NBA Wednesday 4-29-09

[pitt85]

Hornets +13.5 (Bought 3)

I capped this line to be at 9. +10.5 is a gift. Everyone (75% of the public) is pounding the Nuggets hard after their last 58 point victory. I have been on the Nuggs every game so far, but tonight its time to take the Hornets. They have never been given a double digit line as a dog, all season. This is a blessing in disguise.

Sometimes in the NBA you have to go against conventional wisdom and first impressions. What is your first impression after seeing the Hornets get blown out on their own court by 58 points? Your first reaction is ‘take the Nuggets no matter what the points’ and that is exactly what the oddsmakers are thinking and they know there will be heavy action on the Nuggets so they set this line accordingly. There is definitely value here on the Hornets. This is the first time New Orleans has been a double-digit underdog ALL YEAR.

Let's make some

[junkiee24]

Gl

[pitt85]

Thanks junkiee, you too!

[krazyxkamakazee]

why you bought the hook if your betting on fate? Lack of confidence?

[pitt85]

Not lack of confidence. I've been on a pretty nice streak lately and wanted to use some of that cash frivolously to cushion this bet. I rarely do it, just felt like buying it for this game. Public is heavy on the Nuggs and I am confident in the Hornets with +10.5, GL!

[Psylence]

Good anaysis, line has now gone back to 10 suggesting vegas trying tank it up on denver