
01-25-2008, 05:23 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Newfoundland
Posts: 1,583
Rewards: 116
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{-NBA Is A Coin-Toss This Season-}
Well last week i made a thread bitchin about all the low scoring "Quarters" from high scoring teams....So i decided to take a couple weeks off of basketball or atleast wait till after All-Star Break...... Capping the NBA This season is worst then pulling teeth and no matter how much time you put into researching a "Side/Total" i'm either very close to winning or win by a very small margin with a very small ammount of room for margin of error based on stats going into any given matchup...... i study matchups, center vs center , who is more dominating in the post game, paint game, transition, turnovers, defense, offense, injuries, minutes a game per player, average quarter stats, player stats, ppg per player, Personal Fouls, history vs. each other ppg, home records, away records, and just when i think i'v nailed a total down, the best looking total on the card, a team that has been producing 25 point quarters minimum puts up 12 , 13, 14 , 15 points in a single quarter killing my totals..... And not bad shooting teams either, usuallu i get what i want out of one team but the other has a surprisely unlucky game, getting bad calls and so on..... I know it's the way the game is but right now i don't think it is possible to beable to pick a "Solid" play on a "Total" without the " scare factor " of having one of these ugly quarters atleast one time by each team every few outings... Personally i think the totals are being set to high........ for the matchups.... this year..... most games i cap, i get maybe a 3 point lean either way against the total making it very hard to play...... this is why i have been resisting playing totals on basketball..... it just isn't plauseable right not for what the " Risk vs. gain" on the totals being offered...I hope there are some people out there using this to their advantage and finding a good system to exploit these strangly low scoring quarters, but i know it is beyond my skill level to beable to figure this out and be a "winner"...... lol... anyways, any thoughts on why it is so hard to cap basketball this season, along with any good sugestions would be great before i take another run at these totals after all-star break...
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