GFX's NBA Play #8

[GFootsXtreme]

5-3 +$240, won on lakers game 1 what was that about a week ago lol!

OK so game 2 and everybody wonders...well if the lakers are so good why is the line still 6/7? Answer: Because the books don't care who wins, they care about their juice and they will adjust the line to get it, big games = big vig. In big games imo the books take position on totals (i.e. usually the under) because they know no matter what number they put up bettors will always take the over.

You saw everything you needed to see already in the playoffs...the books don't adjust lines much no matter what...the Cavs were out matched and yet they let cavs backers hang themselves over and over...well Orlando backers they are doing the same to you now.

The point is not that the Lakers are SO MUCH BETTER, it is that home court in the 2-3-2 requires the home team to give max effort in both of the first games. The long layoff only serves to make sure the entire Laker team is rested and Phil has all the time he needs to adjust.

You think Orlando will play a different game tonight? No sir! They will shoot better and make a better game of it, but they know deep down they have 3 games at home coming up, and when they begin to fall behind again 2nd half they'll fall back on that comfortable thought as they fail to cover.

$110 Lakers -6.5

NBA Fix Plays: 2-0
Overall record: 5-3

just wait...the minute the game ends and the lakers cover, orlando opens as a -4 favorite at home and everybody hesitates....gee they lost 2 in a row...what do i do, what do i do...

[goterps74]

Good Luck tonight