Over betting, which is better?

[bluesonic]

You bet the over, what situation do you want more:

*Blow out: teams give up on D and score at will. Downside, less fowls, and more bad shots

OR

*Close game: teams will fowl late in the game to stop the close. Downside, slower pace and tighter D.

Any thoughts?

[smet9772]

Close game, foul late. I love betting second half unders when it is a 15+ lead for one team at half time.

[ConstantColorUpor]

Def close game. Blowouts typically go under because in the last 3 minutes the pace is so slow, end of the bench is in and they cant put the ball in the hoop

[bluesonic]

Originally Posted by smet9772

Close game, foul late. I love betting second half unders when it is a 15+ lead for one team at half time.

Heat and Hawks game may be a good choice then?

[ConstantColorUpor]

Hopefully Miami pulls a Philly

[smet9772]

I am terrible at nba betting so I wouldn't go from my advice. But my local had opening line at 94 for the second half and now it is down to 93. That is just my rule of thumb. I am on the second half under small.

Plus in blow outs if the team that is down makes a push that means the other team isn't scoring either. So that can help the under also.

[bluesonic]

Originally Posted by boucher21

Hopefully Miami pulls a Philly

doubt the Hawks can choke as much as the Magic lol

[ConstantColorUpor]

Just trying to be positive I got +10

[bluesonic]

Originally Posted by smet9772

I am terrible at nba betting so I wouldn't go from my advice. But my local had opening line at 94 for the second half and now it is down to 93. That is just my rule of thumb. I am on the second half under small.

Plus in blow outs if the team that is down makes a push that means the other team isn't scoring either. So that can help the under also.

I have OVER 187, so hope they score 90 points and were both right

[bluesonic]

Originally Posted by boucher21

Just trying to be positive I got +10

good luck!

[whodi]

Take the Hawks +3.5. The Heat have nothing tonight and Atlanta will continue to dominate. Hawks will win by 20+ for the cover.

[smet9772]

Originally Posted by bluesonic

I have OVER 187, so hope they score 90 points and were both right

I am mush tonight so you should be good. hope you hit your over

[thekid777]

Originally Posted by smet9772

I am terrible at nba betting so I wouldn't go from my advice. But my local had opening line at 94 for the second half and now it is down to 93. That is just my rule of thumb. I am on the second half under small.

Plus in blow outs if the team that is down makes a push that means the other team isn't scoring either. So that can help the under also.

Thanks for the info. I tailed you for a small play. Looking good so far. Line movement is always something to look at with 2nd halfs in games that really won't be bet on heavily.

[smet9772]

NP, it is looking good and I like the fact that ATL has slowed it down too when they get the ball. Hope it stays under.

[thekid777]

WOW. I don't think that could have come any easier.