NFL Props Card #98- Baltimore @ New England Sunday January 22

[prolineinto]

Football Props
Close Date: Jan 22 3:00PM
Play Period: Jan 22 to Jan 22 CARD 98

NO. TEAM/PART PROP. OV OV/UN UN

BAL@NE, J22

1 JFLA PassComp 1.70 20.5 1.70
2 TBDY PassComp 1.55 25.5 1.90
3 RRIC RushYD 1.60 85.5 1.80
4 RGRK TotRecpt 1.75 6.5 1.65
5 TOTL FUMBLost 1.80 1.5 1.60
6 TOTL QBscksM 1.80 4.5 1.60
7 GAME LngstPC 1.60 48.5 1.80
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 24.5 1.70
9 GAME LngstFGM 1.60 44.5 1.80
10 GAME LngstPTR 1.65 16.5 1.75
11 TOTL FhalfPTS 1.65 24.5 1.75
12 TOTL ShalfPTS 1.75 25.5 1.65

[Carlito Brigante]

I am liking Flacco over, just think with all the heat surrounding him this week and Suggs coming to his defence I think 21 completions is reasonable against the 2nd worst pass defence in the league, especially if playing from behind.
For the same reason I like Flacco over, I am taking sacks over, the Baltimore D took it on the chin this week for not sacking TJ Yates at home last week and I think both teams are capable of getting 5 sacks.
Going against the grain and taking Rice over, don't usually take a QB & RB over from the same team so in all liklihood I am going to need Rice to bust a long one because if they are playing from behind he may not get 20-25 carries. On the flipside, if he does have a big game and the game remains close, my Flacco over pick will be in jeopardy.

Will go with :

Flacco over
Sacks over
Rice over

I will also find a way to include

Field goal under
Rush over
and one of the halfs over, can't decide.

Good luck to all and I hope it is a profitable day for everyone.

[Allbutbroke]

[7thHeaven]

CB, I like Flacco OVER and Sacks OVER as well but I am not as sold on Rice OVER.

Like you said, if the Pats comes out of the gate blazing, that will force the Ravens to abandon the run and get Flacco to try to bring the Ravens back in the game. Rice is also an excellent pass catcher in the backfield, very effective with the screen passes.

One other thing to keep in mind is Ray Rice had a monster game against the Pats in the 2010 playoff. Seeing the type of coach Bill Belicheck is, I think he will prepare his defense to shut down the Ravens running game and force Flacco to beat them. The Ravens wideout corps have been underwhelming this year. Boldin seems to have lost a step while Torrey Smith looks to be a one-trick pony. Lee Evans is also in the mix but he was hurt for a good chunk of the regular season. Pitta is an up-and-comer TE but he's not at the level of Todd Heap yet.

My 2 cents.

[Carlito Brigante]

Thanks for the info ABB. Appreciate your effort.
Good to see your thoughts on the game 7th and glad to know were basically on the same page.
If I remember correctly Rice busted a long one on the first play from scrimmage in the game you are talking about.
I will probably leave Flacco over off the ticket with Rice over.
Love the over 58.5 yards for Torrey Smith at the Casino.

[TyWebb]

In the last 10 playoff games at Foxboro:

28 field goals were made but only 1 over this number. That was Adam Vinatieri's game winning 46 yarder versus the Titans in 2004. The second longest was last week's 41 yarder by Denver's Prater!

Brady has been over 25.5 pass completions in 3 of the last 4 but was under in all of the previous 6.

Nothing else stands out prop-wise in those 10 games. There has been a bit of everything.

[Toronto_Mike]

Damn ravens only allowed one qb over 25.5 all season!? Out all of the qbs it was hasselbeck lol. Bare in mind this playoffs and Tom Brady!

[7otalEclipse]

Early lean on worst hangover of 2012 right now

[Slammer]

Patriots have given up a lot of rushing yards late in the season, 170 to Redskins team, 252 to Broncos team, 122 to Reggie Bush, 143 to the Broncos last week, etc.

If the Ravens stick with Rice (at least 18-20 carries), no reason he shouldn't be able to have a big day as well.

[borg]

Brady ov 25.5
Gronk ov 6.5
Sacks ov 4.5 x 4.88


glta

[7otalEclipse]

Going with
Rice over
Sacks over
And Gronk Under

Looking for Brady to spread it around a little more today

Good Luck Everyone!

[PHILLYanthropy]

Baltimore ravens [off ppg: 23.6;def (allowed) ppg: 16.6;fumbles lost: 8th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 19th (40+: 20th), rush 10th (20+: 11th), ptr yards 14th, fgm 8th (40-49= 7for9;50+=1for6)
defence: Pass 4th (40+: 9th), rush 2nd (20+: 1st), sacks 3rd

pit (pass def 1st;run def 8th) flacco-comp 17;sacks 1//rice-rush 107\\boldin-rec 4
@ten (pass def 14th;run def 24th) flacco-comp 15;sacks 3//rice-rush 43\\boldin-rec 3
@stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) flacco-comp 27;sacks 2//rice-rush 81\\boldin-rec 7
nyj (pass def 5th;run def 13th) flacco-comp 10;sacks 2//rice-rush 66\\boldin-rec 1
hou (pass def 3rd;run def 4th) flacco-comp 20;sacks 2//rice-rush 101\\boldin-rec 8
@jax (pass def 8th;run def 9th) flacco-comp 21;sacks 3//rice-rush 28\\boldin-rec 4
ari (pass def 17th;run def 21st) flacco-comp 31;sacks 3//rice-rush 63\\boldin-rec 7
@pit (pass def 1st;run def 8th) flacco-comp 28;sacks 3//rice-rush 43\\boldin-rec 7
@sea (pass def 11th;run def 15th) flacco-comp 29;sacks 1//rice-rush 27\\boldin-rec 2
cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) flacco-comp 17;sacks 1//rice-rush 104\\boldin-rec 1
sf (pass def 16th;run def 1st) flacco-comp 15;sacks 0//rice-rush 59\\boldin-rec 4
@cle (pass def 2nd;run def 30th) flacco-comp 10;sacks 1//rice-rush 204\\boldin-rec 2
ind (pass def 15th;run def 29th) flacco-comp 23;sacks 2//rice-rush 103\\boldin-rec 5
@sd (pass def 13th;run def 20th) flacco-comp 23;sacks 5//rice-rush 57\\boldin-rec 2
cle (pass def 2nd;run def 30th) flacco-comp 11;sacks 1//rice-rush 87\\boldin-rec n/a
@cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) flacco-comp 15;sacks 1//rice-rush 191\\boldin-rec n/a
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
new england patriots [off ppg: 32.1;def (allowed) ppg: 21.4;fumbles lost: 29th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 2nd (40+: 5th), rush 20th (20+: 31st), ptr yards 29th, fgm 10th (40-49= 9for11;50+=1for2)
defence: Pass 31st (40+: 12th), rush 17th (20+: 10th), sacks 14th

@mia (pass def 25th;run def 3rd) brady-comp 32;sacks 1//welker-rec 8\\gronkowski-rec 6
sd (pass def 13th;run def 20th) brady-comp 31;sacks 2//welker-rec 7\\gronkowski-rec 4
@buf (pass def 19th;run def 28th) brady-comp 30;sacks 0//welker-rec 16\\gronkowski-rec 7
@oak (pass def 27th;run def 27th) brady-comp 16;sacks 1//welker-rec 9\\gronkowski-rec 1
nyj (pass def 5th;run def 13th) brady-comp 24;sacks 4//welker-rec 5\\gronkowski-rec 4
dal (pass def 23rd;run def 7th) brady-comp 27;sacks 3//welker-rec 6\\gronkowski-rec 7
@pit (pass def 1st;run def 8th) brady-comp 24;sacks 3//welker-rec 6\\gronkowski-rec 7
nyg (pass def 29th;run def 19th) brady-comp 28;sacks 2//welker-rec 9\\gronkowski-rec 8
@nyj (pass def 5th;run def 13th) brady-comp 26;sacks 0//welker-rec 6\\gronkowski-rec 8
kc (pass def 6th;run def 26th) brady-comp 15;sacks 3//welker-rec 2\\gronkowski-rec 4
@phi (pass def 10th;run def 16th) brady-comp 24;sacks 1//welker-rec 8\\gronkowski-rec 4
ind (pass def 15th;run def 29th) brady-comp 29;sacks 1//welker-rec 11\\gronkowski-rec 5
@was (pass def 12th;run def 18th) brady-comp 22;sacks 1//welker-rec 7\\gronkowski-rec 6
@den (pass def 18th;run def 22nd) brady-comp 23;sacks 2//welker-rec 4\\gronkowski-rec 4
mia (pass def 25th;run def 3rd) brady-comp 27;sacks 4//welker-rec 12\\gronkowski-rec 7
buf (pass def 19th;run def 28th) brady-comp 23;sacks 4//welker-rec 6\\gronkowski-rec 8

2011 postseason:

Baltimore ravens
hou (pass def 3rd;run def 4th) yates-comp 17;sacks 0//foster-rush 132\\daniels-rec 2

new england patriots
den (pass def 18th;run def 22nd) tebow-comp 9;sacks 5//mcgahee-rush 76\\thomas-rec 6

[joshua1608]

Hey allbutbroke, seen your message last week after the game. I was think for the first 4 weeks next season, you should put the 2011 chart for the team playing. It's better then nothing at all...

[joshua1608]

About this card, that's why I asked allbutbroke to put running backs on the charts.. Notice something about ne run game? They don't have one lol, Brady over.

[Slammer]

Tom Brady 81 completions in 144 attempts in five games vs Ravens (55.9%), with 6 TDs and 6 INTs. Leaning under 25.5 completions.