NFL Props Card 73 PIT @ DEN - Sunday Jan 08, 4:30m

[Allbutbroke]

Football Props

Close Date: Jan 08 4:30PM
Play Period: Jan 08 to Jan 08 CARD 73

NO. TEAM/PART PROP. OV OV/UN UN


PIT@DEN, J08

1 BROT PassComp 1.60 20.5 1.80
2 MWAL TotRecpt 1.70 4.5 1.70
3 TOTL FUMBLost 1.75 1.5 1.65
4 TOTL QBscksM 1.70 4.5 1.70
5 GAME LngstPC 1.60 44.5 1.80
6 GAME LngstRSH 1.65 22.5 1.75
7 GAME LngstFGM 1.65 45.5 1.75
8 GAME LngstPTR 1.60 18.5 1.80
9 TOTL FhalfPTS 1.65 16.5 1.75
10 TOTL ShalfPTS 1.65 16.5 1.75

[Allbutbroke]

[Allbutbroke]

Lowest line I can recall on fumbles under and I will bite......

going to try sacks over, fumbles over and still working on a third

[borg]

casino props

http://fallsviewcasinoresort.com/onl...ports_Odds.pdf

[borg]

quick glance

Sacks ov
Fum ov

Ben un ( backup Ben ov )


anyone else get the USA TODAY Sports Weekly ?

Pg 19 - Pitts fumbles / lost

Ben 8/5
Moore 2/2
Redman 2/2

BLITZ BEN

[Carlito Brigante]

I am liking the corelated combo of sacks/fumbles over too.
I giving the 2nd half over strong consideration too. 16.5 is low and you should have one team playing desperate and pressing which may lead to turnovers/defensive touchdowns/great field position. 2 td's and a field goal seems very probable.

[borg]

Originally Posted by Carlito Brigante

I am liking the corelated combo of sacks/fumbles over too.
I giving the 2nd half over strong consideration too. 16.5 is low and you should have one team playing desperate and pressing which may lead to turnovers/defensive touchdowns/great field position. 2 td's and a field goal seems very probable.

i don't play too many " halfs " but 16.5 pts IS TEMPTING

[Allbutbroke]

Color mistake.....sorry.......game 16 PTR for Pitt should be RED

[PHILLYanthropy]

Pittsburgh steelers [off ppg: 20.3;def (allowed) ppg: 14.2;fumbles lost: 5th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 10th (40+: 12th), rush 14th (20+: 20th), ptr yards 25th, fgm 22nd (40-49= 10for12;50+=2for3)
defence: Pass 1st (40+: 1st), rush 8th (20+: 8th), sacks 17th

@bal (pass def 4th;run def 2nd) roethlisberger-comp 22;sacks 4//wallace-rec 8\\ward-rec 5
sea (pass def 11th;run def 15th) roethlisberger-comp 22;sacks 2//wallace-rec 8\\ward-rec 4
@ind (pass def 15th;run def 29th) roethlisberger-comp 25;sacks 3//wallace-rec 5\\ward-rec 3
@hou (pass def 3rd;run def 4th) roethlisberger-comp 16;sacks 5//wallace-rec 4\\ward-rec 1
ten (pass def 14th;run def 24th) roethlisberger-comp 24;sacks 1//wallace-rec 6\\ward-rec 7
jax (pass def 8th;run def 9th) roethlisberger-comp 12;sacks 3//wallace-rec 2\\ward-rec 3
@ari (pass def 17th;run def 21st) roethlisberger-comp 26;sacks 2//wallace-rec 3\\ward-rec 3
ne (pass def 31st;run def 17th) roethlisberger-comp 36;sacks 5//wallace-rec 7\\ward-rec n/a
bal (pass def 4th;run def 2nd) roethlisberger-comp 20;sacks 1//wallace-rec 4\\ward-rec 0
@cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) roethlisberger-comp 21;sacks 5//wallace-rec 6\\ward-rec 1
kc (pass def 6th;run def 26th) roethlisberger-comp 21;sacks 1//wallace-rec 2\\ward-rec 4
cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) roethlisberger-comp 15;sacks 2//wallace-rec 3\\ward-rec 5
cle (pass def 2nd;run def 30th) roethlisberger-comp 16;sacks 1//wallace-rec 4\\ward-rec 1
@sf (pass def 16th;run def 31st) roethlisberger-comp 25;sacks 3//wallace-rec 5\\ward-rec n/a
stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) roethlisberger-comp n/a;sacks n/a//wallace-rec 4\\ward-rec 4
@cle (pass def 2nd;run def 30th) roethlisberger-comp 23;sacks 2//wallace-rec 1\\ward-rec 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
denver broncos [off ppg: 19.3;def (allowed) ppg: 24.4;fumbles lost: 1st]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 31st (40+: 17th), rush 1st (20+: 3rd), ptr yards 3rd, fgm 29th (40-49= 3for4;50+=1for3)
defence: Pass 18th (40+: 29th), rush 22nd (20+: 21st), sacks 10th

oak (pass def 27th;run def 27th) tebow-comp n/a;sacks 5//mcgahee-rush 3\\decker-rec 3
cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) tebow-comp n/a;sacks 2//mcgahee-rush 101\\decker-rec 5
@ten (pass def 14th;run def 24th) tebow-comp n/a;sacks 1//mcgahee-rush 52\\decker-rec 7
@gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) tebow-comp n/a;sacks 1//mcgahee-rush 103\\decker-rec 5
sd (pass def 13th;run def 20th) tebow-comp 4;sacks 0//mcgahee-rush 125\\decker-rec 2
@mia (pass def 25th;run def 3rd) tebow-comp 13;sacks 6//mcgahee-rush 76\\decker-rec 2
det (pass def 22nd;run def 23th) tebow-comp 18;sacks 7//mcgahee-rush n/a\\decker-rec 6
@oak (pass def 27th;run def 27th) tebow-comp 10;sacks 1//mcgahee-rush 163\\decker-rec 3
@kc (pass def 6th;run def 26th) tebow-comp 2;sacks 0//mcgahee-rush 17\\decker-rec 1
nyj (pass def 5th;run def 13th) tebow-comp 9;sacks 1//mcgahee-rush 18\\decker-rec 0
@sd (pass def 13th;run def 20th) tebow-comp 9;sacks 1//mcgahee-rush 117\\decker-rec 3
@min (pass def 26th;run def 11th) tebow-comp 10;sacks 2//mcgahee-rush 111\\decker-rec 2
chi (pass def 28th;run def 5th) tebow-comp 21;sacks 5//mcgahee-rush 34\\decker-rec 3
ne (pass def 31st;run def 17th) tebow-comp 11;sacks 4//mcgahee-rush 70\\decker-rec 1
@buf (pass def 19th;run def 28th) tebow-comp 13;sacks 4//mcgahee-rush 64\\decker-rec 0
kc (pass def 6th;run def 26th) tebow-comp 6;sacks 2//mcgahee-rush 145\\decker-rec 1

[borg]

the big question

will Ben play / last the whole game ?

[prolineinto]

Originally Posted by Allbutbroke

Lowest line I can recall on fumbles under and I will bite......

going to try sacks over, fumbles over and still working on a third

ABB these were my two leans to start.

Also looking at Wallace under, Punt under and longest rush over. Might also take a chance on FG over

[Allbutbroke]

Played Sacks over, fumble over and PTR over. Want to add another ticket with the first two but undecided.

[Allbutbroke]

Originally Posted by prolineinto

ABB these were my two leans to start.

Also looking at Wallace under, Punt under and longest rush over. Might also take a chance on FG over

Darn....took PTR over but am really struggling with the third play....happy with sacks and fumbles.

[PHILLYanthropy]

10 plays on a single ticket, especially for a playoff game, just ain't enough. Forum sounding awfully in tune right now tho. Good work so far guys:

TICKET 1:
ROETHLISBERGER OV (vs a less than stellar pass def, and without a solid run game to depend on, hurt or not Big Ben WILL play *he always risks his ability to function later in life for the team* and he will throw the football)
WALLACE OV (with how well Antonio Brown has played of late, Mike W. has witnessed his REC on the decline for quite a while now. However, it is to note Wallace led the team in REC for the season and will more than likely be the look-to guy for Big Ben today as experience trumps standout every time in the playoffs. Not to mention, when looking over the numbers, it seems Big Ben has avoided Wallace over the past few weeks not cuz he's altered his preferred target wideout but because he's faced some of the strongest pass def in the league)
PASS OV (Steeltown is pretty strong on the pass and DEN is in the bottom five in the NFL at stopping the deep throw. Wideouts Brown & Wallace should each rack one up for PIT seeing as the line here is INCREDIBLY low @44.5 for their respected talents. However, if all else fails and the Steelers can't pull off the bomb, DEN themselves possess two excellent deep threats in WR Decker & top-round pick Thomas. PIT owned the best pass def in the NFL for 2011 and the only way DEN can strike through the air will be to look deep...and don't count out the hail mary. All or nothing time now L&G)
RUSH OV (22.5 is insulting. DEN was the #1 ranked run offence in the NFL for the 2011 season and, even if PITs strong rush def can contain them, RB Redman is still a good bet to break for 20+ vs DEN weak run def)

TICKET 2:
SACKS OV (Big Ben always good for a few + DEN no slouch at racking up sacks + Tebow's first playoff matchup & inability to find his receivers + blitz attack of PIT, namely S Polamalu *pressuring the QB is his specialty* + loser goes home + likelihood of a close conclusion should push this number OV)
FUMBLES OV (for all the reason stated above in the sacks OV + RB Redman inexperience as a lead RB + Roethlisberger known to give up the ball on late from-behind hits + DEN WILL push the ground game)
FGM OV (tough number as a LONG FGM will be required to cover here. I'm banking on the game being close and both kickers, tho not highly ranked, can & have hit crucial FGM for their club this season)
2ND HALF OV (Feeling the forum on this one. Both clubs struggle to score and both more than likely will wear down a little from amped up play of 1st half to allow a few extra scores in the 2nd...that and it's Tebow time!)

Here's the writeup I had prepared for the game itself:

pit -9.5 v DEN
vs SPR: DEN
SU: PIT
Pittsburgh has all the experience needed to ensure a victory on the road this weekend in DEN. However, the Broncos will put up a fight, something the Steelers haven't been one to muster over the past few weeks. Since his ankle injury in CLE in week 14, always shaky but ever-reliable PIT QB Ben Roethlisberger has amassed just 1 TD, 4 INT and 5 sacks. Add to that account RB Rashard Mendenhall has been placed on the IR for the season for PIT, S Ryan Clark is out, backup RB Redman fumbled more than once last week vs CLE and the team as a whole has amassed a paltry 2 TDs in their last 3 road games with an abysmal 2-6 record vs the spread. However, DEN won't get off easy on their home field this weekend. Faltering or not, Steeltown has won 2 of the past 6 Superbowls and their #1 ranked pass def in the NFL should force the pass-deficient Denver Broncos into a one-dimensional run-and-gun offence all day, a critical flaw that teams have exploited vs DEN over recent weeks. QB Tebow has looked quite ordinary if not inept over his past 4 games, having fumbled 4 times, been sacked 15 times and thrown 5 INT. With S Troy Polamalu sure to rush QB Timmy T and force the errant pass/sack all day, don't look for PIT to dominate but to edge out enough points to buck the Broncos from the 2011 playoffs.


Good luck out there today. E.L.E.

[borg]

Sacks ov 4.5
Fum ov 1.5

third pick

Rush ov 22.5

Week 15 Broncos vs Patriots

4 diff Bronco players had a rush of 25+

http://www.denverbroncos.com/schedul...011/regular15/