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  #1  
Old 06-05-2008, 04:09 PM
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**** Playoff Special ****

The Playoffs have filled us with alot of nice home team dominated series' that were lets face it 90% defense filled.

SKIP TO BOTTOM to AVOID BRAIN DAMAGE!



Not every game came down to the wire......and we snoozed our way through some of the most boring 20 pt blowouts i have ever set my eyes on in the many years I have bet sports, let alone watch them.

Time and time again people chased and lost on overs....and chased the dog and lost.....the sharps may have gotten smashed....which is IRONIC only because the sharps were never really sharps at all.....The FACT is that vegas loves to change up its game and always keep the little man guessing which side his paycheck should ride on this game....Are they controlling the games??? probably not...but they sure as hell know what is going to happen before it does wether its legal, ethical, immoral, or on completely opposite of what most people believe. .......HOW DO THEY GET US THERE??? well Humans and most animals are trained and learn by example....we also bet with our heart and with our GREED. They try to exploit these things with feeding us while we are down on our last limb, and pounding us into the ground right when we think we have caught the edge (i.e. Dog betting in playoffs..etc) .....WHY DO THEY FEED US WHILE WE ARE DOWN??? because, most people are risking limb for limb at that point, and vegas is already ahead so far that it doesnt matter to them to give away a set of wins in order to restore order, make u deposit and chase more, and also make u think u have what it takes to beat the system.

LETS FACE IT.



THERE IS NO SYSTEM!



BUT ....there are ways to exploit and carefully manipulating the betting population in your favor. I.E. BET WITH VEGAS.....

Everytime....HELL NO....Why???....Because they CHANGE up their game Regularly. (hence sharps feel like squares...etc)


Pick your spots??.......ALWAYS!....Why???....Because CHANGING up YOUR GAME can make vegas catch a bigger or EASIER fish to fry rather then the one who bets 3-10 games a day or week for that matter.


I may be abnormal....sure....but I like to bet not as often....and then bet big when a time comes.








SKIP TO HERE if u dont wanna read the ABOVE!!!!










What do i think will happen tonight?

I think this game will be very close for the entire game...I think Lakers KNOW that there defense cant hang with BOS....we ALL have seen it with our own eyes.

What do they do? THEY SCORE like there is NO TOMARROW.

Boston wont give up though so easily. They have a very good starting 5 with a supporting backbone of fillers to really make a championship team....ANYONE of the BIG # (or others) are capable of 30 pt games....

This will be the game where THE TEAM breaks out of their shell.....PRIMETIME TELEVISION hasnt seen a explosive game play like this yet this PLAYOFF SEASON.

We are about to witness early shots off clock...and Team work 3 pt shots which make the floor electric and Kobe's fist pump until Ray Allen drains one to match him.


Will the score be over 100 at half time???

Honestly I dont think so....I wouldnt be surprised if its 80. WHY? because im not an expert firsthand...and also this game I expect to be wire to wire...so 42-43 at half time wouldnt scare me one bit...I know its a race to 100 and both teams will show that mentality by the late 3rd quarter as we close out 76-73. Toward the end of game I expect both teams to take risks...they dont want to win the game at free throw line....They want to win it with layups, and dunks and good passing....which GOOD FOR US ..leads to FREETHROWS...haha

To be honest with u, I dont care if final score is 98-94 as long as we get over the total at some point in 4th, that is why i am laying off my usual first half play to align with my game play.

Since some books have 191.5 and others 192 I am just going to make it easy and say my line is 191-130 so if u have to pay for it do it...we may win this game by .5 or 1 pt...whichever matters to ur line...

But since vegas moved the line so much downward I KNOW the public has jumped on board with these BOREFESTIVALS and the mundane defense shows that arent SHOWS AT ALL. If the NBA has anything to do with fanfare or true glory in star and show, they will allow the shooters to do as they will and call fouls fairly, and OFTEN for our sake.


**** Playoff Special *****


Ova da Total of 191 -130



Final Score Boston 99-Lakers 97


GL ALL


-stash

Last edited by SecretStash; 06-05-2008 at 04:13 PM.
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  #2  
Old 06-05-2008, 04:14 PM
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nicely said stash...havent seen ya in a while....i too like the over...only based on a close game and going over by late free throws with desperate fouls to try and win the game late....

best of luck tonight brother
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  #3  
Old 06-05-2008, 04:17 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by THE_ROOKIEEE
nicely said stash...havent seen ya in a while....i too like the over...only based on a close game and going over by late free throws with desperate fouls to try and win the game late....

best of luck tonight brother

yeah i havent liked anything enough in the playoffs to put a bomb down on it...but this one has been teasing me and teasing me more how easily the line dropped and how vegas changes up its game at perfect times to exploit things.

I truely think this one will be a battle for the ages....It will put this game at instant classic level if the teams come out as hot as I want them to.


GL in ur play as well brotha!


-stash
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  #4  
Old 06-05-2008, 04:32 PM
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yeah a 3 point drop in the opening series is quite substancial imo....i also think that you forgot to mention that for ratings purpose and the money that flows thru in and out...they need a big early explosion in game 1 so that the rest of the games can make a big profit with the hype....if you all havent seen all the advertising for this game or understand this concept....then those of you need to flip the coin and read the back
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  #5  
Old 06-05-2008, 05:26 PM
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Looks like a solid play, good luck tonight!
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  #6  
Old 06-05-2008, 08:03 PM
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good luck stasher. missed your play but maybe i'll get a chance to jump at halftime.
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  #7  
Old 06-05-2008, 08:59 PM
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nice...i'll hit that second half big depending on the numbers
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  #8  
Old 06-05-2008, 10:13 PM
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damn -- wish I saw this before I finalised my bet -- looks like a great call SS
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  #9  
Old 06-05-2008, 10:42 PM
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GG jinxed us!


That game was BS, so many points left on the court.
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  #10  
Old 06-05-2008, 10:52 PM
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well the game was in our back pocket 110% all 3 Quarters leading up to the debacle called the lakers.

I am very disappointed in a vet coach and vet player(s) (mostly Kobe) not fouling down 3 scores with 45 secs left....are u kidding me?...the coach is suppose to have won 9 championships??? i mean for real this is the last deal...there is no redues.....I gurantee u he wishes there was.

that is not even to mention the entire 4th quarter as a whole...that was pitiful...The game was explosive as I thought and going into the fourth we looked Real Good...but it goes as it does any other time, and it aint over (sick pun) thill the fat lady sings.


Sorry for the tuff loss guys...i took a smack on the ass myself....but only thing any solid bettor can do is pick up where u left off...because to dwell on a shitty ending, or final quarter jus isnt good for your health or future.

Never chase, and Never give up.


-stash
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  #11  
Old 06-05-2008, 10:55 PM
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That Was Bullshit Stash --- I Had The Under And Got Lucky As Fuk

You Had The Right Side -- Suspicious Last 2 1/2 Minutes

Tough Break But U Had The Right Side 100 % !!
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  #12  
Old 06-05-2008, 11:10 PM
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true, stash did have the right call on this one...but that one was weird at the end
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