Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

Pro Line & Lotteries Post picks or talk it up anything related to ProLine, Sports Lotteries or Canada

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-11-2018, 05:42 AM
Good sport Good sport is online now
Cash it
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: stoney creek
Posts: 6,164
Rewards: 13,454
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 5718
Likes (Received): 4572
foot NFL Prop card 82 Philadelphia vs New York Giants Thurs oct 11 Cutoff 8:15

CARD 82 Football Philadephi - NyGiants
1 Wentz,C PassingYards 282.5 170 170
2 Manning,E PassCompletions 24.5 165 175
3 Barkley,S RushingYards 65.5 170 170
4 Agholor,N TotalReceptions 4.5 175 165
5 Jeffery,A TotalReceptions 4.5 165 175
6 Ertz,Z TotalReceptions 6.5 175 165
7 Beckham,O ReceptionYards 91.5 160 180
8 Shepard,S ReceptionYards 60.5 170 170
9 Game QbackSacksMade 4.5 160 180
10 Game FumblesLost 1.5 220 140
11 Game LongestPass 47.5 160 180
12 Game LongestRush 24.5 165 175
13 Game LongestFieldGoal 46.5 155 190
14 Game LongestPuntReturn 13.5 190 155
15 Game FirstHalfPoints 21.5 175 165
16 Game SecondHalfPoints 21.5 165 175
__________________

Last edited by Good sport; 10-11-2018 at 05:43 AM.
  #2  
Old 10-11-2018, 05:50 AM
JazzyJ JazzyJ is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 135
Rewards: 782
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 7
Likes (Received): 83
Good morning mallers

Wentz under
Manning under
Barkley over
Jeffrey under
Beckham under
Good luck
  #3  
Old 10-11-2018, 07:08 AM
SportsLove SportsLove is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Burlington
Posts: 20,639
Rewards: 20,440
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 31234
Likes (Received): 19785
Thursday Night Football

Philadelphia @ NY Giants
Team Totals: Eagles 23.5, Giants 20.5

Desperate for a win after losing last week’s back-and-forth thriller in Carolina on Graham Gano’s 63-yard field goal, the 1-4 Giants catch an injury-ravaged Eagles team on a short week in The Meadowlands after DC Jim Schwartz’s defense lost FS Rodney McLeod (MCL) in Week 3, and his replacement Corey Graham (hamstring) last week. Eli Manning lit up healthier versions of Schwartz’s secondary twice last season on yardage/TD/INT totals of 366/3/2 and 434/3/1 in 27-24 and 34-29 shootouts. A top-13 fantasy passer in two of his last three starts, Manning warrants serious streamer consideration in a game where Philly will likely struggle to contain the Giants’ passing-game weapons. Although Eli’s on-field play has been up and down at best, he ranks seventh in the NFL in completions (134) and remains capable of getting the ball in his playmakers’ hands. … Philly’s stout front has limited enemy backs to 76/211/1 (2.78 YPC) rushing, although Schwartz’s unit is conceding six receptions per game to Saquon Barkley’s position. Barkley’s usage keeps him matchup proof with over 100 total yards in 5-of-5 games and 31 catches, third most among running backs. Only James Conner, Todd Gurley, and Ezekiel Elliott have played more snaps.

Eli’s Weeks 1-5 target distribution: Odell Beckham 59; Barkley 39; Sterling Shepard 36; Rhett Ellison 14; Evan Engram 13; Russell Shepard 8. … Julio Jones (10/169/0), Corey Davis (9/161/1), DeSean Jackson (4/129/1), Adam Thielen (7/116/1), Stefon Diggs (10/91/0), Mike Evans (10/83/1), Taywan Taylor (7/77/0), Chris Godwin (5/56/1), and Ryan Grant (3/35/1) have all exploited Philly’s weak cornerback unit, setting up Beckham for another monster game. OBJ ranks No. 3 in the NFL in targets, No. 5 in Air Yards (627), and No. 5 in receptions (39) after catching the positive end of touchdown regression in last week’s loss with a 33-yard TD grab and 57-yard TD pass to Barkley. Beckham came within inches of a third score, only for James Bradberry to knock Eli’s end-zone pass out of Odell’s hands. … Shepard has earned every-week WR2 treatment in Engram’s (MCL) absence with 75-plus yards in three straight games. Shepard flamed Schwartz’s secondary in each of last year’s two meetings (7/133/1 > 11/139/1). He is tied with OBJ for the team lead in red-zone targets (6) and leads the Giants in targets inside the ten (3). … With Engram and Russell Shepard (neck) ruled out and Ellison (foot) questionable, the Giants are all but bereft of passing-game options beyond Barkley, OBJ, and Sterling Shepard, which is a plus for the latter three because it narrows the usage tree. If Ellison can’t play, New York would be left with only blocker Scott Simonson and UDFA rookie Garrett Dickerson at tight end. Dickerson has never played an NFL offensive snap. Cody Latimer and UDFA rookie Jawill Davis are the top-two options at third receiver.


As pass-protection woes stalled their offense against Tennessee and Minnesota the last two weeks, it’s convenient the Eagles now draw a Giants team that ranks dead last in sacks (6) and 27th in QB hits (22) and has allowed an NFL-high 179 quarterback rushing yards. Carson Wentz set season highs in scrambles (5) and rushing yards (26) in Week 5, growing more comfortable on his surgically-repaired knee. Giants top pass rusher Olivier Vernon is slated to make his 2018 debut, but beat writers expect him to play limited snaps after missing five-plus weeks with a severe high ankle sprain. Back in the every-week QB1 crosshairs, Wentz has turned in back-to-back top-13 fantasy results. The Giants’ defense got flamed for 33 points in Weeks 4-5 by the Saints and Panthers, even as those teams settled for eight combined field goals. … Week 3 against the Colts provides a template for Philadelphia’s post-Jay Ajayi (ACL) backfield with Darren Sproles (hamstring) also on the shelf. As Ajayi sat out with a back injury, Corey Clement led the unit in snaps (55%) and touches (19) with Wendell Smallwood (35%, 13) in the No. 2 role and Josh Adams (10%, 6) third. Smallwood outgained Clement 91 to 75, however, and has outplayed him all year. As Clement missed the last two games with a quad injury, we can’t be surprised if Week 6 brings a closer split, or even Smallwood in the lead tailback role. The Eagles’ offensive staff manufactured touches for Smallwood in last week’s defeat, including a 12-yard wheel-route touchdown and ensuing two-point conversion. The Giants have allowed seven all-purpose TDs to enemy backs and over 115 rushing yards in 4-of-5 games, so this is not an imposing matchup. Clement and Smallwood are both viable flex plays.

Wentz’s Weeks 3-5 target distribution: Zach Ertz 35; Nelson Agholor 21; Alshon Jeffery 17; Smallwood 14; Dallas Goedert 11; Jordan Matthews 6; Ajayi 5; Clement and Josh Perkins 4; Shelton Gibson 1. … Ertz is a true usage hog with double-digit targets in 5-of-5 games. Opponents efficiently completed 12-of-17 passes (71%) for 239 yards (14.1 YPA) when targeting tight ends against the Giants over the last three weeks. … Janoris Jenkins has given Jeffery fits in the past, although PFF charged Jenkins with allowing 21-of-28 (75%) targets to be completed for 303 yards (10.8 YPA) and three TDs in the last month. The Eagles made a Week 5 effort to keep Jeffery away from Xavier Rhodes by using Alshon at slot receiver on nearly half of his routes, and they could take a similar approach here. Jenkins guards the slot on just 5% of his plays. Jeffery ranks top 15 in the NFL in Air Yards (210) since returning from his shoulder injury two games ago. … Agholor’s targets have been a roller coaster (5 > 12 > 4) in Wentz’s three starts, rendering him an unreliable if still-attractive WR3/flex in this potentially high-scoring affair. Running over half of his routes inside, Agholor will do frequent battle with Giants slot CB B.W. Webb, who is on his seventh NFL team. Agholor also popped in Josh Hermsmeyer’s predictive Air Yards model as Week 6’s No. 12 buy-low receiver. … Goedert’s number of routes run have declined in three straight weeks (28 > 22 > 18) with corresponding target totals of 7 > 2 > 2. … Matthews played a season-low 37% of the Eagles’ Week 5 snaps, while deep threat Gibson gave the offense a jolt on a diving 48-yard catch. Goedert, Matthews, and Gibson will continue to fight for weekly passing-game scraps behind Ertz, Jeffery, and Agholor.

Score Prediction: Giants 27, Eagles 24
__________________
Likes sbori83, Good sport, ZooJ, Moreton, Kaysee liked this post
  #4  
Old 10-11-2018, 07:12 AM
vision vision is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 15,005
Rewards: 23,452
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 22253
Likes (Received): 17959
fade me been cold with nfl

bol all

double key all under
rush
barkley

1 of each
wentz
pass
sack
jeffery
__________________
Likes SUPERCREW, Kaysee, Cross hex, sbori83 liked this post
  #5  
Old 10-11-2018, 07:20 AM
Allbutbroke Allbutbroke is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 12,239
Rewards: 38,702
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 7172
Likes (Received): 11180


__________________
  #6  
Old 10-11-2018, 07:34 AM
darth wager darth wager is online now
pun intended
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: deathstar
Posts: 43,476
Rewards: 43,031
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 63354
Likes (Received): 28523
wentz over
ertz over
2H over

manning over
barkley under
sheppard over

good luck evrybody!
__________________
Likes sbori83, ZooJ, seanmic, Silentsammy, Kaysee and 2 others liked this post
None of us is as smart as all of us
  #7  
Old 10-11-2018, 07:34 AM
Changster Changster is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Canada
Posts: 7,468
Rewards: 3,136
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 16288
Likes (Received): 14578
From fantasypros.com, projections for tonight

Wentz : 275.7 passing yards
E.Manning : 24.4 completions
Barkley : 65.2 Rushing yards
Agholor : 4.3 Receptions
Jeffery : 4.1 Receptions
Z.Ertz : 6.1 Receptions
OBjr : 83.8 Receiving yards
Sheppard : 53.0 Receiving yards

Jeffery will draw Janoris Jenkins, who's been brilliant this season so far.
__________________
Likes Good sport, Moreton, ZooJ, nkeair, Kaysee and 2 others liked this post
My Daughter's thought on Football; Half players are fat, half are slim. Slim players only pass to slim players. I can say they are selfish & it's no fair! I feel bad for big boys, all they do is fell down awkwardly & never get the ball. Poor things...

2018 NFL Props: +$872.50 after Week 6 Sunday
34 cards played, cashed in 14 cards with 33 winning tickets.
  #8  
Old 10-11-2018, 08:00 AM
ElCappo ElCappo is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,712
Rewards: 5,827
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 3662
Likes (Received): 1609
Hurricane tailings in forecast?
  #9  
Old 10-11-2018, 08:08 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
Quote:
Originally Posted by Changster View Post
From fantasypros.com, projections for tonight

Wentz : 275.7 passing yards
E.Manning : 24.4 completions
Barkley : 65.2 Rushing yards
Agholor : 4.3 Receptions
Jeffery : 4.1 Receptions
Z.Ertz : 6.1 Receptions
OBjr : 83.8 Receiving yards
Sheppard : 53.0 Receiving yards

Jeffery will draw Janoris Jenkins, who's been brilliant this season so far.
ESPN Fantasy Projections
__________________
Likes ZooJ, Changster liked this post
  #10  
Old 10-11-2018, 08:41 AM
ZooJ ZooJ is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Kingston
Posts: 317
Rewards: 1,180
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 781
Likes (Received): 537
Early leans: Manning over, Barkley under, Jeffery under.

I think Beckham or Shepard go over. Maybe both. But I'll do some more reading.

Strong second half over trends on ABB's charts too. (Thanks ABB!)

I like this card.
__________________
Likes Allbutbroke, darth wager liked this post
  #11  
Old 10-11-2018, 08:55 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
Hey ABB, Philly lost that game against Tenn 23-26
  #12  
Old 10-11-2018, 08:56 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
Wentz Under
Manning Over
Sacks Under
Rush Under

Add
Agholor Over
Sheppard Over
Pass Under
1H Over
2H Over
__________________
Likes ZooJ liked this post
  #13  
Old 10-11-2018, 09:19 AM
ZooJ ZooJ is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Kingston
Posts: 317
Rewards: 1,180
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 781
Likes (Received): 537
"Rainy

According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 73 F with a 66% chance of rain in East Rutherford at 8:20 PM EST."

From Rotowire.
  #14  
Old 10-11-2018, 09:22 AM
prolineinto prolineinto is online now
Captain Charisma
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 5,759
Rewards: 6,365
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 327
Likes (Received): 1001
Going to lean to

Went under
Obj over
Sacks over
Jeffrey under
  #15  
Old 10-11-2018, 09:35 AM
prolineinto prolineinto is online now
Captain Charisma
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 5,759
Rewards: 6,365
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 327
Likes (Received): 1001
Going to backup the above with shepherd in for obj.
  #16  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:02 AM
CopyCap CopyCap is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 389
Rewards: 198
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1150
Likes (Received): 462
2) Manning O

2/4 & 3/4
10) Fum U
12) Rush U
13) FGM U
14) PTR U

Thanks ABB as always. BOL mall.
__________________
OLG is like school. If you copy the right people you're bound to succeed.
  #17  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:08 AM
seanmic seanmic is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 43
Rewards: 298
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 36
Likes (Received): 25
Wentz Over
Sheppard Over
FG Over
PC Over
Fumbles Under
__________________
Likes darth wager liked this post
  #18  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:18 AM
b1llups b1llups is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 188
Rewards: 891
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 30
Likes (Received): 228
Hi Guys,

I have been playing around with the ABB charts and added a column that could potentially be useful to some. I added an Average column of all the numbers that ABB provides to give an idea of where certain lines may be coming up, as well as providing a season long player average directly on the same chart. As there are more games played, this number could get increasingly reflective on how to potentially bet.

What do you guys think? I do not mean to repost the same chart on this version, I just wanted to show how it would look and where the data is coming from, but I can create this chart on its own with one column if there is enough interest here for it.

Let me know what you think



__________________

Last edited by b1llups; 10-11-2018 at 10:26 AM.
  #19  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:32 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
__________________
Likes darth wager, Kaysee, Changster, ZooJ, ElCappo and 1 others liked this post
  #20  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:36 AM
The_Money_Team The_Money_Team is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 93
Rewards: 840
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 16
Likes (Received): 81
Good Luck Everyone tonight. I grabbed this combo on my way to work this morning.

1 C Wentz Under 282.5 @1.70
4 N Agholor Under 4.5 @1.65
12 Longest Rush Under @1.75
15 First Half Under @1.65

8.10 x $50 pays $405
  #21  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:38 AM
ElCappo ElCappo is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,712
Rewards: 5,827
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 3662
Likes (Received): 1609
Eagles-Giants weather: Heavy rain, thunderstorms in the forecast
  #22  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:38 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
I don't think averages help much as every single game is different, averages aren't gonna help you cap when a team is going up against the patriots or this years Cardinals lol. I always take charts like ABB's and then put them up against each teams offense/defense pass and rush, home and away of the same and then look at who the likely winner will be which will generally tell you who will HAVE to throw more to catch up and which team will likely kill the clock and run more; Granted sometimes even when a team should be running the ball and killing the clock, they opt to throw the fucking ball because they're up 3 TDs and their coach is Belichick.

EDIT: Regardless, all data is useful in some way, so whatevs.

Last edited by Moreton; 10-11-2018 at 10:47 AM.
  #23  
Old 10-11-2018, 10:44 AM
Moreton Moreton is online now
The Dude Abides
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 5,247
Rewards: 224
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 6044
Likes (Received): 4860
According to the internets
IS GON RAIN

__________________
Likes DollarSign, Beenerz liked this post

Last edited by Moreton; 10-11-2018 at 10:45 AM.
  #24  
Old 10-11-2018, 11:20 AM
Kaysee Kaysee is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Acton
Posts: 6,105
Rewards: 765
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 3396
Likes (Received): 3673
2 Manning Pass Completions OVER 24.5 @ 1.65
3 Barkley Rushing Yards UNDER 65.5 @ 1.70
12 Longest Rush UNDER 24.5 @ 1.75
__________________
Likes Moreton, ZooJ, SportsLove, Cross hex, sbori83 and 2 others liked this post

Last edited by Kaysee; 10-11-2018 at 11:30 AM.
  #25  
Old 10-11-2018, 11:24 AM
Pens66 Pens66 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 241
Rewards: 887
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 70
Likes (Received): 263
Quote:
Originally Posted by b1llups View Post
Hi Guys,

I have been playing around with the ABB charts and added a column that could potentially be useful to some. I added an Average column of all the numbers that ABB provides to give an idea of where certain lines may be coming up, as well as providing a season long player average directly on the same chart. As there are more games played, this number could get increasingly reflective on how to potentially bet.

What do you guys think? I do not mean to repost the same chart on this version, I just wanted to show how it would look and where the data is coming from, but I can create this chart on its own with one column if there is enough interest here for it.

Let me know what you think




In my opinion, the more information we have, the better. If people do t like averages, it's easy to ignore information you don't want to see.
__________________
Likes JazzyJ, ahig89, ElCappo, sjmartin57ca, Noogin4 liked this post
Closed Thread

Tags
beckham, game, qbacksacksmade, receptionyards, totalreceptions

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb1