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Thanksgiving Referee Stats
Washington at Atlanta: (Atl -7.5 and 196.5) Home teams favored by between 5 and 10 points were 14-7 ATS with Eli Roe last season. Home teams are 8-3 ATS with Roe this year, including 3-0 ATS as faves between 5 and 10 points. Home teams were only 27-40 ATS with Leroy Richardson last season, but the only range in which home teams had an edge with him was as faves of between 5 and 10 points, as they went 11-9 ATS. Ref Derrick Stafford loves the under with these two teams, but Roe and Richardson lean over.
Sacramento at L.A. Clippers: (LAC -2 and 193.5) Courtney Kirkland was 11-5 o/u last season with totals between 185 and 195 points. Kirkland is 7-5 o/u this year, but only 3-3 o/u between 185 and 195. The Clips are 6-4 o/u in their last 10 games with Kirkland, and Sacto is a strong 9-1 o/u in their last 10 with him. Ref Bill Kennedy has a small lean to the over in this total range, both last year and this year. Both teams have pretty bad SU and ATS numbers with this crew, as they do with most refs.
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#2
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Looks like the over will be a nice play in the Sac/Lac game
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