NFL PROPS CARD 58 SD @ OAK - Sun Jan 1 4:15PM

[Grizzly Joe]

Football Props

Close Date: Jan 01 4:15PM
Play Period: Jan 01 to Jan 01 CARD 58

NO. TEAM/PART PROP. OV OV/UN UN

SD@OAK, J01

1 PRIV PassComp 1.60 22.5 1.80
2 CPAL PassComp 1.65 20.5 1.75
3 AGAT TotRecpt 1.75 5.5 1.65
4 MBUS RushYD 1.65 85.5 1.75
5 TOTL FUMBLost 1.90 1.5 1.55
6 TOTL QBscksM 1.75 4.5 1.65
7 GAME LngstPC 1.70 46.5 1.70
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.60 25.5 1.80
9 GAME LngstFGM 1.60 44.5 1.80
10 GAME LngstPTR 1.60 17.5 1.80
11 TOTL FhalfPTS 1.75 24.5 1.65
12 TOTL ShalfPTS 1.60 24.5 1.80

[Allbutbroke]

[IT"S JUST THAT EASY]

Key

Palmer over

[PHILLYanthropy]

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS [OFF PPG: 24.5;DEF (ALLOWED) PPG: 23.4;FUMBLES LOST: 15TH]

2011 STATS
OFFENCE: PASS 6TH (40+: 19TH), RUSH 17TH (20+: 13TH), PTR YARDS 16TH, FGM 8TH (40-49= 10FOR12;50+=2FOR3)
DEFENCE: PASS 10TH (40+: 15TH), RUSH 20TH (20+: 24TH), SACKS 19TH
MIN (PASS DEF 29TH;RUN DEF 12TH) RIVERS-COMP 33;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH 45\\GATES-REC 8
@NE (PASS DEF 32ND;RUN DEF 17TH) RIVERS-COMP 29;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH 64\\GATES-REC 0
KC (PASS DEF 9TH;RUN DEF 23RD) RIVERS-COMP 24;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH 98\\GATES-REC N/A
MIA (PASS DEF 26TH;RUN DEF 3RD) RIVERS-COMP 21;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH 81\\GATES-REC N/A
@DEN (PASS DEF 20TH;RUN DEF 25TH) RIVERS-COMP 18;SACKS 5//MATTHEWS-RUSH 125\\GATES-REC N/A
@NYJ (PASS DEF 5TH;RUN DEF 15TH) RIVERS-COMP 16;SACKS 1//MATTHEWS-RUSH 39\\GATES-REC 5
@KC (PASS DEF 9TH;RUN DEF 23RD) RIVERS-COMP 26;SACKS 3//MATTHEWS-RUSH 57\\GATES-REC 4
GB (PASS DEF 31ST;RUN DEF 16TH) RIVERS-COMP 26;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH N/A\\GATES-REC 8
OAK (PASS DEF 25TH;RUN DEF 27TH) RIVERS-COMP 23;SACKS 6//MATTHEWS-RUSH 34\\GATES-REC 5 *LONG FGM 23;FUMBLES LOST 2;LONG PTR 21*
@CHI (PASS DEF 28TH;RUN DEF 6TH) RIVERS-COMP 21;SACKS 0//MATTHEWS-RUSH 37\\GATES-REC 4
DEN (PASS DEF 20TH;RUN DEF 25TH) RIVERS-COMP 19;SACKS 3//MATTHEWS-RUSH 137\\GATES-REC 6
@JAX (PASS DEF 7TH;RUN DEF 11TH) RIVERS-COMP 22;SACKS 0//MATTHEWS-RUSH 112\\GATES-REC 6
BUF (PASS DEF 15TH;RUN DEF 28TH) RIVERS-COMP 24;SACKS 2//MATTHEWS-RUSH 114\\GATES-REC 7
BAL (PASS DEF 4TH;RUN DEF 2ND) RIVERS-COMP 17;SACKS 0//MATTHEWS-RUSH 90\\GATES-REC 2
@DET (PASS DEF 14TH;RUN DEF 26TH) RIVERS-COMP 28;SACKS 0//MATTHEWS-RUSH 58\\GATES-REC 4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OAKLAND RAIDERS [OFF PPG: 22.2;DEF (ALLOWED) PPG: 26.3;FUMBLES LOST: 19TH]

2011 STATS
OFFENCE: PASS 13TH (40+: 4TH), RUSH 6TH (20+: 2ND), PTR YARDS 1ST, FGM 8TH (40-49= 3FOR4;50+=1FOR3)
DEFENCE: PASS 25TH (40+: 22ND), RUSH 27TH (20+: 31ST), SACKS 9TH
@DEN (PASS DEF 20TH;RUN DEF 25TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 30\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 4
@BUF (PASS DEF 15TH;RUN DEF 28TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 2//BUSH-RUSH 23\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC N/A
NYJ (PASS DEF 5TH;RUN DEF 15TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 0//BUSH-RUSH 22\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 1
NE (PASS DEF 32ND;RUN DEF 17TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 26\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 4
@HOU (PASS DEF 2ND;RUN DEF 4TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 2//BUSH-RUSH 9\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 7
CLE (PASS DEF 2ND;RUN DEF 30TH) PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 2//BUSH-RUSH 28\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 6
KC (PASS DEF 9TH;RUN DEF 23RD) PALMER-COMP 8;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 99\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 5
DEN (PASS DEF 20TH;RUN DEF 25TH) PALMER-COMP 19;SACKS 2//BUSH-RUSH 96\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 0
@SD (PASS DEF 10TH;RUN DEF 20TH) PALMER-COMP 14;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 157\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC N/A
@MIN (PASS DEF 29TH;RUN DEF 12TH) PALMER-COMP 17;SACKS 4//BUSH-RUSH 109\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 4
CHI (PASS DEF 28TH;RUN DEF 6TH) PALMER-COMP 21;SACKS 4//BUSH-RUSH 69\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 4
@MIA (PASS DEF 26TH;RUN DEF 3RD) PALMER-COMP 20;SACKS 2//BUSH-RUSH 18\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 3
@GB (PASS DEF 31ST;RUN DEF 16TH) PALMER-COMP 24;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 78\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 5
DET (PASS DEF 14TH;RUN DEF 26TH) PALMER-COMP 32;SACKS 3//BUSH-RUSH 77\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 8
@KC (PASS DEF 9TH;RUN DEF 23RD) PALMER-COMP 16;SACKS 0//BUSH-RUSH 70\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC 4

2010 MEETINGS:
GAME 1 (sd v OAK):
RIVERS-COMP 27;SACKS 3//MATTHEWS-RUSH 59\\GATES-REC 5
PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 3//BUSH-RUSH 104\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC N/A
*LONG FGM 50;FUMBLES LOST 3;LONG PTR 46*

GAME 2 (oak v SD):
PALMER-COMP N/A;SACKS 1//BUSH-RUSH 95\\HEYWARD-BEY-REC N/A
RIVERS-COMP 23;SACKS 4//MATTHEWS-RUSH N/A\\GATES-REC 6
*LONG FGM 39;FUMBLES LOST 2;LONG PTR 16*

[PHILLYanthropy]

Liking SD to upset OAKtown this afternoon. Just don't see the playoffs in the Raiders cards for 2011...

TICKET 1:
RIVERS OV (Raiders pass def is atrocious and Rivers OBVIOUS passion for football will push him to fight tooth-and-nail to knock out division rival OAK today. This number should come down to a few +/- either way seeing as OAK is also weak vs the run)
PALMER UN (Vs a stalwart SD pass def, Palmer was only able to complete 14 passes last game vs the Chargers. Carson's had more time to work his way into the offence now, true. However, seeing as SD is so weak vs the run look for OAK to rack up most of their yardage via the rush today)
PASS OV (Playoff implications are huge for OAK, who will claw for a win today. However, nothing would please SD more than to end a division rivals chance at a playoff berth. Capable weapons in the passing game for both sides + QBs who can sling the ball downfield + two teams who love to throw deep but are less than adept at covering the deep pass = OV)
RUSH OV (SD weak run def should allow a big run from Raider RB Bush at some point today. It also helps RB Ryan Matthews is a decent runner himself for SD and OAK sports the worst rating in the NFL on defence for runs 20+)

TICKET 2:
SACKS OV (Palmer will most likely fall behind and look to big passing scores to carry his team back into contention. Vs a SD defence ranking #10 in the NFL in pass defence, look for Carson to search too long and take some late hits pushing this number OV. On the other side of the ball, Raiders rank 9th in the league in sacks and will be pushing for a win this afternoon)
PTR OV (Chargers rank #1 in the NFL in punt return yards and OAK is middle of the pack. With the playoffs on the line for OAK in a tense division game vs a capable SD defence, kicks should be the word of the day in Raider-country this afternoon)
FGM OV (In a game loaded with playoff implications vs a division rival who sports a more than capable defence, look for OAK K Janikowski to go for a big shot at some point today. If not, Kaeding is no slouch for the Chargers either)
2ND HALF UN (Both teams prefer to score points early on vs their competition. I imagine most of this game's offence will come early from either side then, as common place for both clubs, whoever's in the lead will shore up their defensive for the latter half of the game)

Good luck out there today. E.L.E.

[kermit]

Thanks ABB and Philly for the work with the chart and info

I think OAK wins the game so I'm leaning towards Bush going Ova on a weak rush def and with long rush going ova in most OAK games I will take that as a correlation bet, leaning towards fgm ova and ptr ova

[Allbutbroke]

Originally Posted by kermit

Thanks ABB and Philly for the work with the chart and info

I think OAK wins the game so I'm leaning towards Bush going Ova on a weak rush def and with long rush going ova in most OAK games I will take that as a correlation bet, leaning towards fgm ova and ptr ova

Me too......played Bush over, rush over, Palmer under

[darth wager]

Originally Posted by PHILLYanthropy

Liking SD to upset OAKtown this afternoon. Just don't see the playoffs in the Raiders cards for 2011...

TICKET 1:
RIVERS OV (Raiders pass def is atrocious and Rivers OBVIOUS passion for football will push him to fight tooth-and-nail to knock out division rival OAK today. This number should come down to a few +/- either way seeing as OAK is also weak vs the run)
PALMER UN (Vs a stalwart SD pass def, Palmer was only able to complete 14 passes last game vs the Chargers. Carson's had more time to work his way into the offence now, true. However, seeing as SD is so weak vs the run look for OAK to rack up most of their yardage via the rush today)
PASS OV (Playoff implications are huge for OAK, who will claw for a win today. However, nothing would please SD more than to end a division rivals chance at a playoff berth. Capable weapons in the passing game for both sides + QBs who can sling the ball downfield + two teams who love to throw deep but are less than adept at covering the deep pass = OV)
RUSH OV (SD weak run def should allow a big run from Raider RB Bush at some point today. It also helps RB Ryan Matthews is a decent runner himself for SD and OAK sports the worst rating in the NFL on defence for runs 20+)

TICKET 2:
SACKS OV (Palmer will most likely fall behind and look to big passing scores to carry his team back into contention. Vs a SD defence ranking #10 in the NFL in pass defence, look for Carson to search too long and take some late hits pushing this number OV. On the other side of the ball, Raiders rank 9th in the league in sacks and will be pushing for a win this afternoon)
PTR OV (Chargers rank #1 in the NFL in punt return yards and OAK is middle of the pack. With the playoffs on the line for OAK in a tense division game vs a capable SD defence, kicks should be the word of the day in Raider-country this afternoon)
FGM OV (In a game loaded with playoff implications vs a division rival who sports a more than capable defence, look for OAK K Janikowski to go for a big shot at some point today. If not, Kaeding is no slouch for the Chargers either)
2ND HALF UN (Both teams prefer to score points early on vs their competition. I imagine most of this game's offence will come early from either side then, as common place for both clubs, whoever's in the lead will shore up their defensive for the latter half of the game)

Good luck out there today. E.L.E.

Philly, the pissing sensation Nick Novak has handled the Chargers' FG duties since Week 2

[darth wager]

Originally Posted by kermit

Thanks ABB and Philly for the work with the chart and info

Right on Kermit, the info these 2 guys put up for us in every props thread reallys helps

[sjmartin57ca]

Rivers over, this guy doesn't like to lose and plays hard till the very end will be 1 of my plays. Cheers Steve

[PHILLYanthropy]

Originally Posted by darth wager

Philly, the pissing sensation Nick Novak has handled the Chargers' FG duties since Week 2

hahaha, ur right-I was rushing through my picks, I admit. Good call!

[Prolineus Veneficus]

Happy New Year fellas lets ring it in with some prop profits!!

Rush Under
FG O
FHalf U
x4.75

Rivers O
Rush U
FG O
x4.61

BOL

[sjmartin57ca]

Goin with:

rivers over
Palmer over

With

Bush over 4.36 X Wager
Sacks over 4.62 X Wager

Happy New Year BOL Everyone Cheers Steve

[dogboy]

Originally Posted by sjmartin57ca

Goin with:

rivers over
Palmer over

With

Bush over 4.36 X Wager
Sacks over 4.62 X Wager

Happy New Year BOL Everyone Cheers Steve

I'm on the same page with your keys. I'm not sure who wins the game, but I think both teams try hard through the air. I trust Rivers to hit this number, and I think Palmer will have to continue to throw all game as well. Bush and Palmer over can happen.

Thanks once again for all the summarized info ABB and Philly!

[willm61]

Not sure if this affects anyone's picks but I just read this and thought yooz should know

Ryan Mathews (calf) is inactive for the Chargers' season finale in Week 17.
Mike Tolbert will get the start. The 12th overall pick in the 2010 draft, Mathews wraps up his breakout second season with 1,091 yards on 222 carries (4.91 YPC) and 50 receptions. Tolbert was a mere change-of-pace back with Mathews at full strength this season. The main obstacle for Mathews has continued to be health; he was often banged up in 2011.
Rotoworld Jan.1, 2.36pm

Rivers/Gates lookin' mucho goodo yes?