Phoenix/Houston

[mickey]

HOUSTON ROCKETS(48-26) at PHOENIX SUNS(40-36)

I think it may be a good play to fade the Suns,b/c of their 3 recent road games they only covered one of those games ATS.One would think to play them since their at home,but i'm not thinking that way.
That recent three-game skid has put Phoenix four games behind Dallas for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference and while it is not mathematically eliminated, it might as well be. The problem is, the Suns have to bank on Dallas tanking but with the Mavericks playing six of their final eight games at home, including a game against Phoenix, that isn’t likely to happen.This game (IMO) is actually bigger for the Rockets. Houston got a shot of momentum last night and it didn’t even play. The Rockets were moved up to first place in the Southwest Division thanks to San Antonio losing to Oklahoma City, at home no less.The Rockets are well rested as they have played just one game, Saturday’s 110-93 victory over the Clippers, in a week. The time off will definitely help more than hurt as rest this time of year is huge. Plus, the Rockets are 4-0 this season when playing with three or more days rest with those wins coming by an average of 16.7 ppg. Phoenix has no doubt been better at home than on the road but a lot of that success has come against bad teams.

Trends:
The Suns are only 12-25 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and that includes a 7-13 ATS mark at home. They are just 9-20 straight up against teams ranked within the top ten, going 9-20 ATS as well. This includes a 5-10 record against the number in home games so there is no advantage at all for Phoenix to be playing this game at home. The Rockets are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of fewer than five points and considering their last three road wins have come against San Antonio, Denver and New Orleans, playing in Phoenix, where they have won the last two meetings, is far from intimidating.

recommend:Houston+2

[Slyce]

Thanks Mick!