
02-17-2011, 12:06 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Mexico
Posts: 55
Rewards: 51
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nba@tnt
NBA 1* (501) SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ (502) CHICAGO BULLS UNDER 190.5
While I have no intentions of getting involved in the side of this game I do consider we have value in the total with betting the under. Not only these are 2 of the best defenses in the league but they also have played to the under between them in 6 of the L8 games at Chicago and they have averaged 186ppg in their *** meetings. Both defenses are heating up lately, Chicago has allowed right on their average of 90ppg in their *** games and San Antonio is allowing a staggering 89ppg in its L5 games and 93ppg in its ***, both number well below their season average of 96ppg. It’s also important to consider that San Antonio is 1-4 under when the total is set in this range (185-190) and 3-8 with 2days of rest, a good indication that this team prepares properly on the defensive side.
Chicago does his homework too, focusing on the defensive side of the ball when revenging a loss, proof of that is that they are 6-18 to the under in this situation.
Take the Under
NBA 1* (503) DALLAS MAVERICKS +1
The Mavericks hit the road once again to face a familiar opponent and to close out a bb set and the last game before the all-star break. They will be facing a Phoenix team that has won 7/10 and is looking like a team to buy but, not so quick. They beat Boston on a horrible spot, they did everything they could to lose against another squad on a bb against the Hornets and they beat a decimated Milwaukee team, I concede, they beat Golden State –twice- and lost to Oklahoma and Sacramento at home, they beat a Utah team –twice- that is going through a really painful process without Sloan in command… so, any quality team in that span? None. It’s true the Mavericks will be without rest but they are a respectable 7-4SU and ATS in this situation and no one had more than 28min of action in a crushing performance against Sacramento. We have 2 nice ATS trends working in our favor, Phoenix is a poor 2-6 ATS at home against teams over .500 while Dallas is a profitable 11-3 ATS. Also in this price range Dallas is 7-1 ATS on the season.
Take the Mavericks
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