Playoff Stats/trends

[WAXER]

There's a misnomer that below .500 teams are to be over-looked versus the "best of the best" teams. From a straight-up winning approach, these losing tems are 21-55... but against the spread (ATS) they are 37-35-6.

But it gets even better for the astute bettor as they are 14-5-3 (74%) when playing with two days of rest. In the NBA Playoffs this scenario of 2 days rest and then playing the same team is a situation that smart bettors and professionals look for.

#1a) Now looking at Games 2 and 3, those same teams are 23-13-4 ATS. And if you believe that the elite teams might be going thru the motions and not playing any defense you are right. They are 15-8-1(65%) in games whenever the Over/Under total is 207.5 or more points.

#2) Bad teams are often double-digit underdogs. These teams do quite well in opening round games. These so called "bad teams" are 23-11-1 (68%) in this role. So pay close attention to the pointspread. Numbers tell the tale.

#2a) And AFTER a blow-out it seems the interest level has diminished by the NBA's "elite teams." Coming off a loss, the below .500 teams (I call them "orphans" because bettors don't want to bet on them) are 20-7-1(74%) if they were a dog of 8 or more points the previous game. Use the bounce-back approach in these games. It works!

#3) At times we'll find division opponents battling one another during the opening round of the playoffs. When this occasion arises we can count on the fact that being familiar with each other has it's "ups" for the bettor. The first-round division hosts, off a playoff loss, are 47-35 (57%). But if the loss was a low scoring game it gets even better. The are 29-15-2 if they scored 90 or fewer points in the previous defeat.

#4) Whenever a team is upset as a favorite in an opening round game, that is the time to bet on them. Whether the next game is on the road or if they are going back home, the wins pile up. In those situations the favorites are 41-22 (65%), a very solid mark. If they were upset at home and remain home their numbers improve to 31-13 (70%). These teams tend to "get it together" and respond in games after being embarrassed and chewed out by their Coach.

[demen_demen]

is this Marc Lawrence? lol