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Old 02-05-2011, 12:17 AM
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NBA 1* (507) LOS ANGELES LAKERS -4

The New Orleans Hornets have been extremely as an underdogs going 15-6 ATS overall and a more than respectable 10-2 ATS at home when the total is in this range, they are also 3-1 ATS and SU with 2 days of rest. However this isn’t a deep team and the injuries of Okafor and Ariza mean a lot to them as they are both great defensive players and that’s their presentation card. The 3rd best defensive team in the NBA (def.) hast played 2 games without Okafor and allowed 46% against the Wizards at home and a staggering 53% against the Thunder on the road in a game that Ariza left because of the injury. The bad news don’t stop there, now they will receive a Lakers team that has beaten them in 8 *** games and is as needed for a win as they can be, coming from sluggish performances at home in loses against Boston, Sacramento and San Antonio while winning against Houston in overtime. They will be beginning a lengthy road trip and therefore I expect them to play with purpose and they are an unbelievable team when that happens.

Expect the Lakers length to give the Hornets plenty of problems on both sides of the court and an injured team to fight but to no avail. This is similar to Dallas when Nowitzki got hurt, they had some amazing number ATS but without him they are a different team.

Take the Lakers

NBA 1* (517) CHICAGO BULLS -3

These teams are in opposite spots speaking about schedule, the Bulls will be playing the 2nd game of a 5game road trip that started with a solid win at Clipperland. The Warriors on the other side are enjoying some time at home, but it’s getting to be point when this home cooking is making them to comfy and after a winning stretch now it’s a good time to fade them. The story is easy to tell, they beat the bad teams and lose against top competition like the one they’ll face Saturday night. To be more specific, they beat Cleveland, Clippers, Nets, Pacers, Kings, Bucks and Jazz (without Deron) and lost against Lakers, Spurs, Hornets and Bobcats. And while the Bobcats are far from elite these all 4teams have something in common, they are fundamentally sound on defense and rebounding, two areas where the Warriors are simply awful for yet another season.

The Bulls fall into that category perfectly as they are the single most efficient defense in the league and also the team with the best rebounding margin. Golden State still has plenty of home games left in the near future so there’s no sense of urgency and Chicago still has plenty of games on the road hence they may get tired but not for this game. Consider that Chicago is 4-1 ATS on the road when the total is set in this range (200-204) and that the Warriors are a poor 1-3 ATS and SU as a home dog of 3point or less.

Take the Bulls
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Old 02-05-2011, 01:17 AM
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Old 02-05-2011, 07:08 AM
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Old 02-05-2011, 09:53 AM
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Old 02-05-2011, 10:02 AM
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