FadeThePublic's NBA System

FadeThePublic · #1 01-19-2011, 12:10 PM

Hello ladies and gents, I'm new here on cappersmall and I thought I would share with you guys 2 systems that have been making me money all season long thus far. Feel free to give me your input, and don't forget to check out my plays in my CBB thread as well. As always, thanks for following and best of luck to all of you in the forum.

The First System
The Smart Play betting strategy is the most innovative and groundbreaking betting strategy found anywhere. It is an alert-based feature that appears whenever the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. The alert is triggered automatically whenever the betting line (moneyline, O/U, or point-spread) moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. I use my database of betting percentage data and line moves to find the optimal triggering formula. The Smart Money strategy alert is designed to help bettors notice unusual betting line movement and quickly capitalize on it.
Betting lines move for many reasons; injury updates, weather, etc., but “betting line movement” that goes against the “betting percentages” is an excellent indicator of Smart or Wiseguy Money. For example, 77% of the public is betting on NYJ -7, but the line moves to NYJ -6. This line movement would trigger a "Smart Play" alert. I use the database of public betting data and line movement info to pinpoint the optimal triggering settings. I will do all the number crunching for you. You just sit back and relax, everyday I will post the plays by 3pm for you guys..

The Second System
The Fade The Public betting strategy is another system I will be following. Every day I'll post the three most lopsided bet games in terms of percentage of bets AND percentage of money. The Fade The Public strategy takes advantage of over-shaded lines and greedy sportsbooks. If a line looks too good to be true, bet the other way. It consistently pays to "Bet Against the Public", so far on the year the NBA system is 48-31(+13.3units) in CBB it is 42-24(+14.81units). As always, I will let the results speak for themselves. These plays will also be posted by 3pm everyday for you guys..

Note: Sometimes there may be multiple games that fit into the system, however I only play the ones I feel have the greatest chance of hitting. If you have any questions feel free to ask..

Smart Play System: 0-0
Fade The Public System: 0-0

FadeThePublic · #2 01-19-2011, 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FadeThePublic

Hello ladies and gents, I'm new here on cappersmall and I thought I would share with you guys 2 systems that have been making me money all season long thus far. Feel free to give me your input, and don't forget to check out my plays in my CBB thread as well. As always, thanks for following and best of luck to all of you in the forum.

The First System
The Smart Play betting strategy is the most innovative and groundbreaking betting strategy found anywhere. It is an alert-based feature that appears whenever the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. The alert is triggered automatically whenever the betting line (moneyline, O/U, or point-spread) moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. I use my database of betting percentage data and line moves to find the optimal triggering formula. The Smart Money strategy alert is designed to help bettors notice unusual betting line movement and quickly capitalize on it.
Betting lines move for many reasons; injury updates, weather, etc., but “betting line movement” that goes against the “betting percentages” is an excellent indicator of Smart or Wiseguy Money. For example, 77% of the public is betting on NYJ -7, but the line moves to NYJ -6. This line movement would trigger a "Smart Play" alert. I use the database of public betting data and line movement info to pinpoint the optimal triggering settings. I will do all the number crunching for you. You just sit back and relax, everyday I will post the plays by 3pm for you guys..

The Second System
The Fade The Public betting strategy is another system I will be following. Every day I'll post the three most lopsided bet games in terms of percentage of bets AND percentage of money. The Fade The Public strategy takes advantage of over-shaded lines and greedy sportsbooks. If a line looks too good to be true, bet the other way. It consistently pays to "Bet Against the Public", so far on the year the NBA system is 48-31(+13.3units) in CBB it is 42-24(+14.81units). As always, I will let the results speak for themselves. These plays will also be posted by 3pm everyday for you guys..

Note: Sometimes there may be multiple games that fit into the system, however I only play the ones I feel have the greatest chance of hitting. If you have any questions feel free to ask..

Smart Play System: 0-0
Fade The Public System: 0-0

NBA BETTING SYSTEM
Date 1/19/2011
Teams Opening Line Current Line # of Bets Betting %'s on spread %'s ML
Phi/Orl Orl -9.5 Orl -9 2417 Orl 72%/Phi 38% Orl 55%/Phi 45%

Bos/Det Bos -12 Bos -11.5 1663 Bos 55%/Det 45% not listed

NOH/Mem NOH -4.5 NOH -3.5 1957 NOH 77%/Mem 23% NOH 36% Mem 64%

Por/Sac Por -2 Por -1.5 1909 Por 80%/Sac 20% not listed

O/U
Teams Opening Line Current Line Betting %'s
Cavs/Suns 213.5 214.5 Over 39%, Under 61%
Det/Bos 192 191 Over 61%, Under 39%
Min/Lac 213 214 Over 44%, Under 56%
Por/Sac 195.5 196.5 Over 36%, Under 64%
Nyk/Hou 218 221 Over 55%, Under 45%
Was/Mil 186 188 Over 49%, Under 51%
Uta/Nj 194 191.5 Over 58%, Under 42%

iceage · #3 01-19-2011, 01:28 PM

Welcome, best of luck to you. Should be a interesting follow.

LordCC · #4 01-19-2011, 01:47 PM

Welcome to the mall & best of luck!

yoo its flash · #5 01-19-2011, 03:08 PM

thanks, which site you find the info of the public %

FadeThePublic · #6 01-19-2011, 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by yoo its flash

thanks, which site you find the info of the public %

I use Sbrodds.com and thespread.com

Babe The Pig · #7 01-19-2011, 04:03 PM

So the Team to bet in system 1 is the team with the lower % of bettors and the line getting 'worse' for that team? IE: Memphis

FadeThePublic · #8 01-19-2011, 04:57 PM

Fade The Public System: 0-0
New York Knicks (22-18) vs. Houston Rockets (19-23)
The public is all over the Knickerbockers (79% of total bets).
Play: Rockets -2
Utah Jazz (27-14) vs. New Jersey Nets (10-31)
The Jazz are the publics biggest bet of the night tonight (with 81% of the bets). According to my system there is a 57.8% chance the Nets cover.
Play: Nets +6.5
Los Angeles Lakers (31-12) vs. Dallas Mavericks (26-14)
Lakers are also one of the publics biggest bets of the night (76%). According to my system there is a 62.9% chance that the Mavs will not only cover, but win this outright.
Play: Mavs +3

FadeThePublic · #9 01-19-2011, 05:13 PM

Smart Play System: 0-0
Portland Blazers (22-20) vs. Sacramento Kings (9-30)
The Public is not only all over the Blazers but the line has dropped down a point.
Play: Kings +1
Memphis Grizzlies (19-22) vs. New Orleans Hornets (26-16)
Reverse line movement
Play: Grizz +3.5
Cleveland Cavaliers (8-32) vs. Phoenix Suns (18-21)
Line opened up at 213, 61% of public takes the under and it goes up a point?
Play: Over 214
Portland Blazers (22-20) vs. Sacramento Kings (9-30)
Line opened up at 195, 64% on under and it's now at 196.5 due to the smart money.
Play: Over 196.5