Two things everyone need to know about the NBA

[ghetto]

1. whenever the total are 224 or more its turn out to be under most of the time..
2. whenever a team that give a spread of 14 or more points its turn out the dawg will cover most of the time.....

Sorry but i don't have the exact number of calculation but its something i have been observed alot as of late. Thought i want to share my opinion with the forum.

[MCP313]

Are you kidding me? There are thousands of games each year let alone years of history and you are going to throw out what you have observed lately with no factual data?

GL man but do you really think this is useful?....answer honestly.....would you blindly play any dog at 14 or better or any under at 224 or better?....for no other reason besides this what you have noticed lately?

PEACE

[Aleana2000]

I agree that a spread 14 or > 14 dawg will cover most of the time

[Slyce]

Agree also with the spread theory - garbage time - desperate 3's etc

[ghetto]

Pimp...I don't mean in the history of basketball, i meant was this year so far. Well, i did play the over 224 this year a few times and often lost also i did played the fav at 14 or more also often lost therefore i see those number often doesn't cover....

[fed11]

Case in point New Orleans last night. I will start tracking as of today. does anyone know where I can get lines from the previous games. It will be interesting to get some hard data.

[hanski]

One would have to go thru and do the research but one thing is always true and most of these +14 or Under 224 plays...............they would all be hard to stomach and pull the trigger, especially the +14.

Remember the old bettor's adage...."IF YOU CAN"T HARDLY STOMACH TO MAKE THE PLAY, IT'S PROBABLY THE RIGHT PLAY".

If a team is getting 14 points it's more than likey they are a bad team playing a good team. How the heckcan you play such a bad team? I usually pass over those game, why....because I just can't pull the trigger on a bad team.
Maybe I should try playing +14 for a while, can't hurt.....just been treading water here for a couple months.

+14 or more in the NFl is a good play as well.....except for the 1st half of the season betting against NE this last year.

Probably like anything else that requires playing all of some system or scheme....... If you played every game that is +14 in the NBA the juice would eventually get you and you wouldn't be able to make any serious money.

Just my input, not that it matters or means alot to anyone else.

[TCD619]

#3: its fixed. cmon now. everyone tries a system, its never 100% accurate. nice research though

[MCP313]

Spurs covered 14 Nov 2

Dallas covered 16 Nov 3

Utah covered 13' Nov 12

Knicks stayed within 13 Nov 13

Memphis stayed within 14 Nov 17

Denver covered 13' same day

Minny stayed within 14 Nov 23

Phoenix covered 14 same day

Phoenix Over 229 Nov 26

Minny within 14 Nov 28

Nov favs of 13 or more 5-4....1-0 OVER 224 or more


Spurs covered 15 Dec 2

Phoenix Over 226 Dec 7

Sacramento stayed within 14 Dec 8

Lakers Over 225' Dec 9

Portland +14 Dec 11 Winner

Sacramento +14' Dec 12 Winner

Phoenix Under 226' same day

Lakers Under 226' Dec 14

Utah -13 Dec 15 Winner

GS Over 226 Dec 17

Clippers +15 Dec 22 Winner

Lakers Over 222' Dec 25

Clippers +13' Winnwe Dec 28

GS Over 228 Sameday

Denver Under 228 Dec 30


Favs Dec 2-5 Overs 5-3


Denver -14 Feb 2 Winner

Phoenix -14' Feb 4 Loser...they won by 14 and some had 14

Detroit -16 loser Feb 6

Dallas -14 loser same day

NOR -14' loser yesterday

GS Under 225 yesterday


Feb so far Favs 1-4 Overs 0-1


I could not track January for some reason

Totals w/o January Favs 8-13 Overs 6-4

January might throw these numbers off or slant them more...who knows but recently this week you would be accurate and thats probably why you made this comment

PEACE

[ronaldn]

Home favorites of 14 or more are 6-14 ATS so far this season.

[fed11]

some great research.

[Earl]

last year a lot of the home high favorites of 14< covered. Check it out

[skippy]

Originally Posted by hanski

One would have to go thru and do the research but one thing is always true and most of these +14 or Under 224 plays...............they would all be hard to stomach and pull the trigger, especially the +14.

Remember the old bettor's adage...."IF YOU CAN"T HARDLY STOMACH TO MAKE THE PLAY, IT'S PROBABLY THE RIGHT PLAY".

If a team is getting 14 points it's more than likey they are a bad team playing a good team. How the heckcan you play such a bad team? I usually pass over those game, why....because I just can't pull the trigger on a bad team.
Maybe I should try playing +14 for a while, can't hurt.....just been treading water here for a couple months.

+14 or more in the NFl is a good play as well.....except for the 1st half of the season betting against NE this last year.

Probably like anything else that requires playing all of some system or scheme....... If you played every game that is +14 in the NBA the juice would eventually get you and you wouldn't be able to make any serious money.

Just my input, not that it matters or means alot to anyone else.

Not every team has a killer instinct.....be it pros or college.

A lot of good teams "play down" to their inferior opponents.