Wiz's NBA recommend

[mickey]

Dallas at San Antonio

San Antonio just isn’t the same team without Manu Ginobili, and Tim Duncan is a shell of himself with the knee issues he’s having at this stage of his career.

San Antonio has been a money-burner against the spread on their home floor of late, as they have covered just 2 of their last 11 home games.Throw in the fact the series underdog has gone 19-7 against the spread the last 26 meetings, and the road team is now on a 15-6 spread run with the Mavericks road win in Game One, and all the numbers the G-Man is looking at point towards another Dallas cover.

The road team has dominated this series, going 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings and the underdog is on a 16-5 ATS run in those 21 games.

Dallas is also 18-8 ATS in the last 26 meetings with the Spurs, including a 10-2 ATS mark in San Antonio.


Dallas is actually benefiting from playing in the role of the underdog right now as opposed to the higher-seeded favorite in years past.

The value is with Dallas tonight as everyone expects the Spurs to bounce back from their loss to the Mavs in Game 1. This just isn’t the same San Antonio team you have come to expect in the playoffs as Tim Duncan is severly hampered with his knee problems and Manu Ginobili being out due to the stress fracture in his ankle. The Mavs dominated the paint in Game 1 and would have blown out the Spurs if San Antonio didn’t shoot so well from behind the arc. You can’t expect to keep shooting that well from outside. Dallas was on a roll to end the season in winning five of their last six games and I think they will keep that momentum going tonight in San Antonio.

recommend-Dallas+6.5

[Mendoza Line]

I'm on the Mavs tonight as well! BOL!

[rda21]

Good Lucl mickey. On Dallas also.