NFL Props 20 - NYG vs. NE Superbowl Edition

[Allbutbroke]

Thanks Manutdfan786.....just hoping to continue the tradition started by some good folks here. All the best this weekend.

Wish I knew more about the status of Gronk's health. The fact that he came back into the game 2 weeks ago has me thinking he will be just fine in the Superbowl. I can't take him under but that could very well happen.

So far I have played one ticket....Brady over, Welker over, Gronk over. Now that is a square play by a country mile. I will come back with something else. Considering first half under and sacks over. Also wondering about Manning having a field day with his receivers. Tough game to cap IMO.

[prolineinto]

Leaning on the meeps combo of gronk under and Hernandez over. Still thinking of the others.

[Allbutbroke]

We are golden prolineinto.....Randall the Handle using the term "easy money" when betting the Giants.

[Prolineus Veneficus]

Is anybody afraid of LLE's on this game? i did the majority of my plays today in fear of that...i really like rush under and punt under...great value on Hernandez under and Gronk Over..i also like shalf over and long pass under and Bradshaw Under....great game to play the unders imo, going to post the combos that i played of the above tomorrow sometime....hopefully i can make some dough on saturdays ncaa games and im going to hammer this card with the profits.

[bettingman]

Originally Posted by Prolineus Veneficus

Is anybody afraid of LLE's on this game? i did the majority of my plays today in fear of that...i really like rush under and punt under...great value on Hernandez under and Gronk Over..i also like shalf over and long pass under and Bradshaw Under....great game to play the unders imo, going to post the combos that i played of the above tomorrow sometime....hopefully i can make some dough on saturdays ncaa games and im going to hammer this card with the profits.

Yeah agreed i might play tonight but still scratching my head on tickets ...lets get the train rolling woooo

[sjmartin57ca]

Leanin to the meeps combo as well, thinking Gronk is and I hate to use the old cliche "he's 1 hit away from bein out of the game" gotta figure G'men will be lookin to take a shot at him too, so I'm figurin Brady is gonna pick his spots to use Gronk and minimize chances of injury, Cheers Steve

[Allbutbroke]

Just noticed on the head to head matchups I show Cruz with 6 receptions in 2011, which is correct. But it should be red and under as the Cruz line is 6.5 for this game, not 5.5. I have it to correct on the matchups listed above the head to head sections. Sorry.

[manutdfan786]

im leaning towards ABB's ticket brady/welker/gronk O and adding hernandez U, gives some good value at 8.2, but the point about using gronk sparingly is interesting. still iffy about gronk and hernandez.

on a second ticket, im thinking eli/puntrtn/longrush U with fumbles O, hopefully some superbowl jitters will help the fumbles go over. and if my feeling about the giants winning holds up, eli will be handing of to bradshaw a lot which should keep his number lower than 25. value in this ticket is good too at 10.36

[Prolineus Veneficus]

Ahmad Bradshaw sits out Giants practice | ProFootballTalk

[baseballcoach]

Casino Props are now up!

[7thHeaven]

Here is a different look at Gronk. Overall I think the line is pretty tight, compared to Pinny odds that Chin posted earlier.

Super Bowl Predictions 2012: Why Rob Gronkowski's Injury Won't Hold Him Back | Bleacher Report

Welker could have a big game, based on this article but again, line is pretty on par.

With an injured Rob Gronkowski, you can't sleep on Wes Welker - ESPN

[7thHeaven]

Some compelling reasons in this article for

Brady OVER
Nicks OVER
Bradshaw UNDER

Possibly

Manning OVER
Welker OVER
Hernandez OVER

NFL Props: Hakeem Nicks, Aaron Hernandez play key roles

Early leans but I am looking to double-key

1. Bradshaw UNDER
2. Gronk UNDER

with

Manning OVER
Nicks OVER
Welker OVER
Hernandez OVER

[borg]

30 Casino Props

http://fallsviewcasinoresort.com/onl...ports_Odds.pdf

[prolineinto]

Originally Posted by Allbutbroke

We are golden prolineinto.....Randall the Handle using the term "easy money" when betting the Giants.

Read that too ABB. I mean it is a tough game to cap but easy money?

This coming from a guy who is $200+ down in his money plays in the Sun.

Hope the boys show up tomorrow. This season's for MHK!

[PHILLYanthropy]

Just realized they posted the props early. Thank God for the extra players on the card seeing as I'll have to lay some early bets today on soccer just to bet on NE for tomorrow...goddamned Poor-line and its 3-game win rule:

NEW YORK GIANTS [OFF PPG: 24.6;DEF (ALLOWED) PPG: 25.0;FUMBLES LOST: 18TH]

2011 STATS
OFFENCE: PASS 5TH (40+: 1ST), RUSH 32ND (20+: 32ND), PTR YARDS 13TH, FGM 29TH (40-49= 3FOR4;50+=1FOR3)
DEFENCE: PASS 29TH (40+: 5TH), RUSH 19TH (20+: 16TH), SACKS 3RD

@WAS (PASS DEF 12TH;RUN DEF 18TH) MANNING-COMP 18;SACKS 4//BRADSHAW-RUSH 44\\CRUZ-REC 0\\NICKS-REC 7
STL (PASS DEF 7TH;RUN DEF 31ST) MANNING-COMP 19;SACKS 3//BRADSHAW-RUSH 59\\CRUZ-REC 2\\NICKS-REC 4
@PHI (PASS DEF 10TH;RUN DEF 16TH) MANNING-COMP 16;SACKS 3//BRADSHAW-RUSH 86\\CRUZ-REC 3\\NICKS-REC 3
@ARI (PASS DEF 17TH;RUN DEF 21ST) MANNING-COMP 27;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH 39\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC 10
SEA (PASS DEF 11TH;RUN DEF 15TH) MANNING-COMP 24;SACKS 3//BRADSHAW-RUSH 58\\CRUZ-REC 8\\NICKS-REC 4
BUF (PASS DEF 19TH;RUN DEF 28TH) MANNING-COMP 21;SACKS 0//BRADSHAW-RUSH 104\\CRUZ-REC 2\\NICKS-REC 4
MIA(PASS DEF 25TH;RUN DEF 3RD) MANNING-COMP 31;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH 50\\CRUZ-REC 7\\NICKS-REC 6
@NE (PASS DEF 31ST;RUN DEF 17TH) MANNING-COMP 20;SACKS 0//BRADSHAW-RUSH N/A\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC N/A*LONG FGM 45;FUMBLES LOST 3;LONG PTR 10*
@SF (PASS DEF 16TH;RUN DEF 1ST) MANNING-COMP 26;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH N/A\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC 2
PHI (PASS DEF 10TH;RUN DEF 16TH) MANNING-COMP 18;SACKS 3//BRADSHAW-RUSH N/A\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC 3
@NWO (PASS DEF 30TH;RUN DEF 12TH) MANNING-COMP 33;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH N/A\\CRUZ-REC 9\\NICKS-REC 7
GB (PASS DEF 32ND;RUN DEF 14TH) MANNING-COMP 23;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH 38\\CRUZ-REC 7\\NICKS-REC 7
@DAL (PASS DEF 23RD;RUN DEF 7TH) MANNING-COMP 27;SACKS 0//BRADSHAW-RUSH 12\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC 8
WAS (PASS DEF 12TH;RUN DEF 18TH) MANNING-COMP 23;SACKS 3//BRADSHAW-RUSH 58\\CRUZ-REC 5\\NICKS-REC 5
@NYJ (PASS DEF 5TH;RUN DEF 13TH) MANNING-COMP 9;SACKS 2//BRADSHAW-RUSH 54\\CRUZ-REC 3\\NICKS-REC 1
DAL (PASS DEF 23RD;RUN DEF 7TH) MANNING-COMP 24;SACKS 2//BRADSHAW-RUSH 57\\CRUZ-REC 6\\NICKS-REC 5
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS [OFF PPG: 32.1;DEF (ALLOWED) PPG: 21.4;FUMBLES LOST: 29TH]

2011 STATS
OFFENCE: PASS 2ND (40+: 5TH), RUSH 20TH (20+: 31ST), PTR YARDS 29TH, FGM 10TH (40-49= 9FOR11;50+=1FOR2)
DEFENCE: PASS 31ST (40+: 12TH), RUSH 17TH (20+: 10TH), SACKS 14TH

@MIA (PASS DEF 25TH;RUN DEF 3RD) BRADY-COMP 32;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 8\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 6// HERNANDEZ-REC 7
SD (PASS DEF 13TH;RUN DEF 20TH) BRADY-COMP 31;SACKS 2//WELKER-REC 7\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 4// HERNANDEZ-REC 7
@BUF (PASS DEF 19TH;RUN DEF 28TH) BRADY-COMP 30;SACKS 0//WELKER-REC 16\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 7// HERNANDEZ-REC N/A
@OAK (PASS DEF 27TH;RUN DEF 27TH) BRADY-COMP 16;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 9\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 1// HERNANDEZ-REC N/A
NYJ (PASS DEF 5TH;RUN DEF 13TH) BRADY-COMP 24;SACKS 4//WELKER-REC 5\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 4// HERNANDEZ-REC 5
DAL (PASS DEF 23RD;RUN DEF 7TH) BRADY-COMP 27;SACKS 3//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 7// HERNANDEZ-REC 8
@PIT (PASS DEF 1ST;RUN DEF 8TH) BRADY-COMP 24;SACKS 3//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 7// HERNANDEZ-REC 2
NYG (PASS DEF 29TH;RUN DEF 19TH) BRADY-COMP 28;SACKS 2//WELKER-REC 9\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 8// HERNANDEZ-REC 4
@NYJ (PASS DEF 5TH;RUN DEF 13TH) BRADY-COMP 26;SACKS 0//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 8// HERNANDEZ-REC 4
KC (PASS DEF 6TH;RUN DEF 26TH) BRADY-COMP 15;SACKS 3//WELKER-REC 2\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 4// HERNANDEZ-REC 4
@PHI (PASS DEF 10TH;RUN DEF 16TH) BRADY-COMP 24;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 8\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 4// HERNANDEZ-REC 6
IND (PASS DEF 15TH;RUN DEF 29TH) BRADY-COMP 29;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 11\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 5// HERNANDEZ-REC 7
@WAS (PASS DEF 12TH;RUN DEF 18TH) BRADY-COMP 22;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 7\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 6// HERNANDEZ-REC 5
@DEN (PASS DEF 18TH;RUN DEF 22ND) BRADY-COMP 23;SACKS 2//WELKER-REC 4\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 4// HERNANDEZ-REC 9
MIA (PASS DEF 25TH;RUN DEF 3RD) BRADY-COMP 27;SACKS 4//WELKER-REC 12\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 7// HERNANDEZ-REC 4
BUF (PASS DEF 19TH;RUN DEF 28TH) BRADY-COMP 23;SACKS 4//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 8// HERNANDEZ-REC 7

2011 POSTSEASON:
NEW YORK GIANTS
ATL (PASS DEF 20TH;RUN DEF 6TH) MANNING-COMP 23;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH 63\\CRUZ-REC 2\\NICKS-REC 6
@GB (PASS DEF 32ND;RUN DEF 14TH) MANNING-COMP 21;SACKS 1//BRADSHAW-RUSH 63\\CRUZ-REC 5\\NICKS-REC 7
@SF (PASS DEF 16TH;RUN DEF 1ST) MANNING-COMP 32;SACKS 6//BRADSHAW-RUSH 74\\CRUZ-REC 10\\NICKS-REC 5

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
DEN (PASS DEF 18TH;RUN DEF 22ND) BRADY-COMP 26;SACKS 0//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 10// HERNANDEZ-REC 4
BAL (PASS DEF 4TH;RUN DEF 2ND) BRADY-COMP 22;SACKS 1//WELKER-REC 6\\GRONKOWSKI-REC 5// HERNANDEZ-REC 7


Prolly won't be back til tomorrow with any picks. Keep up the good work on the forum. The news and notes always help