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#1
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Washington Wizards @ Utah Jazz OVER 205 ˝ POINTS TOTAL 150 UNITS
Good Afternoon Mallers, i had such a great day yesterday , went 2-0 and i am starting to feel like a Robot, been capping 24/7 since friday with very little sleep, but i made just over $2500 this past weekend, i figure about $150 for every hour i put into capping. I Am 13-3 The last 10 days on basketball. Now For the "Game Of The Day" Lets start out with the "wizards" a 21-43 record and 9 of those wins were on the Road, the player vs. player match-up is very interresting with the wizards, they seem to play better on the road and score more points on man on man with starter and bench players then they do at home, This is one of the first factors of this game i liked, the wizards also have almost a dead on 50% average against the "Jazz in the win /loss stats, the wizards have beat the "jazz" 42 times, the jazz have beat the wizards 43 times, now to the offensive Game, after adding up all the player on player "Splits" for this matchup, i found that both Kirilenko & Williams both had outstanding numbers against the Wizards in man on man, but the Wizards bench was alot more productive and put out a statistical 18 more bench points then the jazz, which brought my man on man Points to pretty much "Even", other aspects i found interresting is that the "Jazz" seem to thrieve on below .500 teams not in their conference.... The defensive matchups in this game are going to be very aggressive with alot of fouling and i do believe alot of turnovers, and a few techs on the Wizards out of defensive foul calls, tempers will flare, lets now get to the "Real Numbers" in this matchup, here are my out-put numbers for this game based on lowest possible points to highest possible points for each team. The Wizards Will Score a low 102 points in this matchup The Wizards Will Score a high 109 points in this matchup The Jazz Will Score a low 113 points in this matchup The Jazz Will Score a high 119 points in this matchup The lowest possible score in this match-up will be 215 Points Total The Highest possible score in this match-up will be 228 Points Total This is in my opinion the best total matchup for Monday night and will be a sloppy foul feast, but possible to be a very good game for the Wizards and i love it! Lets all hit the bookis hard and heavy tonight on this matchup and hit'em where it hurts, this is my Game of the day Goodluck everyone ![]() ![]()
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#2
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Keep rolling OBT
__________________
Jack |
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#3
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Interesting cappin' obt. Good luck to us.
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#4
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Thanks for all the work....got the total at 204...it has dropped any concerns? Just asking I'm on it!
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#5
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No concerns, it will go back up 2 points if not more before game time possibily.
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#6
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LOL at your title. WTF, I'll tail ya!
GL obt.
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#7
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OBT, have a look at Washington last 10 games. They averaged 91.2 points a game.
Are you still pretty sure about the play? just asking |
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#8
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Quote:
Tommy, the average point total for their last ten games is one of the factors i look for when i choose a game, but but it is who they play against and not their last 10 games, after i ran all the games today i got a number for each team, this narrowed me down to 2 choices, i then ran the simple man on man stats, along with offensive and defensicse stats, and the average of 91.2 points agame isn't what they average against the Jazz, their actual true average is 102.1 and utahs is actually 104.3 , this total is 106.7 at the very minimum and then i do my research and capping from their, if you look at the other 5 games and do the simple stats, you'll find that they are all below the offered total, this is why this is the game to play, it is a very diverse system i use and when i pick a game the minimum out-put has to be always above the total or the game is a write-off .... You'll always find that one diamond in the rough every night if you do your homework, but finding it and guessing it based on 1 simple stat will never produce a winner.... Goodluck if you follow Last edited by Only_Bets_Ties; 03-15-2010 at 03:04 PM. |
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#9
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Sure i will
Thx for the explanation and good luck to you too |
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#10
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Thanks for the pick, any close or tie games with your stats.
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#11
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BOL on the over!
Was wondering is that 150 an hour before or after taxes?
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#12
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I don't see anything in basketball that is going to be a close game outside of the game i am playing the "Total" on, The Wizards have the stats and protential to keep it close but i'v not done enough reasearch to tell you whether it is a good bet or not, at +11 i think this is a good wager but it is still possible that utah could leave the wiz in the dust, i'd give the +11 maybe a 60% of covering
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#13
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BOL tonight! Hope the Wizards do more than their share for you!
__________________
2011-2012 NHL: 301-237-14, +3555 (2* plays are 17-14) 2011-2012 NBA 144-169-5 2012 MLB: 88-88-2, -1360 2011-2012 NFL: 128-91-7 2011-2012 NCAA Football: 126-96-7 2011 MLB: 486-437-18 2010 NFL: 108-67-3 2010 Cappers Mall Handicapper of the Year 2011 Cappers Mall Hall of Fame Inductee Winner, Western Playboy $20,000 Challenge (payment pending) Winner, Inaugural Hooisercatdaddy Invitational NCAA Basketball Handicapping Contest and Rewards Points Shindig |
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#14
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GL...OBT just got it at 204
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#15
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I think there will be a lof of UNDER Games tonight since the OVER were 12-2 the last two days.
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