Posting From Moon Palace Sportsbook --- Friday NBA Info/Plays

keith.line · #1 10-28-2010, 11:05 AM

Week Three (Min: $300, Max: $2000):
Football: 2-0 +$2400
Basketball: 2-3 +$220
Total: 4-3 +$2620
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Week One: 6-2 +$2300
Week Two: 7-4 +2200

Hit the big play on the over by 48 points last night. Another TNT Doubleheader, not sure how these games are going to shake down. I am at work today so updates wont be as frequent.

Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic -14/191 OPEN
Wizards without Gilbert Arenas, John Wall makes his debut in the NBA. Magic coming off the great season last year and showed they are even better by killing teams in the pre season. I know its just the preseason but we all saw how the lack of effort or lack of playing time together in the pre season effected the Heat on Tuesday. Line is way to high for me to play either side but I am leaning to the under. So far this morning I am showing down here a 77/23 split of money in favor of the over. Betting volume wise its been 58% on the over and 42% on the under. I processed a couple of bigger wagers $500-$2000 on the over so far today. The line has moved up to 192 -110. As for the sides its nearly an even split 53/47 for the favorite in terms of money and 51/49 again for Orlando in betting volume. The line has moved up to 14.5. This is as of 11:30am local time. I always love to back the under in the first of the double headers on Thursday Night. This system alone has had a great winning percentage in the past couple seasons. Teams know everyone is watching these two games and tend to tighten up a little bit. This being the first game of either teams season they will go to what they know best early on. Orlando will be able to completly shut down this Washington offensivley. If Orlando happens to break the century mark tonight in points, I still can't see Washington breaking 85, keeping this well under the total. See how this shakes down throughout the day, maybe snag a 194 close to game time.

Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz -6/209 OPEN
Jazz got beat up by the Nuggets last night in a game where Denver welcomed back Geroge Karl from Cancer and played tough physically and emotionally. The Suns are coming off a 16 point loss in Portland on Tuesday Night where they showed the problems they now have without a big inside presence from Amare Staudamire. Betting action has surprised me a little bit here as the under has been the popular NBA bet of the day recieving the most action between the two games, nearly 86% of the early money so far has been on the under, enough to move this line down to 207.5. Side action is as expected with people jumping on the home favorite. So far 61% of the early money has been on the Jazz driving the line up a point to -7. Betting volume for the total has been 80/20 in favor of the under and the side has seen a 60/40 split in favor of the Jazz. Personally I don't see a play on this game, however if the under continues to roll in, I may go small on the over as both these offenses have yet to break out to full potential this season. With one game each under their belts, I belive the nesscary adjustments could be made to put both these teams in the 100 point area tonight. We will see how that goes.

Next update should be around 3:30. Be sure to check out the College Football thread for the ACC battle tonight between Florida State and the Wolfpack of NC State.