Rookieees Thurs Conference Game Of Month

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 03-13-2008, 12:06 AM

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS PHOENIX SUNS

IVE BEEN WAITING AND WAITING FOR THE RIGHT SPOT AND I BELIEVE I FOUND IT FOR MY WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH AND HERE IT IS FELLAS…. NOW IM NOT GOING TO HIDE THE FACT THAT WE HAVE LOST OUR TOTAL OF THE MONTH PLAYS BACK TO BACK IN FEB AND MAR…. THE BIG ONES ( TOTALS ) JUST HAVENT FALLEN THE RIGHT WAY… THIS IS MY FIRST GOM SIDE PLAY FOR THE NBA THIS SEASON BUT THIS GAME WILL BE YOUR GET OUT OF THE HOLE PLAY, GET AHEAD FOR THE WEEK PLAY, YOUR ROUND ROBIN WHEEL AND PARLAY KEY PLAY ETC.ETC ETC…EVERYTHING EXCEPT THE DEED OF COURSE…. LOL …. WELL ENOUGH OF THE BULLSHITTING LETS GET TO MY WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH:

THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ( 18-13 V ) TRAVEL TO FACE OFF IN THE DESERT AGAINST THE PHOENIX SUNS( 23-10 H )FOR THEIR THIRD MEETING THIS SEASON…. THE WARRIORS COME INTO TOWN OFF A 4 GAME ROADIE ( 3-1 SU AND ATS ) AND A HOME WIN LAST NIGHT OVER THE TORONTO RAPTORS… THEY ARE PLAYING UNBELIEVEABLE BALL RIGHT NOW WINNING 8 OUT OF THEIR LAST 10 WHILE COVERING 6 OF THOSE WINS.

MEANWHILE THESE SUNS WILL BE ON THEIR 4TH CONSECUTIVE HOME GAME AND IT SEEMS LIKE THERES NO PLACE LIKE HOME AS THEY HAVE WON BACK TO BACK FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE THE 2ND WEEK OF FEBRUARY…THEY BEAT SAN ANTONIO 94-87 PULLING AWAY LATE EVEN THOUGH THE SPURS SHOT 43% FROM 3PT RANGE BUT IF YOU STOP DUNCAN YOU WILL WIN 85% OF THE TIME…. IN THEIR LAST GAME AGAINST MEMPHIS THEY BASICALLY GOT OUT TO A 30 POINT LEAD BY HALFTIME AND CRUISED TO 131-111 VICTORY WITHOUT MUCH SWEAT… IN FACT IN THE 3RD AND 4TH QUARTER THEY WERE EXPERIMENTING BY USING DIFFERENT LINEUPS AND TRYING DIFFERENT THINGS AS MEMPHIS PLAYED EVENLY WITH THEM IN THE SECOND HALF WHILE EACH OF THE SUNS STARTING 5 RESTED FOR ONE ANOTHER…..

BOTH THE WARRIORS AND SUNS ARE GOING TO GET THE PUBLICS MONEY FOR WHAT THEY HAVE ACCOMPLISHED BUT LETS GO INTO MY THOUGHT PROCESS AND MY INTUITION….THE LAST 2 MEETINGS BETWEEN THESE TWO HAVE BEEN PLAYED IN OAKLAND WHERE THE WARRIORS HAVE JUST HANDLED AND OUTPLAYED THEM, DEFEATING THESE SUNS 120-118 AND 129 -114 ….SO THERE IS REASON TO BELIEVE THAT WITH A TRIPLE REVENGE GOING BACK TO LAST SEASONS FINALE THESE SUNS WILL BE EAGER TO PAY IT BACK AT THEIR HOUSE IN THE DESERT ….BUT IMO THEY ARE STILL UNCOMFORTABLE WONDERING HOW TO PLAY WITH SHAQ IN THE LINEUP AS EVIDENT OF THE MANY DIFFERENT LINEUPS IN THAT MEMPHIS GAME AND ARE TRYING TO FIND THE RIGHT CHEMISTRY THAT WORKS CONSISTENTLY…

SO WITH THAT BEING SAID LET ME EXPLAIN MY REASON AS TO WHY WE ARE GOING WITH THE WARRIORS TONIGHT AND NOT THE SUNS…… THE LAST TIME THESE TWO PLAYED THE SUNS WERE DOGS GETTING 3 POINTS AND COVERED THAT GAME LATE DESPITE OUTREBOUNDING THE WARRIORS 49-34…19 TURNOVERS WITH NASH TURNING IT OVER 7 TIMES MAKES ME BELIEVE HE WAS TRYING TO DO TOO MUCH IN THAT GAME DESPITE BOTH TEAMS HAVING OPEN SHOTS ALL GAME ..(THIS IS WHAT EVENED OUT THE BIG DIFFERENCE IN REBOUNDS AND INEVITABLE COST THEM THE WIN)….NASH REALIZED IN THAT GAME THAT THEY CANT RUN BACK AND FORTH WITH THEM… NOW THEY AQUIRED SHAQ TO CHANGE THE PACE OF THE GAMES BUT HAVE HAD LITTLE TO NO SUCCESS AGAINST RUN AND GUN TEAMS AS EACH GAME THAT PHOENIX HAS WON HAS BEEN WITH THE SLOWING DOWN THE PACE AS IN THE SPURS GAME… THE ODDSMAKERS BELIEVE THAT THE SUNS HAVE FOUND THEMSELVES AFTER THESE LAST TWO WINS AND ARE FINALLY READY FOR THE PUSH THAT EVERYBODY IS EXPECTING OF THEM…. I AM NOT ONE OF THEM…. IMO WITH THE BIG WIN OVER MEMPHIS AND B2B WINS AT HOME PLUS THE TRIPLE REVENGE IDEA THESE ODDSMAKERS HAVE STRETCHED THE LINE IN FAVOR OF THE SUNS TOO MUCH…. MEMPHIS IS NOT GOOD COMPITTION AND IF YOU THINK THAT THE SPURS WAS A GOOD WIN…THINK NOT AS THE SPURS HAVE DROPPED 3 OF THEIR LAST 4….THE WARRIORS ARE PLAYING TOO GOOD OF BALL RIGHT NOW AND MATCH UP SO WELL WITH THESE SUNS, THAT NO MATTER WHAT EXPERIMENTAL LINEUP THEY BRING TO THE TABLE THEY WILL ENCOUNTER TROUBLES… ALSO THE SUNS BEEN HORRIBLE FAVORITES THEIR LAST 12 (3-8-1ATS) …. I EXPECT THE SUNS TO CHANGE LINEUPS FREQUENTLY HOPING TO SLOW DOWN THE PACE BUT REALIZE TOO LATE THAT THESE WARRIORS WILL JUST SHOOT AND SHOOT AND SHOOT….

TAKE THE BETTER TEAM, THE BETTER SHOOTERS AND THE BETTER CHEMISTRY AS THESE WARRIORS WILL WIN AGAINST THESE SUNS AGAIN AND CASH THIS GOM PLAY!!!!!….SMALL LEAN UNDER

GOLDEN STATE 121 PHOENIX 113

KEY TRENDS FOR TONIGHT

DOG IS 6-1 ATS LAST 7 MEETINGS
G.S. IS 4-1 ATS LAST 5 WITH NO REST
G.S. IS 5-2 ATS LAST 7 MEETINGS

I AM PLAYING THIS AT 5 RIGHT NOW AND WILL BE MONITORING THE LINE MOVEMENTS TO PUT MORE ADDITIONALLY IF THE LINE MOVES AS I EXPECT IT TO DO SO……BEST OF LUCK!!!!

THE ROOKIEEE PICKS

**CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH**

60*** GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +5

IloveBaseball · #2 03-13-2008, 02:28 AM

GL RookiEEE ! Cash it!

usual suspect · #3 03-13-2008, 08:01 AM

GL Rook!

helmut · #4 03-13-2008, 09:10 AM

nice write up i'm with you all the way

Victor · #5 03-13-2008, 09:19 AM

Good luck THE_ROOKIEEE!

gdog · #6 03-13-2008, 09:51 AM

Seems logical to me... I'm tailin ya... GL Rook with your GOM!!! Nice Avitar Victor...

erichfootball · #7 03-13-2008, 11:54 AM

I have Golden st +7-1/2 lets take the books money

smitch124 · #8 03-13-2008, 04:40 PM

Yes pretty fair line move there....hmmm.

oceanOO · #9 03-13-2008, 05:47 PM

+7.5 now....what cha' think rooKiee bout the line movement?

THE_ROOKIEEE · #10 03-13-2008, 08:58 PM

thanks baseball, usual suspect,helmut, vic, g-dog,erich,smitch, and ocean............ i have a lot riding on this as i have played more with the generous line move to +7.5.... it is now a 100* play for me as i have 5k of my winnings on this play...... lets cash it fellas....best of luck to everyone!!!!