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Old 01-20-2009, 04:27 PM
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Tuesday! Good lucking total?!

Spurs/Pacers UNDER 208 (3 units)

This is another line that to me, seems to good to be true. At first I was going the other way with all these trends:

* Over is 8-2-1 in IND last 11 vs. NBA Southwest.
* Over is 21-6 in IND last 27 overall.
* Over is 9-4 in IND last 13 games as an underdog.
*Over is 6-2 in SA last 8 games following a S.U. win.
*Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.

I was right about to pull the trigger on the Over, but then I realized that the O/U for these two teams head to head, hasn't been over 197.5 in their last 10 games. This one is 10 points higher then that. Also, this will be the Spurs fourth game in five days, and the second back to back of those 4 games. This is an old team. They're going to feel it tonight. The thing I like the most about this bet though is that the Pacers offense is run through Danny Granger. He is the reason they score. Who will be guarding him? I think Bowen is going to see his role come into play tonight, and will be on Granger. If Granger is slow down, there is no way they will score over 100 points, and the Spurs don't like to score much themselves.

Bulls -4.5 (2 units)

This seems odd? have to take it.



I really really want to take Pacers +7.5, but I'm going to hold off, just for now..see if the line moves at all. Spurs never cover, and they're, like I said, playing a fourth game in 5 days.
I'm gonna wait though.



GOOD LCUK!
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