COLLEGE BASKETBALL - Tue Jan 17 2012

[Grizzly Joe]

Tuesday, January 17 2012

39 Cbb 7:00 PM MichiganSt Michigan +2.5
40 Cbb 7:00 PM Georgetown Depaul +8.5
41 Cbb 7:00 PM Auburn LSU -9.5
42 Cbb 8:00 PM TexasTc Oklahoma -13.5
43 Cbb 8:00 PM Iowa Purdue -10.5
44 Cbb 9:00 PM Arkansas Kentucky -17.5
45 Cbb 9:00 PM Maryland FloridaSt -12.5

[Grizzly Joe]

gonna be lookin' fer the best Home team point spread picks today, based on stats ova last 8 days of poorline offerings:

TOTAL # OF GAMES = 89

TOTAL # OF HOME PS WINNERS = 50 = 56.2%

TOTAL # OF AWAY PS WINNERS = 39 = 43.8%

HOME WAS PS FAV 60 TIMES AND WON 34 TIMES = 56.7%

HOME WAS PS DOG 29 TIMES AND WON 16 TIMES = 55.2%

AWAY WAS PS FAV 29 TIMES AND WON 13 TIMES = 44.8%

AWAY WAS PS DOG 60 TIMES AND WON 26 TIMES = 43.3%
____________________

if everyone could offer their Top 3 Home Picks fer today (along with their other combos) maybe we can come up with a consensus combo winna.

[rhgraham]

mich, depaul,lsu

[darth wager]

Grizz, the only home team I like is DePaul
but I like your research too
so I round out my picks with 2 of these visitors: Michigan St, Auburn and Arkansas

[darth wager]

Purdue has a good record as a heavy favourite at home, although none were against Big 10

[Grizzly Joe]

Originally Posted by rhgraham

mich, depaul,lsu

Thx rhgraham.

Originally Posted by darth wager

Grizz, the only home team I like is DePaul
but I like your research too
so I round out my picks with 2 of these visitors: Michigan St, Auburn and Arkansas

Thx fer the home pick of Depaul, gonna count that in the survey at the end...

First games are at 7 tonight so we got all day to look em ova...

BOL today.

[cptkirk321]

Great spot IMO for Maryland tonight to cover the +12.5. FloridaSt coming off a HUGE win knocking off NorthCarolina at home on Saturday and not just knocking them off but killing them in the process. Next on the schedule for FloridaSt after tonights game is a trip to go and play Duke. Perfect little sandwich spot IMO for Maryland facing a team coming off the huge win against NorthCarolina and a trip to play Duke in a few days.

[7otalEclipse]

Good Morning all!
Grizz- I'm not sure I can take any home teams today
so for now the best I can offer is MCHG and OKLA but confidence in these 2 for me is LOW right now
The one game that stands out for me is visiting ARK +17.5
I will try to find 1 more home team

[Grizzly Joe]

Originally Posted by rhgraham

mich, depaul,lsu

Originally Posted by darth wager

DePaul

Originally Posted by darth wager

Purdue has a good record as a heavy favourite at home, although none were against Big 10

Should i count that as a pick from you Darth?

Originally Posted by 7otalEclipse

MCHG and OKLA

Thx everyone, this is what we have so far fer home team picks...

i'ma still crunchin' da numbas fer now...

[mikkii10]

purdue is good home team for tonites games

[7otalEclipse]

Can't take LSU -shooting is not on track, its the defense keeping them in.
Georgetown has won all six Big East matchups with DePaul with only one decided by a single-digit margin- average margin is 17.7 points
DePaul shot 34.3 percent - a season low - for the second straight game.
Can't take DEPAUL
Oklahoma 82-73 upset of Kansas State Jan. 14 Has them on a high
while Tech is the youngest and most inexperienced team in the Big 12.
Feeling better about OKLA
Purdue has a 61% free-throw percentage, which is last in the Big Ten Conference. They are so up and down its crazy nothing consistent
Can't take PURD
Florida State scored 10 points in one half home loss to Princeton
but smoked No. 3 North Carolina 90-57 its true
Can't touch FLST
So this leaves Michigan and Kentucky- I honestly see Michigan State winning that coin flip Michigan State are awesome around the basket but Michigan has a lot of 3 point threats both want to get back on track after losing I gotta go both ways on this game
And Finally Kentucky- Not much chance of an upset clearly but 17.5 points is to high for me -That could turn into 27.5 in the first 5min if Ark starts strong. Kentucky is 44-0 at home but haven't covered 17.5 against lesser teams Kentucky is averaging 79.3 points for second in the SEC while Arkansas is third at 76.9
Can't take Kentucky
The only confidence i'm really feeling for home against the spread is OKLA

[lechu]

My 3 i like Michigan,Depaul,Okl.Not sold on them, away i like Arkansas,Maryland.

[smoovbrotha]

Some big spreads WTH for fun K.IS.D

39v
40v
41v
42h
43v
44v
45v

[Grizzly Joe]

So far fer the top Home team picks we've got:

39H Michigan +2.5 (rhgraham, lechu)
40H Depaul +8.5 (rhgraham, Darth, lechu)
41H LSU -9.5 (rhgraham)
42H Oklahoma -13.5 (7otalEclipse, lechu, smoovbrotha)
43H Purdue -10.5 (Darth?, mikkii)
44H Kentucky -17.5
45H FloridaSt -12.5

Thx everyone and keep the picks rollin' in!

[pman]

So far I'm liking
Mich
DePaul
FlSt

Aub