NFL PROPS CARD 71 - DET@NWO Saturday Jan 7th 8:00 pm

[TyWebb]

Close Date: Jan 07 8:00PM
Play Period: Jan 07 to Jan 07 CARD 71

NO. TEAM/PART PROP. OV OV/UN UN

DET@NWO, J07

1 MSTA PassComp 1.60 26.5 1.80
2 DBRE PassComp 1.65 28.5 1.75
3 CAJO TotRecpt 1.75 6.5 1.65
4 MCOL TotRecpt 1.55 5.5 1.90
5 TOTL FUMBLost 1.90 1.5 1.55
6 TOTL QBscksM 2.00 4.5 1.50
7 GAME LngstPC 1.60 48.5 1.80
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 24.5 1.70
9 GAME LngstFGM 1.60 44.5 1.80
10 GAME LngstPTR 1.80 16.5 1.60
11 TOTL FhalfPTS 1.60 29.5 1.80
12 TOTL ShalfPTS 1.60 29.5 1.80

[Allbutbroke]

[borg]

casino props

http://fallsviewcasinoresort.com/onl...ports_Odds.pdf

[Toronto_Mike]

I'm not too sure how there is any other way for the lions to win then to out score them.

Brees and Stafford are at the same number last month these two met I would pick Stafford over again since they really have no run game to work with

[PHILLYanthropy]

Detroit lions [off ppg: 29.6;def (allowed) ppg: 24.2;fumbles lost: 24th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 4th (40+: 2nd), rush 29th (20+: 21st), ptr yards 9th, fgm 17th (40-49= 5for7;50+=1for1)
defence: Pass 22nd (40+: 12th), rush 23rd (20+: 21st), sacks 10th

@tb (pass def 21st;run def 32nd) stafford-comp 24;sacks 0//pettigrew-rec 4\\johnson-rec 6
kc (pass def 6th;run def 26th) stafford-comp 23;sacks 0//pettigrew-rec 1\\johnson-rec 3
@min (pass def 26th;run def 11th) stafford-comp 32;sacks 5//pettigrew-rec 11\\johnson-rec 7
@dal (pass def 23rd;run def 7th) stafford-comp 21;sacks 0//pettigrew-rec 6\\johnson-rec 8
chi (pass def 28th;run def 5th) stafford-comp 19;sacks 1//pettigrew-rec 4\\johnson-rec 5
sf (pass def 16th;run def 1st) stafford-comp 28;sacks 5//pettigrew-rec 8\\johnson-rec 7
atl (pass def 20th;run def 6th) stafford-comp 15;sacks 3//pettigrew-rec 4\\johnson-rec 5
@den (pass def 18th;run def 22nd) stafford-comp 21;sacks 2//pettigrew-rec 3\\johnson-rec 6
@chi (pass def 28th;run def 5th) stafford-comp 33;sacks 2//pettigrew-rec 5\\johnson-rec 7
car (pass def 24th;run def 25th) stafford-comp 28;sacks 2//pettigrew-rec 4\\johnson-rec 5
gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) stafford-comp 32;sacks 1//pettigrew-rec 4\\johnson-rec 4
@nwo (pass def 30th;run def 12th) stafford-comp 31;sacks 3//pettigrew-rec 2\\johnson-rec 6 *long fgm 39;fumbles lost 0;long ptr 12*
min (pass def 26th;run def 11th) stafford-comp 20;sacks 5//pettigrew-rec 6\\johnson-rec 3
@oak (pass def 27th;run def 27th) stafford-comp 29;sacks 2//pettigrew-rec 5\\johnson-rec 9
sd (pass def 13th;run def 20th) stafford-comp 29;sacks 3//pettigrew-rec 9\\johnson-rec 4
@gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) stafford-comp 36;sacks 2//pettigrew-rec 7\\johnson-rec 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

new orleans saints [off ppg: 34.2;def (allowed) ppg: 21.2;fumbles lost: 29th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 1st (40+: 8th), rush 6th (20+: 9th), ptr yards 32nd, fgm 10th (40-49= 4for7;50+=2for5)
defence: Pass 30th (40+: 32nd), rush 12th (20+: 28th), sacks 19th

@gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) brees-comp 32;sacks 3//graham-rec 4\\colston-rec 6
chi (pass def 28th;run def 5th) brees-comp 26;sacks 1//graham-rec 6\\colston-rec n/a
hou (pass def 3rd;run def 4th) brees-comp 31;sacks 2//graham-rec 4\\colston-rec n/a
@jax (pass def 8th;run def 9th) brees-comp 31;sacks 3//graham-rec 10\\colston-rec 1
@car (pass def 24th;run def 25th) brees-comp 32;sacks 2//graham-rec 8\\colston-rec 5
@tb (pass def 21st;run def 32nd) brees-comp 29;sacks 0//graham-rec 7\\colston-rec 7
ind (pass def 15th;run def 29th) brees-comp 31;sacks 2//graham-rec 6\\colston-rec 7
@stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) brees-comp 30;sacks 6//graham-rec 4\\colston-rec 3
tb (pass def 21st;run def 32nd) brees-comp 27;sacks 0//graham-rec 6\\colston-rec 5
@atl (pass def 20th;run def 6th) brees-comp 30;sacks 0//graham-rec 7\\colston-rec 8
nyg (pass def 29th;run def 19th) brees-comp 24;sacks 0//graham-rec 5\\colston-rec 3
det (pass def 22nd;run def 23rd) brees-comp 26;sacks 2//graham-rec 8\\colston-rec 6
@ten (pass def 14th;run def 24th) brees-comp 36;sacks 2//graham-rec 5\\colston-rec 7
@min (pass def 26th;run def 11th) brees-comp 32;sacks 0//graham-rec 7\\colston-rec 8
atl (pass def 20th;run def 6th) brees-comp 23;sacks 1//graham-rec 4\\colston-rec 7
car (pass def 24th;run def 25th) brees-comp 28;sacks 0//graham-rec 8\\colston-rec 7

[PHILLYanthropy]

Should be a fun one tonight:

TICKET 1:
STAFFORD OV (Will have to pass for his life just to keep up with NWO who average 41.1 PPG at home, much of which comes via their quick, long-throwing #1 ranked pass offence)
BREES UN (Will come close to going OV with TE Graham now his favourite target in the offence. However, will likely have built considerable enough a lead by mid-4th that he'll more than likely be sitting and/or handing off to his backs to run the clock)
COLSTON OV (Loves to throw to this guy ALMOST as much as his #1 NFL TE Jimmy G. DET pass def has fallen apart in recent weeks and the only thing that keeps this number UN is if NWO comes out the gate firing on all cylinders and puts the Lions away by half)
PASS OV (If you're taking the UN good luck to you! With players Colston, Graham, Meachem & Megatron toeing the field today in a dome environment *where both clubs dwell*, I can't see how this number is not 50+. Also, it doesn't hurt when both clubs rank in the top 10 in NFL in passes completed 40+)

TICKET 2:
FUMBLES UN (DET doesn't have a rush offence and NWO RBs don't drop the ball...at least not since Reggie Bush left town)
SACKS OV (Too much money and too much on the line not to think *DET* will be looking downfield too often, too late and that extra sack will push this number OV)
RUSH OV (Even without 1st round pick RB Mark Ingram in the lineup, NWO possess arguably one of the best tandems in the league in RBs Ivory & Thomas AND THEY'RE THE FILLER BACKS!)
PTR UN (Don't think either team will struggle too mightily on offence, at least not enough to warrant PTR kicks over FGMs)

Here's my writeup on the game:

det v NWO -11.5
vs SPR: NWO
SU: NWO
DET is a more than capable squad, especially when it comes to putting up points on the scoreboard. However, the Lions also allow the 10th most points in the NFL, have seen a drop in sack production from their best defensive player, DT Suh, from 2010 of more than half, are allowing 321.5 pass yards/game in their past 5 outings and were recently lit up as of last week on the road by GBay's backup QB Matt Flynn for 450 yards and 6 TDs in an all but must-win game. DET wanted to avoid NWO and no one can blame them. Having already lost this season vs the Saints in NWO by 2 TDs, DET also knows NWO haven't lost a game since October, have covered their last 7 straight games in which they were favoured vs the spread and average 41.1 PPG in the Superdome to go along with an 8-0 record on their home turf for the season. Minus first-round pick RB Mark Ingram this weekend won't hurt the Saints either as he is followed by RB Chris Ivory & RB Pierre Thomas, arguably two RBs who could start for many other squads. NWO will win this game BIG. Though they rank 30th in pass def, don't look for DET to expose NWO too often for passing scores. 8 out of the 10 top teams in the NFL have been the foes the Saints have squared off vs in 2011, averaging a relatively mediocre 25 PPG vs NWO who's own output was an average of 38 PPG.


Good luck out there today with your picks. E.L.E.

[Toronto_Mike]

Good luck Philly great insight on each game always will probably do the Brees and Stafford combo too

[PHILLYanthropy]

Originally Posted by Toronto_Mike

Good luck Philly great insight on each game always will probably do the Brees and Stafford combo too

Running out of chances to bank some buck. Let's do this!

[Allbutbroke]

I will ensure you gents win and take Brees over
Keyed: Brees over, Stafford over with
1. Pass over
2. Rush over
3. Colston over

[joshua1608]

Thank you allbutbroke for taking over for golfinguy, owe a lot of wins this year to you... I have one suggestion though, it would be good if you should what the running back for each team had even if there not on the card...

[Prolineus Veneficus]

Like the way this card looks going to make Rush U my key and roll with that....Det rush Attempts on my online book is at 10.5....ill play the odds that they dont break a big one and hope NWO doesnt as well...

paired with these

Stafford O
Johnson U
SHalf O
x7.18

Johnson U
Punt U
x4.49

Stafford O
SHalf O
x4.35

Stafford O
Punt U
x4.35

going against the grain tonight normally i dont like to play QB O WR U from the same team.

bol tonight

[Toronto_Mike]

I'm going to assume the 4pm game will be a defensive match and this one a fireworks show
I get worried playing qbs overs with long pc over just cause if it's a 50 yard bomb I'd rather have 4 slot passes!

[Dr_Jay]

TheGreek:
LgTD 55.5 ev
LgPass Both QB's 42.5 ov -135
QBSacks 4 un -155
#Punts 7.5 un -120
LgFG 44.5 ev
MSTA PC 26.5 ov -138 (PA 42.5 ov -140)
DBRE PC 28.5 ov -160 (PA 41.5 ev)
CAJO 6.5 un -130
MCOL 6 un -135


Like both QB's over, however not sure if I can pull the trigger for both of them on one ticket.
Also like LgPass OV, QBSacks UN, LgPunt UN, Fumble UN.
Not much value in either receiver over, but may take MCOL OV with DBRE OV on one ticket.

[Allbutbroke]

Originally Posted by joshua1608

Thank you allbutbroke for taking over for golfinguy, owe a lot of wins this year to you... I have one suggestion though, it would be good if you should what the running back for each team had even if there not on the card...

I prepare the charts throughout the week and fine tune them when the lines comes out. During the week I include each team's best running back and then have been deleting them when they don't appear on the card.
I can look at including them if it helps. Not sure if I will have them for tomorrow but will remember your request for the future.
Thanks. Yup, golfinguy and Grizz are owed a great deal for kicking this stuff off.

[jays32]

ticket 1:
stafford over
colston over
fumbles under

ticket 2: add
calvin over
rush under
punt under