Tomorrows Lines

[ConstantColorUpor]

Philly -5.5 at home. Orlando without Dwight Howard and Courtney Lee. Starting lineup will most likely be :

SF Hedo Igudala
PF Lewis Young
PG Alston Miller
C Gotat Dalembert
SG Pietrus Green

Philly huge edge in every major category except 3 pointers with this lineup and now Orlando can only play 3 deep off the bench unless they put in Foyle and Lue who havent played pretty much all postseason. Huge rebounding edge goes to Philly without Howard in the game who last game alone had 10 offensive boards which led to 14 2nd chance points. With no Howard in Dalembert should get 20 boards. And I know a ton of people here will be on Orlando, and I'm just up in the air now even with these stats because I feel the spread should be 8.

[ConstantColorUpor]

Couple more things. Orlando does not really get the line except for Howard. In each game he has accounted for 50% or more of the teams total FT's and thats taking into account garbage time which Philly fouled down the strech. The main reason for this is Orlando has noone that can take someone off the dribble. They are completely reliant on the 3 ball and now without Howard will be even more so than usual and Courtney Lee has been the only one shooting well in this series. With Howard out, Philly will not need to double team, meaning those outside shooters will not get many open looks. This one points to Philly by 10+.

[stk911]

you broke that down scientifcally right on the dot. i think the line will jump to 6 or 7 by game time

[ConstantColorUpor]

see thats what I'm thinking so I want to grab it tonight if it goes up, but the last thing I want is to start doubting my pick and find reasons tomorrow during the day not to like it and be too late at that point because I can't cancel bets. HAHA I need someone to talk me into this

[stk911]

without howard, orlando is just as good as dead. phila is gonna take it to the hoop at will.

[stk911]

i just locked it at -5.5. I want a piece of 1H on this game as well. Line is not out yet, but I can see it at -3.5 tomorrow morning.

[ConstantColorUpor]

I got the same. I mean it makes too much sense not to grab it at 5.5. If you like it there grab it now because the line will only get higher cant go lower with Orlandos best player out, another starter, Philly at home, on the brink of elimination. I hope by the time I wake up tomorrow its at 7

[stk911]

gl with your plays tomorrow B21

[ConstantColorUpor]

Thx u2, hopefully Philly will just take it wire to wire and we can cruise for an easy one!