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  #1  
Old 01-12-2019, 02:39 AM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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Over under totals

Can someone tell me the splits for totals this year in nba ?

Have to believe its heavily favored toward over.
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Old 01-12-2019, 05:50 PM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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O/u: 312-302-15 (0.47, 50.8%)





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Old 01-12-2019, 06:22 PM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ILikeToParty View Post
O/u: 312-302-15 (0.47, 50.8%)





Thanks ILP. exactly what I was looking for. albeit hard to believe..
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Old 01-12-2019, 10:00 PM
Old School Pro Old School Pro is offline
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You could argue that:

On a sample size that large (all NBA games so far this year, 629 games....)

That 50.8% is a huge majority.

Maybe IL2P or someone else can tell us what percent of games favorites have covered in the NBA this year.

I'll hazard a guess (if I knew what the fuck "hazard" meant here) that they've covered somewhere between no more than 50.5% but at least 49.5%

Just saying - in a big sample, 50.8% is a lot - makes you want to shy away from unders, at least, if they only hit at 49.2% - maybe bet 'em half as heavy....

- 0SP
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Last edited by Old School Pro; 01-12-2019 at 10:01 PM.
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Old 01-13-2019, 12:10 AM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Favorites on the year :

ATS: 317-285-9 (0.36, 52.7%)

Home : 217-179-7 (0.62, 54.8%)
Away : 100-106-2 (-0.15, 48.5%)




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Old 01-13-2019, 12:12 AM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigtom View Post
Thanks ILP. exactly what I was looking for. albeit hard to believe..

I looked a few weeks ago too cuz yeah it seemed like an over year but the numbers always seem to fall into that 47.6%-52.4% no profit no matter what side youre on dead zone



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Old 01-13-2019, 12:19 AM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Heres like the last 10 years overall. Its a little hard to read cuz the copy and paste thing messes it up but the 1st column is number of games, the 2nd column is the home teams ATS record (so the opposite if u want to know the visitors ATS record) and the third column is the O/U



Games.....ATS.... O/U
629 335-285-9 (0.49, 54.0%) -2.8 312-302-15 (0.47, 50.8%)
1312 620-671-21 (-0.29, 48.0%) -2.7 616-664-32 (0.06, 48.1%)
1309 640-642-27 (0.15, 49.9%) -2.9 649-626-34 (0.64, 50.9%)
1316 664-628-24 (0.29, 51.4%) -2.7 624-660-32 (0.27, 48.6%)
1311 620-656-35 (-0.47, 48.6%) -2.9 598-658-55 (-0.09, 47.6%)
1319 619-676-24 (-0.39, 47.8%) -3.0 670-626-23 (1.24, 51.7%)
1314 640-645-29 (-0.05, 49.8%) -3.3 653-641-20 (0.29, 50.5%)
1074 530-532-12 (-0.24, 49.9%) -3.2 506-539-29 (0.26, 48.4%)
1311 613-665-33 (-0.11, 48.0%) -3.3 626-671-14 (-0.32, 48.3%)
1312 624-663-25 (-0.53, 48.5%) -3.4 632-657-23 (-0.01, 49.0%)
1315 637-651-27 (-0.10, 49.5%) -3.4 643-650-22 (0.41, 49.7%)


I can look up pretty much anything. Just let me know anytime



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Old 01-16-2019, 11:07 PM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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wow the 50.8 isn't even as good as past years.

Could you pull up how 1h overs have fared this year ?

I am puzzled by the games where the 1h are so much less then half of the full game total.

Like Cleve/Port tonight 1h total is 105 and full game is 216. and out course the under has no chance. 117 scored in the 1h.

Over doesn't need any help getting there, but lines makers lowered the lines any way for 1h and it easily goes over.
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Old 01-17-2019, 03:40 PM
UDP UDP is offline
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NBA games going over so easy. When the game going over, I see quarters, first hafl and 2nd half going over too. If I play parplay, over is my first choice.

Last edited by UDP; 01-17-2019 at 03:44 PM.
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Old 01-17-2019, 04:20 PM
Old School Pro Old School Pro is offline
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Thanks, Party!

Thanks, guys....

Looks to me like Home Favorites are having a monster year this season - parsing the digits, are they good every year?
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Old 01-17-2019, 04:41 PM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigtom View Post
wow the 50.8 isn't even as good as past years.

Could you pull up how 1h overs have fared this year ?

I am puzzled by the games where the 1h are so much less then half of the full game total.

Like Cleve/Port tonight 1h total is 105 and full game is 216. and out course the under has no chance. 117 scored in the 1h.

Over doesn't need any help getting there, but lines makers lowered the lines any way for 1h and it easily goes over.

Unfortunately theres no 1H data on the database I use sorry



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Old 01-17-2019, 04:42 PM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Old School Pro View Post
Thanks, guys....

Looks to me like Home Favorites are having a monster year this season - parsing the digits, are they good every year?


Home favorites only 1 year out of the 10 previous they were over 50% so this year is a bit of an anomaly so far




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Old 01-17-2019, 05:23 PM
Old School Pro Old School Pro is offline
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I get it - the Greek turned into American!

Home favorites are having a monster season, in the past they were slightly sub-par.

The first time you look at that page of numbers it's like Alphabet Soup....

- OSP
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Old 02-07-2019, 06:20 PM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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ILP,

What are the numbers now ? Gotta be slightly shaded toward over
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Old 02-07-2019, 06:29 PM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Overall for the season - O/U: 394-395-21 (49.9%)




Still right at 50/50. Even like last nite there were some huge scores but overs only 4-3 last nite overall, 22-25 the last week



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Old 02-07-2019, 07:24 PM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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damn, you're right only 4-3 overs last night lol
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Old 02-08-2019, 12:36 AM
UDP UDP is offline
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Home team favor + Over = $$$.
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Old 02-08-2019, 04:15 PM
ILikeToParty ILikeToParty is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UDP View Post
Home team favor + Over = $$$.


Yeah it does seem like that kinda year but just on the sides a little bit:

Home Teams ATS - (274-236-12) 53.7% so +14.4 Units betting them ATS
Home Teams O/U - (252-258-12) 49.4% but -31.8 Units betting the overs



Been 522 games and a FAV+OVER parlay would have hit 140 times, but at your standard +260 payout that's -18.0 Units






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Old 02-11-2019, 11:36 PM
bigtom bigtom is offline
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8-1 favorites today lol
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