Orlando-Boston line begging for Boston action

GFootsXtreme · #1 05-14-2009, 08:50 AM

Let's review here....Boston won by 1 at Orlando as 5pt dogs, then went home and were only 2/2.5pt favorites, so they won the last two games including one in Orlando.

The line immeidately opens at 6 or 6.5, and shoots to 7ish at most places. Wagerline showing 65% so far on the Celtics, sportsbook showing 59/41 ATS for celtics, and 84/16 ML for Celtics. sportsinsights shows 70/30 Celts ATS and 88/12 ML.

This isn't the Nuggets, Cavs or Lakers here we're talking about, this is a Celts team that has struggled throughout the playoffs to barely win most of it's games. Now they haev won 2 in a row, everyone is backing the celts and yet the line immediately jumped to 7.

I do not believe that line movement tells you the whole story for sure. But it is obvious to me the books are taking a position on Orlando against the public.

I haven't posted many plays, i have a few teasers going right now but i think if you are looking for the play tonight you have to go with Orlando.

1* Orlando -6.5/7, whatever you can get. For official purposes I will list the play as -7...because the books seems more than willing to give you 7 and wait and see how the money pours in.

uva3021 · #2 05-14-2009, 08:51 AM

yep

LesProfit · #3 05-14-2009, 08:54 AM

I agree!
Orlando is the play!

GFootsXtreme · #4 05-14-2009, 12:24 PM

line starting to move to -7.5 at the vegas books, there is no chance imo that the public is loading up on orlando and causing line moves like this, it makes no sense. There is no reason to feel confident in orlando at home having to win by 8+ based upon past performance.

Lakers line is moving higher on the Lakers as the numbers would indicate it should, orlando is moving opposite direction

GFootsXtreme · #5 05-14-2009, 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GFootsXtreme

Let's review here....Boston won by 1 at Orlando as 5pt dogs, then went home and were only 2/2.5pt favorites, so they won the last two games including one in Orlando.

The line immeidately opens at 6 or 6.5, and shoots to 7ish at most places. Wagerline showing 65% so far on the Celtics, sportsbook showing 59/41 ATS for celtics, and 84/16 ML for Celtics. sportsinsights shows 70/30 Celts ATS and 88/12 ML.

This isn't the Nuggets, Cavs or Lakers here we're talking about, this is a Celts team that has struggled throughout the playoffs to barely win most of it's games. Now they haev won 2 in a row, everyone is backing the celts and yet the line immediately jumped to 7.

I do not believe that line movement tells you the whole story for sure. But it is obvious to me the books are taking a position on Orlando against the public.

I haven't posted many plays, i have a few teasers going right now but i think if you are looking for the play tonight you have to go with Orlando.

1* Orlando -6.5/7, whatever you can get. For official purposes I will list the play as -7...because the books seems more than willing to give you 7 and wait and see how the money pours in.

a shocking one point cover

2009 NBA Fix Plays: 1-0 +$90
2009 NBA OVerall: 2-1 +$80