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#1
10-24-2010, 06:54 AM
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Nba road system 2010 - 11
NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES/ATS ....2010 -11
This will be my 8th year with the nba road system ... halves/ats. The record for the previous 7 seasons .....734 series wins and 6 losses. 2009-10......125 series wins and 1 loss 2008- 09 ... 127 series wins and 1 loss 2007- 08 ... 90 series wins and 2 losses 2006- 07... 83 series wins and 1 loss 2005- 06 ... 108 series wins and 1 loss 2004- 05 ... 99 series wins and 0 loss 2003- 04 ... 102 series wins and 0 loss Review of the system: We are betting that a road team can not cover every half of the last 3 games of a road trip and you must commit 150 to 200 units and be willing to put up nearly half on any one play and if you are not willing to risk it then forget it. I have mentioned several times in the past that this type of wagering is not for everyone and you need the right mindset to do this. I have said in jest that you do not have to be insane to do this but it could help!!! THE NEXT POST: EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 2010 - 2011 
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#2
10-24-2010, 06:58 AM
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NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 2010 - 11) THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details. RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS) 1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games. 2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games. 3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc. 4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details) 5. Any series that starts before the christmas break must conclude by dec. 22 or it is a no play. 6. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play. 7. NO PLAYS THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON. 8. Optional: If a home team is favored by 5 points or more for the first half of game one, the series is eliminated. 9. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers. * 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series * 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series * 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series * 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110) First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0 Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1 Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41 Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26 Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46 Sixth play ......... ???????? EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO 1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss 2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss 3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won. COMMENTS: SEE NEXT POST FOR NOV SCHEDULE.
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#3
10-24-2010, 07:00 AM
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Nba road system
halves / ats nov 2010 lac @ ut(11/6), no (11/9), sac (11/10) den @ dal(11/6), chi (11/8), ind (11/9) mn @ hou (11/7), lal (11/9), sac (11/10) bos @ dal (11/8), mia (11/11), mem (11/13) gs @ ny (11/10), chi (11/11), mil (11/13) ut @ orl (11/10), atl (11/12), cha (11/13) hou @ wa (11/10), ind (11/12), ny (11/14) phi @ dal (11/12), sa (11/13), cle (11/16) det @ lac (11/12), sac (11/14), gs (11/15) por @ okc (11/12), no (11/13), mem (11/16) tor @ mia (11/13), wa (11/16), phi (11/17) lal @ mil (11/16), det (11/17), mn (11/19) nj @ ut (11/17), sac (11/19), den (11/20) ny @ sac (11/17), gs (11/19), lac (11/20) pho @ orl (11/18), cha (11/20), hou (11/22) cle @ no (11/19), sa (11/20), ind (11/23) no @ lac (11/22), ut (11/24), por (11/26) phi @ wa (11/23), tor (11/24), mia (11/26) chi @ pho (11/24), den (11/26), sac (11/27) gs @ hou (11/24), mem (11/26), mn (11/27) sa @ no (11/28), gs (11/30), lac (12/1) por @ phi (11/30), bos (12/1)wa (12/3) ind @ sac (11/30), ut (12/1), pho (12/3)
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#4
10-26-2010, 02:15 PM
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LIMITED BETTING PROGRESSION: (OPTIONAL)
The idea is to reduce risk and stress with the potential to win more units. Limited betting progression #1 (based -110) #1...1st half game 1...... risk 1.1 to win 1.0 unit #2...2nd half game 1......risk 2.3 to win 2.1 units (net 1.0 unit) #3...1st half game 2.......risk 4.85 to win 4.41 units (net 1.0 unit) (if no cover after the first 3 plays / win 2 of the next 3 plays) #4..2nd half game 2.......risk 6.6 to win 6.0 units #5..1st half game 3.......risk 8.8 to win 8.0 units #6..2nd half game 3......risk 13.2 to win 12.0 units *** covering the 4th & 5th plays (net 5.75 units) ***covering the 4th & 6th plays (net 1.0 unit) ***covering the 5th & 6th plays (net 5.15 units) Comments: If no cover is made thru 6 plays, your loss of units is reduced more than half compared to the standard betting progression method. If a cover is made on the 4th play, you can stop with a 2.25 unit loss or continue with the progression and profit by covering one of the next 2 plays. Last season 119 series out of 126 were completed by the 4th play of the series for 95%.
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#5
10-27-2010, 12:39 PM
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thanks for setting this up howudoin. good luck this season!
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#6
10-27-2010, 12:46 PM
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On nov 10th have you the kings playing both the clippers and the t-wolves????
Just checking this. Keep up the good work.
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#7
10-27-2010, 02:46 PM
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Schedule correction (first series) lac @ sa (11/10) thanks for watching my back!!!
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#8
10-28-2010, 03:38 PM
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So how come you dont have Sacramento last night @ det and now tonight at chi and how come you are missing Port @ NY 10/30 and Minn @ Memphis 10/30 These are all examples of the start of 3 game road trips. Golden State starts a 3 game trip on Nov 7 @ Det and Denver starts one Nov 6 @ Dallas Where are these games?
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#9
10-28-2010, 04:26 PM
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Quote:
Read post #2 and rule #7. This takes care of the first 2 series that you mentioned. Den series is on the schedule and gs starts on nov 10 (remember its the last 3 games of the series) post#2 of this thread should answer any questions that you may have.
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#10
11-01-2010, 09:40 AM
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Quote:
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#11
11-01-2010, 02:35 PM
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8. Optional: If a home team is favored by 5 points or more for the first half of game one, the series is eliminated.
How many losses wouldn't have been losses using this option? Thank you.
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#12
11-01-2010, 03:13 PM
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Quote:
Looking at the 2 losses over last 2 seasons......... In both series the line failed to adjust to the improved play of a below average road team. THE PLAN: Eliminate all series where the home team is favored by 5 points or more for the 1st half of the 1st game since most covers are made by the second half of game 1 of the series.. This will cost us several series wins but it would also eliminate these type of series where the line failed to adjust on the improved play of a below average road team. Results if applied the last 2 seasons................. RESULTS: 2008 - 09.... 23 series would be eliminated which would include several wins but also the one loss. The adjusted record would be 105 - 0 and the total units won would have more than doubled. 2009 - 10... 30 series would be eliminated and the adjusted record would be 95 - 0 for last season. The total record by making this adjustment over the last 2 seasons would be 200 series wins and 0 losses. Comments: This is move is optional.
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#13
11-02-2010, 12:34 AM
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if the home team is cover the 1st half of game#1 ,, do you still play the next 5 halves or you stop?
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#14
11-02-2010, 08:01 AM
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Quote:
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#15
11-02-2010, 10:27 AM
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