NFL Props Card #99 NYG @ SF Sunday January 22 6:30pm

[prolineinto]

Close Date: Jan 22 6:30PM
Play Period: Jan 22 to Jan 22 CARD 99

NO. TEAM/PART PROP. OV OV/UN UN


NYG@SF, J22

1 EMAN PassComp 1.55 23.5 1.90
2 ASMH PassComp 1.75 19.5 1.65
3 VCRU TotRecpt 1.70 5.5 1.70
4 FGOR RushYD 1.65 76.5 1.75
5 TOTL FUMBLost 1.80 1.5 1.60
6 TOTL QBscksM 1.80 5.5 1.60
7 GAME LngstPC 1.65 46.5 1.75
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 23.5 1.70
9 GAME LngstFGM 1.65 44.5 1.75
10 GAME LngstPTR 1.65 17.5 1.75
11 TOTL FhalfPTS 1.60 20.5 1.80
12 TOTL ShalfPTS 1.80 21.5 1.60

[Allbutbroke]

[ray_jay_63]

San Fran weather forecast...

Today: Rain. High near 53. South southeast wind between 7 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight: Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after 10pm. Low around 50. South southeast wind between 16 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

[borg]

casino leans

Manning ov 24.0
sacks ov 5.0
pass ov 44.5

[PHILLYanthropy]

New york giants [off ppg: 24.6;def (allowed) ppg: 25.0;fumbles lost: 18th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 5th (40+: 1st), rush 32nd (20+: 32nd), ptr yards 13th, fgm 29th (40-49= 3for4;50+=1for3)
defence: Pass 29th (40+: 5th), rush 19th (20+: 16th), sacks 3rd

@was (pass def 12th;run def 18th) manning-comp 18;sacks 4//cruz-rec 0\\nicks-rec 7
stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) manning-comp 19;sacks 3//cruz-rec 2\\nicks-rec 4
@phi (pass def 10th;run def 16th) manning-comp 16;sacks 3//cruz-rec 3\\nicks-rec 3
@ari (pass def 17th;run def 21st) manning-comp 27;sacks 1//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec 10
sea (pass def 11th;run def 15th) manning-comp 24;sacks 3//cruz-rec 8\\nicks-rec 4
buf (pass def 19th;run def 28th) manning-comp 21;sacks 0//cruz-rec 2\\nicks-rec 4
mia(pass def 25th;run def 3rd) manning-comp 31;sacks 1//cruz-rec 7\\nicks-rec 6
@ne (pass def 31st;run def 17th) manning-comp 20;sacks 0//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec n/a
@sf (pass def 16th;run def 1st) manning-comp 26;sacks 1//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec 2 *long fgm 52;fumbles lost 0;long ptr 11*
phi (pass def 10th;run def 16th) manning-comp 18;sacks 3//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec 3
@nwo (pass def 30th;run def 12th) manning-comp 33;sacks 1//cruz-rec 9\\nicks-rec 7
gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) manning-comp 23;sacks 1//cruz-rec 7\\nicks-rec 7
@dal (pass def 23rd;run def 7th) manning-comp 27;sacks 0//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec 8
was (pass def 12th;run def 18th) manning-comp 23;sacks 3//cruz-rec 5\\nicks-rec 5
@nyj (pass def 5th;run def 13th) manning-comp 9;sacks 2//cruz-rec 3\\nicks-rec 1
dal (pass def 23rd;run def 7th) manning-comp 24;sacks 2//cruz-rec 6\\nicks-rec 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
san francisco 49ers [off ppg: 23.8;def (allowed) ppg: 14.3;fumbles lost: 29th]

2011 stats
offence: Pass 29th (40+: 26th), rush 8th (20+: 8th), ptr yards 17th, fgm 1st (40-49= 6for11;50+=7for9)
defence: Pass 16th (40+: 25th), rush 1st (20+: 1st), sacks 7th

sea (pass def 11th;run def 15th) smith-comp 15;sacks 0//gore-rush 59\\davis-rec 5
dal (pass def 23rd;run def 7th) smith-comp 16;sacks 6//gore-rush 47\\ davis -rec 2
@cin (pass def 9th;run def 10th) smith-comp 20;sacks 5//gore-rush 42\\ davis -rec 8
@phi (pass def 10th;run def 16th) smith-comp 21;sacks 3//gore-rush 127\\ davis -rec 4
tb (pass def 21st;run def 32nd) smith-comp 11;sacks 0//gore-rush 125\\ davis -rec 3
@det (pass def 22nd;run def 23rd) smith-comp 17;sacks 2//gore-rush 141\\ davis -rec 2
cle (pass def 2nd;run def 30th) smith-comp 15;sacks 1//gore-rush 134\\ davis -rec 3
@was (pass def 12th;run def 18th) smith-comp 17;sacks 2//gore-rush 107\\ davis -rec 4
nyg (pass def 29th;run def 19th) smith-comp 19;sacks 2//gore-rush 0\\ davis -rec 3
ari (pass def 17th;run def 21st) smith-comp 20;sacks 0//gore-rush 88\\ davis -rec 5
@bal (pass def 4th;run def 2nd) smith-comp 15;sacks 9//gore-rush 39\\ davis -rec 4
stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) smith-comp 17;sacks 4//gore-rush 73\\ davis -rec 5
@ari (pass def 17th;run def 21st) smith-comp 18;sacks 5//gore-rush 72\\ davis -rec 1
pit (pass def 1st;run def 8th) smith-comp 18;sacks 0//gore-rush 65\\ davis -rec 6
@sea (pass def 11th;run def 15th) smith-comp 14;sacks 2//gore-rush 83\\ davis -rec 4
@stl (pass def 7th;run def 31st) smith-comp 20;sacks 3//gore-rush 9\\ davis -rec 8

2011 postseason:

New york giants
atl (pass def 20th;run def 6th) manning-comp 23;sacks 1//cruz-rec 2\\nicks-rec 6
@gb (pass def 32nd;run def 14th) manning-comp 21;sacks 1//cruz-rec 5\\nicks-rec 7

san francisco 49ers
nwo (pass def 30th;run def 12th) smith-comp 24;sacks 4//gore-rec 89\\davis-rec 7

[Grizzly Joe]

Cruz Unda 5.5 1.7
Longest Pass Ova 46.5 1.65
Longest Rush Ova 23.5 1.7

X 4.77

BOL everyone.

[Allbutbroke]

Played.....based on my assumption SF playing from behind.

Smith over
Gore under
Pass over

[Davydave]

2 ASMH PassComp 1.75 Over 19.5
7 GAME LngstPC 1.65 Over 46.5
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 Over 23.5

Good Luck All!

[Davydave]

2 ASMH PassComp 1.75 Over 19.5
7 GAME LngstPC 1.65 Over 46.5
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 Over 23.5

Good Luck All!

[7otalEclipse]

Im gonna stretch Dave and add LngstPTR Under

2 ASMH PassComp 1.75 Over 19.5
7 GAME LngstPC 1.65 Over 46.5
8 GAME LngstRSH 1.70 Over 23.5
10 GAME LngstPTR under 17.5 1.75

BOL ALL

[PHILLYanthropy]

Awesome weather forecast ray_jay_63. Don't know if it will be conducive to a good game but should be even closer now that there's precipitation in the mix:

TICKET 1:
MANNING OV (Will, as per usual, look to pass more than throw considering his team has little to no run game *leaning towards NO RUN GAME considering 49ers the best at containing the run in the NFL* and he's built in the 'Manning mould'. Also, I see SF winning the game outright so, in my opinion, it's likely he'll have to play catchup in the latter half of the match *WARNING-rain often leads to A LOT of drops from receivers*)
SMITH OV (Likely to be caught, akin to last game vs Brees, in a late game shootout pushing his total OV for the day *WARNING-rain often leads to A LOT of drops from receivers*)
GORE OV (Should be able to find a big hole at some point in the game and NYG are far from a good bet at preventing premier backs from big breakout plays)
CRUZ UN (Nicks should feel a lot of pressure today from the mediocre SF pass def. However, Manning OBVIOUSLY feels more comfortable in his playoff form tossing to the postseason experienced Hakeem for his deep passes and WR Manningham for his short tosses. WR Cruz is the gamebreaker for the Giants...but, then again, that's all he's been to them of late. Lack of trust in the young wideout + probability of rain = UN)

TICKET 2:
SACKS OV (probability of rain + excellent sack records for both clubs + indecisiveness of QB Alex Smith in his passing game + likelihood of close score with late game heroics in play = OV)
PASS OV (NYG always good for a deep pass and SF one of the worst in the NFL at stopping the big throw. That, and WR Crabtree & TE Davis no slouches either when it comes to taking a play further than expected)
RUSH OV (Gotta figure Gore's gonna break one off at some point vs NYGs subpar run defence...if not, cross your fingers and hope one of those Giants 'secret' run plays breaks out cuz SF the best at stopping opposing RBs vs the rush/big rush)
FGM OV (likelihood of rain = likelihood of dropped passes = likelihood of need for long kick = likelihood of one of NFLs greatest all-time kickers, K David Akers of SF, to get a shot at big boot glory tonight)


GAME WRITEUP:
The New York Giants have been a powerful squad of late winning 4 straight do-or-die games (the most recent of which came on the storied Arctic tundra of Lambeau Field in Green Bay). These past four wins are more impressive when you figure in NY won the accumulative matchups by a total of 121-50. Nonetheless, all good things must come to an end and so too will the Giants 2011-12 season this weekend when they visit the 49ers in SF. Sure, SF completes only 29% of their third downs and sport a QB (Alex Smith) who has not thrown for over 300+ yards all season. Then again, that same QB threw an NFL-low 5 INT all year standing tall behind one of arguably the best offensive lines in the league (the same line that has opened up enough holes to rank the 49ers 8th in the NFL for 2011 in total rushing offense and helped to rack up an outstanding record of 13-0 when allowing less than 5 sacks). However, for all their strong play on offense, it is the defensive play of SF that truly makes them an elite squad. Allowing an astonishing 3 rushing TDs all season to opponent rushers (that's including the playoffs), the 49ers also managed to knock 7 opposition RBs out of the game throughout the year. It is also to note that vs NYG, a club the 49ers already defeated 27-20 when they visited SF back in November, the 49ers did not allow a single 40+ pass all game (a number more impressive when considering, save SF, NYG completed a pass to WR Nicks and/or WR Cruz for 50+ yards in 7 of their last 8 contests). NYG does have a lot going for them. Playing at a career peak, QB Eli Manning will put up a fight this coming Sunday night in SF. With a 100.1 QB rating in playoff road games, Manning will have a lot to work with seeing as his squad has covered 7 straight playoff road spreads and currently employ the postseason MVP, WR Nicks, in their passing game. A close end result should be a given come 10pm tonight. However, the winning end of the result will go to SF based solely on the strong blitz attack of the 49ers to push Eli into throwing just enough INTs and his Giants defense, who have placed their club at a great disadvantage having given up 13 turnovers in their past 6 playoff matches, into allowing the 49ers too much possession time on their own field. The 49ers beat a better offensive club on their home field last week vs NWO. 49ers win here - then lose the Superbowl to the best player in NFL history, QB Tom Brady, two weeks from now.


Good luck out there today. E.L.E.

[bettingman]

Keys
LG pass ova
Rush Ova

Ticket 1
smith Ova
$50

Ticket 2
Cruz Unda
$50

Davey delight/grizzly special BOL everyone lets hit it hard

[darth wager]

this site is...

[darth wager]

...really slow today

[darth wager]

Originally Posted by darth wager

thanks ABB
nothing jumps out right away in the early game
but if I played right now, NY/SF would be:

Manning over
Smith over
Pass over
Punt Return under
...and maybe 2nd half over

from ABB's early props discussion thread, might as well stick with the original plan:

Manning over 23.5
Smith over 19.5
Longest Pass over 46.5
Longest Punt return under 17.5
2nd half over 21.5

good luck to everybody!