JC's NBA Public Dog Plays of 52% or Higher + RLM Plays

[JC]

Hey guys, I have a thread like this running in in the other sports forum. I'm trying to devolpe a system to single out good games to bet on. I hope it's going to help along with your own capping skills. It's working nicely in college football. Still working on a few thing on the pro sport side. I will run this thread thru the entire 2010/2011 season and see what it brings us. I will use 1 unit for tracking.

Note a few things.

1. I will be only using pregame numbers so you will see different percentages from other sites.
2. Due to posting early the percentages and lines may change before gametime. I recommend you wait as close to gametime before betting if you like a play.
3. Bet at your own risk because we all know no system is perfect.
4. I'm only going to use RLM plays of 1 point or greater
5. For the first two weeks it's only going to be test just to see which way works best on the public dog side (meaning do we ride with or against the public dog) I'm going to record after the game starts so I can get a true feeling on hoe it's going to work out.

GL this season and let's make some cash.

[justdonating]

Welcome to the NBA forum. Lots of regulars in the NBA Forum. We'll be looking forward to seeing how this fairs. With so many games each week this might have potential. A few years ago (2006-07), I used a similar system on NBA totals. I was close to a 70% winner. Since then, its more like 53%. This year might be different. Good luck!

[JC]

Originally Posted by justdonating

Welcome to the NBA forum. Lots of regulars in the NBA Forum. We'll be looking forward to seeing how this fairs. With so many games each week this might have potential. A few years ago (2006-07), I used a similar system on NBA totals. I was close to a 70% winner. Since then, its more like 53%. This year might be different. Good luck!

Thanks justdonating

[TNell]

Good luck JC. look forward to seeing you work here.

[JC]

Originally Posted by TNell

Good luck JC. look forward to seeing you work here.

Thanks TNell

[JC]

Hell going to bed guys. There was no public dog plays tonight to track.

If the line and percentage holds then Houston +6.5 would be a RLM play tonight. I will check back with it in the morning.

Remember only tracking right now (2 weeks)

RLM Play
40% Houston +6.5

[JC]

Originally Posted by JC

Hell going to bed guys. There was no public dog plays tonight to track.

If the line and percentage holds then Houston +6.5 would be a RLM play tonight. I will check back with it in the morning.

Remember only tracking right now (2 weeks)

RLM Play
40% Houston +6.5

The RLM play came thru last night for a win.

Remember only tracking right now (2 weeks)

RLM Play
40% Houston +6.5..............Won

RLM Record
1-0
100%
+1.00 units

[JC]

Wednesday 10/27/10

Pregame doesn't have the current line numbers up so it's messing me up with the RLM plays.

Here's who the public dogs are right now. In the NFL the public dog favorited has been winning. Lets see what happens tonight. Be back for the late games.

53% Detroit +4
47% NJ -4

76% NY +1
24% Toronto -1

[JC]

Wednesday 10/27/10

Pregame doesn't have the current line numbers up so it's messing me up with the RLM plays.

Here's who the public dogs are right now. In the NFL the public dog favorited has been winning. Lets see what happens tonight. Be back for the late games.

Here's what we're watching tonight !!!

53% Detroit +4
76% NY +1
71% Atlanta +2.5
53% Sacramento +3
58% Milwaukee +2.5
54% Chicago +7
58% Utah +3
72% Houston +3.5

[STACKS ON DECK]

so these are the plays or fade cause the public is on them?

[killa21]

these are his plays

[STACKS ON DECK]

thanks killa

[JC]

Thursday, 10/28/10

OK guys I like Utah on the RLM play. It bumps head with the dog play but usually the RLM play wins out. Ilike it enough to make a play on it tonight. GL with your plays guys.

RLM Play
Utah -7.5 (-103)

RLM Record
1-0
100%
+1.00 units

[JC]

We are only tracking for the first week or so. I will be posting the play after the games start to get a true reading.

[JC]

This would have been the plays tonight.

Public dogs
52% Sacramento +2.5 .......Lost
52% Orlando +4................Lost
54% Denver +2.....................Lost

RLM Plays
56% N.O. -2 .......................Won
44% Memphis +9..............Won

Tracking for now
Betting with public dogs = 5-7
Betting against public dog = 7-5
RLM Plays = 3-1