be now but will be soon.
The Dallas Mavericks feel an urgency. Their team is laced with veterans and their time is now. Superstar, Dirk Nowitzki is getting older and is injury prone and point guard Jason Kidd has a couple of years left and even though he's not the same player, Kidd is yearning for his first championship of his career.

Timofey Mozgov

Center, Timofey Mozgov has played very sparingly this season, averaging 3.1 points per game in 11 minutes per game but in his last game, where the Knicks defeated the Pistons, Mozgov came out of nowhere to produce 23 points and 14 rebounds. If he gives even half of this type of production against Dallas, the Mavericks will have a tall order on their hands facing the 7 foot 1 center. He's a very large man and adds more necessary size to the Knicks. Scorers like Jason Terry and Dirk Nowitzki will think twice before putting up a shot or taking it to the hole.

Knicks Confidence

Aside from Mozgov, both Danilo Galinari and Amare Stoudemire had great games. Galinari was "spot on" with his shooting, He was 4 of 7 from 3 point range and 11 of 11 from the foul line. for a total of 29 points. If he can draw fouls like he did in his latest performance, New York will fare well.
Superstar, Amare Stoudemire was once again a standout in the game, scoring 33 points on 11-19 shooting from the field. He had 6 rebounds but getting Mozgov involved is a huge factor. Although Raymond Felton has tailed off slightly, his mere leadership on the court is a plus. Felton had 12 points and 5 assists for the game.

Will Nowitzki Breakout Against a Weak Knicks Defense?

The Knicks give up 106 points per game on the season. Defense is not their strength but offense is Dirk Nowitzki's strength. After being injured and trying to find his stride, Nowitzki has made 15 of 22 shots in his last 2 games. This is a far cry from the previous 7 games in which he was shooting 39.1 percent from the field. In his last game against Washington, Dirk had 24 points and a plus-minus ratio of +20 which tells you that he's very important in the Mavericks success.

Tyson Chandler

Chandler has scored in double figures in 6 consecutive games and had an 18 point, 18 rebound performance against Washington. Nowitzki is a big man but Tyson Chandler is a much need physical force and a glass cleaner.

Both Teams Are Very Good From the Line

I expect a close game and players have to knock down free uncontested opportunities from the free throw line in the final minutes of a game. Both teams are hovering around the 80% mark (just a little shy of 80%).

Dallas Defense Will Need To Contain Stoudemire

I don't expect them to completely stop him and I don't expect another huge performance from Mozgov, but Stoudemire is averaging 26.3 points per game on 58.6 % shooting from the field in 10 games against Dallas. Also. off of Galinari's red hot shooting from his previous game, the Mavericks need to worry about Danilo in an MSG environment. The defense of the Mavericks is quite capable, giving up 94.5 points per game.

Notable Trends

The Knicks have fared well ATS with a 29-16 record while the Mavericks have done a decent job at 24-21. Dallas is 4-0 ATS against the Knicks in their last 4 meetings. The favorite is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these two teams.

What to Expect

This will be a tight game. The Knicks are a slight favorite at 1.5. Galinari is a key factor. If he has a good game, I think that the Knicks will have an easier time winning the game. Dallas is on a 5 game winning streak but are coming into a big city arena, against a good team and that will effect them. Expect both teams to play well. Even though Dallas is a good defensive team, this should be a shootout. Anything that Mozgov gives the Knicks is an added plus. I think it comes down to, the home team having the edge due to home court and also having Amare Stoudemire on their roster. Take the Knicks moneyline in this spot.

Fade The Public System Play: Knicks ML

[Sundevil]

Good Luck

[FadeThePublic]

The Hornets have failed to cash in three straight games, including last night's home victory over Washington where they were laying nine and won by only eight. Furthermore, this is a terrible scheduling spot as they were off a three-game road trip last night and now must take back to the road tonight against a revenge-minded Oklahoma City squad that is off a home loss to Miami Sunday afternoon. Look for the home team to 'bring the Thunder' as I note they are 23-11 ATS revenging a road loss (lost at New Orleans by two last week) and 15-5 ATS off a home loss. Lay the points.
Fade The Public System Play: Thunder -7

[FadeThePublic]

Chicago is 33-14 on the year and 10-10 on the road. The Bulls have won 5 straight entering this game. Los Angeles is 19-28 on the year and 16-13 at home. The Clippers have won 2 straight.
The Bulls are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games with the Clippers and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games as a favorite. The Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against the Central Division. My pick is with the Clippers at home as they are a very tough team at home as of late while the Bulls are not a great road team. I will take the home team with the points. (Not to mention the Bulls are the biggest bet of the Day)
Fade The Public System Play: Clippers +2.5

[FadeThePublic]

Originally Posted by bigsportsguy2006

sound good man ... where do you get your writeups? or do you type them up yourself??

Kind of a mixture of both. I look up stats/betting trends along with other hot cappers free picks with write-ups, and use ESPN.com

[LordCC]

Best of luck Fade!

[FadeThePublic]

Let's hit the bottom part of the division standings and you'll find the Indiana Pacers (16-25) facing off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (8-36).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have lost 21 consecutive games in a row. No, that's not a typo, 21 games. They've also managed to go 1-31 in their last 32 games. Some more good news for the Cavs, Daniel Gibson averaging 13.3 (missed his previous game) is doubtful for this game. Actually, it's not good news for the Cavaliers but it might be good news for the betting public.
In their last game, the Indiana Pacers disposed of a slumping Toronto Raptors team, 104-93. Roy Hibbert, led the way with 24 points and 11 rebounds.

Who Says Bypassing College for the NBA is a Good Decision

The Pacers are stacked with former college stars from big colleges that are producing for them lately. In an average of 27 minutes of play, former Georgetown star Roy Hibbert is delivering, averaging 12.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per game. As I mentioned earlier, he led the team to victory in their last game. At 7 foot 2, Hibbert is an imposing figure and will give the Cavs a tough time. In 15 minutes of play, Tyler Hansborough (North Carolina) had 14 points and 6 rebounds and had a little foul trouble in his previous game. This is expected from a young player. Hansborough is averaging 7.4 points and 4.2 rebounds in 16 minutes per game. A.J. Price (Connecticut) averages 6.1 points in 13 minutes per game. Price is a very capable young player. He was as clutch as it get's in top level NCAA basketball. Finally, Josh McRoberts (Duke) is another solid contributor at 6.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. Being a cohesive unit is very important. There's stars and role players ( some develop into stars). The Pacers are gradually improving and seem to work well together.

The Cavaliers Can't Seem to Work As a Unit

For a team to lose 21 consecutive games, there's either a lack of talent or the team doesn't work well as a unit. Cleveland has some legitimate players in veteran Antawn Jamison (17.1 points per game), J.J. Hickson, Ramon Sessions, Daniel Gibson (13.3 points-injured), and Mo Williams (13.6 points-injured). Although, Williams and Gibson are injured at the moment, the Cavs should be able to put a couple of wins together especially with role player Manny Harris (7.1 points) playing well as of late. The offense is decent enough to win and they have a legitimate star in Jamison.

Cavs Defense Is Contributing to the Losses

The Cavaliers are giving an up average of 105.2 points per game while scoring 93.4. A -11.8 point difference per game will lead to losses. They're weak on the boards and allow 47.8% shooting from the field and an amazing 42.6% from 3 point range. The defense needs to step it up if they expect to win. Luckily for them, they're playing a subpar team in the Indiana Pacers at home. This gives them an outside shot to win even though they're a 6 point underdog

One Trend

I'm not going to give a lot of trends due to the Cavs major losing streak, it would be pretty evident that it's one sided. The Cavaliers are 16-30 ATS and the Indiana Pacers are 20-22 ATS

Outcome of the Game

The Cavaliers are always going to be an underdog on the NBA odds board until they start to win a couple of games. They have an outside chance of breaking their losing streak. The Pacers are a young team that doesn't play well on the road. The Pacers are 6-16 on the road while the Cavaliers are 5-15 at home. Jamison (with his experience) and Hickson might give the Pacers some trouble. I won't pick the Cavs to win but I'm going to say that they'll cover the 6.5 point spread at home.

Fade The Public's System Play: Cavaliers +6.5

[slowpoke]

did you have to post your record?

lol


goodluck tonite!

[bigsportsguy2006]

cavs ML pays 2.35:1

[FadeThePublic]

Originally Posted by bigsportsguy2006

cavs ML pays 2.35:1

I was almost too scared to bet on the Cavs on the spread lol, there just horrible. Although I do have to say, for everyone tailing/following me, tonight might be the night to fade me. The Public has been getting KILLED. I have a feeling they might cash in tonight.

[secondbase]

gl ftp

[FadeThePublic]

Adding One More Play tonight:
(Sorry no write-up watching Cavs Game)
Minnesota T'Wolves +2.5