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Old 12-21-2010, 11:12 AM
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Thoughts on NBA crowds, wagering advantages?

Everyone agrees home court is an advantage, correct?

Part of the reason is because the team feeds off the energy from the crowd.

If you attend a lot of games you know that the energy level (and attendance) is higher on Friday than on Monday. Yes? No?

Most people hate Mondays, the world is more churlish (churlish?);
everybody loves Friday, pay day for many, the weekend is here, everyone is "up."

So, doesn't it stand to reason that the home crowd edge is sharper on Friday night, as opposed to Monday?
Yes? No?

And for the visitors as well as home team? Playing before a dead audience does no performer any favor, local or from out of town.

I'm not stating any of this as fact, merely thinking out loud.

I use a play based on isolating teams that may play a lousy game for a second straight night (wagering the team and game under, and against the isolated team.) Stands to reason if Mondays are as noted above, then these plays would have a higher W % on a Monday than say a Friday or Saturday weekend night crowd. Yes? No?

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 12-21-2010 at 11:13 AM.
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Old 12-21-2010, 12:21 PM
dwf dwf is offline
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Old 12-21-2010, 12:22 PM
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Originally Posted by dwf View Post
This is your input?
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Old 12-21-2010, 12:26 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. NASCAR View Post
Everyone agrees home court is an advantage, correct?

Part of the reason is because the team feeds off the energy from the crowd.

If you attend a lot of games you know that the energy level (and attendance) is higher on Friday than on Monday. Yes? No?

Most people hate Mondays, the world is more churlish (churlish?);
everybody loves Friday, pay day for many, the weekend is here, everyone is "up."

So, doesn't it stand to reason that the home crowd edge is sharper on Friday night, as opposed to Monday?
Yes? No?

And for the visitors as well as home team? Playing before a dead audience does no performer any favor, local or from out of town.

I'm not stating any of this as fact, merely thinking out loud.

I use a play based on isolating teams that may play a lousy game for a second straight night (wagering the team and game under, and against the isolated team.) Stands to reason if Mondays are as noted above, then these plays would have a higher W % on a Monday than say a Friday or Saturday weekend night crowd. Yes? No?
I think good basketball cities are loud on Monday, Friday or any day there is a big game. Example, in New York or Chicago, I think the fans would be as vocal on a Monday then on a Friday if they were playing the Lakers or Heat or any big game.

Now I wonder if it might apply to crap teams. Like someone may want to cheer and go to a Clipper game on a Friday night (because it's a Friday night), but would they on a Monday? Interesting. Not picking on Clippers, just using it as an example
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Old 12-21-2010, 01:20 PM
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Thanks for the opinions, Jack.
While the energy at the Garden is equal on Monday and Friday, the number of butts in the seats may not be, weekend crowds being larger, making the energy level different; again, I don't know, just thinking out loud.
Odds makers factor everything in to the lines, home court edges included, I was just looking for some opinions on it.
Easy to ignore the masterful way with words displayed by dwarf, I don't have any time/use for internet-tough life-less gits. What I do have is a play in my NBA thread that is 18-0 on Mondays (I guess that's something to puke about, if you're the bookie taking those bets), and though I suspect it is a coincidence I thought I'd toss it out for some discussion, for kicks and info exchange.
I see something like "the Braves are 10-2 on Tuesdays" and I laugh as most of those trends are coincidental, but add to the fact that this play is 8-16 on Saturdays, making it a solid 67% fade, it was cause to stop, think, and research. I charted this play for the entire year last season and later today will go through it, recording the record by day of the week, expecting to see that the 18-0 is just a fluke. Then, I'll share the info here.
It's the only way I know how to become a better 'capper and help others do the same.
Well, other than employing juvenile smilies . . .

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 12-21-2010 at 01:31 PM.
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Old 12-21-2010, 01:31 PM
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Interesting, I'd be interested in seeing the results. I don't turn a deaf ear to anything
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Old 12-22-2010, 09:28 AM
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Did research on LY's record by day, found what I thought I would -
no correlation to back up Monday play this season (great on Monday/sux on Saturday) LY Mon 7-8; Sat 30-12.

Dr. J - I'm with you, an open mind (opposite of a deaf ear) is the only way to continually grow and improve in every way; book makers love know-it-alls, and they should -they make their living off them. Saw your work on "teams after playing the Heat" (and is it just me, or does anyone else find it ridiculous/irritating to see Miami get it's own spot on the ESPN score ticker?) good stuff, thanks for sharing (and thanx Cheezer for adding additional info)
To me, handicapping is like mining for gold, you do research, much of what you come up with is dirt, but well worth it when you find that one nugget, the one system that brings home a nice profit for the season, and hopefully a few more seasons after that.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 12-22-2010 at 09:34 AM.
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