WCO's NBA Tuesday 1/20

[westcoastO]

Went 2-1 yesterday for +0.8 and there's already one that has jumped out at me and the line has already moved a half point in the wrong direction, so grabbing it now:

*3 -- Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls -2½ (-110)

This is anything but a homer play as I've said many times the Bulls are made up of Derrick Rose and several D-leaguers, which is why I wonder how they're opening as favorites (yes I'm aware Horford is out)

This is the same team the Bulls were 9 point underdogs to on December 27 and they couldn't cover that, now they're 2½ point favorites? Bulls haven't covered or beaten the Hawks in 2 tries so again, the "due factor" is sort of there, though I'm really not basing too much on that at all.

Early % is slightly on the Hawks and the line has already climbed ½ point to a full point in some places even despite the fact that Horford and Williams were never in question to play, so I really like this spot for Chicago. Looking to start bucking the trend of Atlanta covering as dogs as they are 13-4 ATS this season as underdogs, and have yet to lose (3-0) as a road underdog of 3 points or less.

Also looking to jump on the over in hopes that it opens at 200-201 or so. Bulls have a somewhat interesting trend developing of 3 in a rows, meaning, their last 3 have gone under, the 3 before that went over, and the 3 before that went under. Furthermore, both these teams CRUISED past 100 points in each of their previous 2 meetings (113-108 & 129-117, both won by the Hawks)

Total looking like it will open around 200-201 or so and I have to admit this is normally a spot where I'd say it's bait, but I can't see either team staying under 100. Will add in here if I play the total, but getting this play in right now. GL guys

[_I_Am_Legend_]

Gl Wco

[JAGCEC]

Good Luck WCO!

[mcallister3200]

Yup that D-Rose kid is special. Gonna hafta see him play for the first time in person on Sunday when he comes to Minneapolis. GL today WCO

[westcoastO]

thanks guys

i'm seeing the total at 198½ which seems WAY too good to be true, I'm passing on it entirely

[be47320]

gl westcoast, im going back and forth on this one, lean bulls but prob a no play..hope you hit it!

[HoosierDaddy23]

zero way the bulls should be favored here


Good luck man

[westcoastO]

thanks guys

hd23, agreed, i'm either trying to read way much into this and it's a gift for hawks bettors or the bulls win by 8-10, hope its the latter

[HoosierDaddy23]

I would be all over this if I didn't watch the bulls play everyday...either way will prolly end up playin small cuz there is not much else to do on a tuesday night in chuckvegas

[westcoastO]

i hear ya man, especially after watching the suck fest yesterday, still love this game, higher play than the norm for me too

[rda21]

Good Luck WCO.

[westcoastO]

thanks rda, hope we middle it my man

[westcoastO]

sad performance and classic case of over thinking

over was the play and i'll happily fade the bulls anytime they are favorites again

sorry to anyone who tailed